CAPS United v Scotland Mabvuku prediction · Premier Soccer League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CAPS UnitedDrawScotland Mabvuku

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Scotland Mabvuku 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Scotland Mabvuku are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CAPS United 26%, draw 33%, Scotland Mabvuku 41%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on CAPS United v Scotland MabvukuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

CAPS United win26%

Draw33%

Scotland Mabvuku win41%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CAPS United

Scotland Mabvuku

12Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)

Last match: 23 Oct · CAF Champions League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Scotland Mabvuku	30	+34	61
5	CAPS United	31	+11	51

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · scotland mabvuku winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Scotland Mabvuku a 41% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.1, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CAPS United v Scotland Mabvuku~~0.85 – 1.14

~~Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 1 Aug~~W3 D3 L0 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 51 v 61~~5 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CAPS United win	26%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Scotland Mabvuku win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
CAPS United or draw	59%	–	–
CAPS United clean sheet	32%	–	–
Scotland Mabvuku clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.0%

0123450 15.0 14.4 8.8 3.4 1 10.5 14.2 7.4 2.9 2 5.0 5.6 3.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CAPS United down, Scotland Mabvuku across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,810 Premier Soccer League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.0% of games this season, across 281 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025 in every competition we cover, 1.67 goals a meeting; 0 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CAPS United at home: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Scotland Mabvuku away: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.85 goals for CAPS United, 1.14 for Scotland Mabvuku. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 3

~~Both scored~~0 of 3

~~Last meetings~~SCO 2–0 CAP · SCO 0–1 CAP · CAP 0–2 SCO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 1 Aug

CAPS UNITED

WDDWDW4–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–0

SCOTLAND MABVUKU

DDWDWL0–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hardrock	31	+35	66
2	Scotland Mabvuku	30	+34	61
3	Ngezi Platinum	32	+13	56
4	Dynamos	32	+17	52
5	CAPS United	31	+11	51
6	Herentals	32	−1	48
7	MWOS	31	+10	45
8	Highlanders	31	+4	43
9	Platinum	32	0	43
10	Chicken Inn	31	−1	43
11	Simba Bhora	31	0	39
12	Hunters	31	−10	35
13	Kariba	32	−9	33
14	Bulawayo Chiefs	31	−12	31
15	Agama	31	−21	28
16	Triangle United	31	−17	24
17	TelOne	31	−23	22
18	Manica Diamonds	31	−30	21