Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
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ZESCO United v Green Eagles

ZESCO United
0–1Full time
Green Eagles

Super League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30
ZESCO United 0–1 Green Eagles ZESCO UNITED WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said ZESCO United win49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.975

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

ZESCO United win49%
Draw31%
Green Eagles win20%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zesco united winPublished 10 Oct 16:17
49% The market–
Us49%

We make ZESCO United a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
ZESCO United win49%––
Draw31%––
Green Eagles win20%––
Over 2.5 goals32%––
Both teams to score37%––
Over 1.5 goals59%––
Over 3.5 goals14%––
ZESCO United or draw80%––
ZESCO United clean sheet49%––
Green Eagles clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.8%
0123450 14.6 9.1 3.5 1 16.8 12.9 4.4 2 11.1 7.8 2.8 3 4.8 3.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+ZESCO United down, Green Eagles across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting1.70
Over 2.52 of 10
Both scored3 of 10
Last meetingsGRE 1–0 ZES · ZES 1–1 GRE · GRE 0–1 ZES · ZES 1–0 GRE

Form · last six in Super League

ZESCO UNITED

LLWWWD0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 6–1 · 1–1

GREEN EAGLES

WWLLLW2–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Green Eagles1+33
2Red Arrows1+23
3Green Buffaloes1+23
4Konkola Blades1+13
5Roan United1+13
6Nkana1+13
7Zanaco1+13
8Kabwe Warriors101
9Man Utd Zambia Academy101
10NAPSA Stars101
11ZESCO United101
12Kansanshi Dynamos101
13Makeni All Stars101
14Nkwazi1−10
15Power Dynamos1−10
16Nchanga Rangers1−10
17Trident1−10
18Mutondo Stars1−20
19Chirundu Utd1−20
20Mufulira Wanderers1−30

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 15:15 UTC.