CAPS United v Simba Bhora prediction · Premier Soccer League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

CAPS United 0–0 Simba Bhora CAPS UNITED WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said CAPS United win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.687

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 6 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said CAPS United win at 40%.
3′KICK-OFF CAPS United v Simba Bhora
5′Little has changed for our model: CAPS United 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–32–28
9′Little has changed for our model: CAPS United 40% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–33–28
32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was CAPS United win 35%)
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was CAPS United win 31%)
45′HALF-TIME CAPS United 0–0 Simba Bhora
49′SECOND HALF CAPS United 0–0 Simba Bhora
FTFULL TIME CAPS United 0–0 Simba Bhora
FTCAPS United 0–0 Simba Bhora · CAPS United win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

CAPS United win40%

Draw33%

Simba Bhora win28%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

VenueNational Sports Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

CAPS United

Simba Bhora

22Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	CAPS United	29	+9	47
11	Simba Bhora	29	−1	35

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · caps united winPublished 11 Oct 14:09

40% The market–

Us40%

We make CAPS United a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CAPS United win	40%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Simba Bhora win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
CAPS United or draw	72%	–	–
CAPS United clean sheet	41%	–	–
Simba Bhora clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 14.6%

0123450 14.6 10.8 5.3 1 13.9 14.3 5.9 2 8.4 7.4 3.3 3 3.2 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CAPS United down, Simba Bhora across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,798 Premier Soccer League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.9% of games this season, across 269 played.

Head to head

7 previous meetings, 2.86 goals a meeting; 4 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CAPS United at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Simba Bhora away: 0.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.12 goals for CAPS United, 0.89 for Simba Bhora. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.86

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 7

~~Both scored~~6 of 7

~~Last meetings~~SIM 1–1 CAP · SIM 0–1 CAP · CAP 1–3 SIM · SIM 2–1 CAP

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League

CAPS UNITED

LLWDDW0–1 · 0–1 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0

SIMBA BHORA

DLDLDL2–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hardrock	30	+34	63
2	Scotland Mabvuku	30	+34	61
3	Ngezi Platinum	30	+11	52
4	Dynamos	30	+18	51
5	Herentals	30	+3	48
6	CAPS United	29	+9	47
7	MWOS	30	+7	42
8	Highlanders	30	+4	42
9	Chicken Inn	30	−1	42
10	Platinum	30	−1	40
11	Simba Bhora	29	−1	35
12	Kariba	30	−8	32
13	Hunters	30	−11	32
14	Bulawayo Chiefs	30	−10	31
15	Agama	30	−22	25
16	Triangle United	30	−14	24
17	TelOne	30	−22	22
18	Manica Diamonds	30	−30	20