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Hardrock v Bulawayo Chiefs

Hardrock

2–0Full time

Bulawayo Chiefs

Premier Soccer League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Hardrock 2–0 Bulawayo Chiefs HARDROCK WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hardrock win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.186

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hardrock win at 65%.
45′We said Hardrock at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 50–37–13
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Hardrock win: 65% at kick-off, 50% now
52′SECOND HALF Hardrock 0–0 Bulawayo Chiefs
58′We said Hardrock at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–47–12
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Hardrock win: 65% at kick-off, 41% now
58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Hardrock win 41%)
73′⚽ GOAL · 62' Hardrock 0–0 Bulawayo Chiefs
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Hardrock 1–0 Bulawayo Chiefs
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Hardrock 2–0 Bulawayo Chiefs
FTFULL TIME Hardrock 2–0 Bulawayo Chiefs
FTHardrock 2–0 Bulawayo Chiefs · Hardrock win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Hardrock win65%

Draw23%

Bulawayo Chiefs win12%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hardrock winPublished 10 Oct 14:40

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Hardrock a 65% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hardrock win	65%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Bulawayo Chiefs win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Hardrock or draw	88%	–	–
Hardrock clean sheet	51%	–	–
Bulawayo Chiefs clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.8%

0123450 8.8 4.4 1 13.8 10.5 3.3 2 13.6 9.1 3.1 3 8.6 5.7 4 4.1 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hardrock down, Bulawayo Chiefs across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,792 Premier Soccer League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.2% of games this season, across 263 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hardrock at home: 2.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Bulawayo Chiefs away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.90 goals for Hardrock, 0.67 for Bulawayo Chiefs. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~BUL 0–2 HAR

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League

HARDROCK

WWWWWW2–0 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 1–0

BULAWAYO CHIEFS

LWWDLL1–2 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland Mabvuku	29	+35	61
2	Hardrock	29	+32	60
3	Ngezi Platinum	30	+11	52
4	Dynamos	30	+18	51
5	Herentals	29	+5	48
6	CAPS United	29	+9	47
7	Highlanders	30	+4	42
8	Chicken Inn	29	−1	41
9	MWOS	29	+5	39
10	Platinum	29	−1	39
11	Simba Bhora	29	−1	35
12	Bulawayo Chiefs	29	−8	31
13	Kariba	29	−9	29
14	Hunters	29	−12	29
15	Agama	29	−21	25
16	Triangle United	30	−14	24
17	TelOne	29	−22	21
18	Manica Diamonds	29	−30	19