Hardrock v MWOS prediction · Premier Soccer League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HardrockDrawMWOS

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hardrock 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hardrock are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hardrock 52%, draw 29%, MWOS 18%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Hardrock v MWOSBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Hardrock win52%

Draw29%

MWOS win18%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hardrock

MWOS

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hardrock winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Hardrock a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hardrock v MWOS~~1.42 – 0.73

~~Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 1 Aug~~W6 D0 L0 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 66 v 45~~1 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hardrock win	52%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
MWOS win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Hardrock or draw	82%	–	–
Hardrock clean sheet	48%	–	–
MWOS clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.5%

0123450 13.0 7.5 3.1 1 15.5 12.9 4.4 2 11.6 8.4 3.1 3 5.6 4.0 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hardrock down, MWOS across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,810 Premier Soccer League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.0% of games this season, across 281 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 0.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hardrock at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). MWOS away: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Hardrock, 0.73 for MWOS. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~0.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~MWO 0–0 HAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 1 Aug

HARDROCK

WWWWWW3–0 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–0

MWOS

DWDLWW0–0 · 4–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 3–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hardrock	31	+35	66
2	Scotland Mabvuku	30	+34	61
3	Ngezi Platinum	32	+13	56
4	Dynamos	32	+17	52
5	CAPS United	31	+11	51
6	Herentals	32	−1	48
7	MWOS	31	+10	45
8	Highlanders	31	+4	43
9	Platinum	32	0	43
10	Chicken Inn	31	−1	43
11	Simba Bhora	31	0	39
12	Hunters	31	−10	35
13	Kariba	32	−9	33
14	Bulawayo Chiefs	31	−12	31
15	Agama	31	−21	28
16	Triangle United	31	−17	24
17	TelOne	31	−23	22
18	Manica Diamonds	31	−30	21