Chicken Inn v Kariba prediction · Premier Soccer League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Chicken Inn 0–0 Kariba CHICKEN INN WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTUNDER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Chicken Inn win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.614

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Chicken Inn win at 43%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Chicken Inn 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–38–19
1′KICK-OFF Chicken Inn v Kariba
21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Chicken Inn win 41%)
32′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Chicken Inn
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Chicken Inn win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
43′We said Chicken Inn at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–53–15
45′HALF-TIME Chicken Inn 0–0 Kariba
46′SECOND HALF Chicken Inn 0–0 Kariba
48′We said Chicken Inn at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–56–15
58′We said Chicken Inn at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–12
60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Chicken Inn win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
67′We said Chicken Inn at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–71–10
74′We said Chicken Inn at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Chicken Inn win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
80′We said Chicken Inn at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–5
88′We said Chicken Inn at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Chicken Inn win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
FTFULL TIME Chicken Inn 0–0 Kariba
FTChicken Inn 0–0 Kariba · Chicken Inn win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Under 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Chicken Inn are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Chicken Inn 43%, draw 38%, Kariba 19%. Over 2.5 goals 19%, both teams to score 26%.

The AI’s read on Chicken Inn v KaribaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Chicken Inn win43%

Draw38%

Kariba win19%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 32

VenueLuveve Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Chicken Inn

Kariba

14Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Chicken Inn	30	−1	42
13	Kariba	31	−9	32

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · chicken inn winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Chicken Inn a 43% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–0.5, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 24%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Chicken Inn v Kariba~~0.95 – 0.53

~~Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 1 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 42 v 32~~9 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Chicken Inn win	43%	–	–
Draw	38%	–	–
Kariba win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	19%	–	–
Both teams to score	26%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	44%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	6%	–	–
Chicken Inn or draw	81%	–	–
Chicken Inn clean sheet	59%	–	–
Kariba clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 23.9%

0123450 23.9 11.1 3.2 1 20.7 12.2 3.0 2 10.3 5.4 3 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Chicken Inn down, Kariba across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,807 Premier Soccer League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.9% of games this season, across 278 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.70 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Chicken Inn at home: 0.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Kariba away: 0.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for Chicken Inn, 0.53 for Kariba. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.70

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~1 of 10

~~Last meetings~~KAR 1–0 CHI · CHI 1–0 KAR · KAR 1–0 CHI · KAR 2–0 CHI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 1 Aug

CHICKEN INN

LDWDWD1–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–0

KARIBA

DLDLWL0–0 · 1–4 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hardrock	31	+35	66
2	Scotland Mabvuku	30	+34	61
3	Ngezi Platinum	31	+13	55
4	Dynamos	31	+17	51
5	CAPS United	31	+11	51
6	Herentals	31	+2	48
7	MWOS	31	+10	45
8	Highlanders	31	+4	43
9	Chicken Inn	30	−1	42
10	Platinum	31	−3	40
11	Simba Bhora	31	0	39
12	Hunters	31	−10	35
13	Kariba	31	−9	32
14	Bulawayo Chiefs	31	−12	31
15	Agama	31	−21	28
16	Triangle United	31	−17	24
17	TelOne	31	−23	22
18	Manica Diamonds	31	−30	21