Zanaco v Konkola Blades prediction · Super League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Zanaco 2–3 Konkola Blades ZANACO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Zanaco win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.834

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Zanaco win41%

Draw34%

Konkola Blades win26%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Zanaco

Konkola Blades

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Konkola Blades	1	+1	3
9	Zanaco	1	+1	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zanaco winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Zanaco a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zanaco win	41%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Konkola Blades win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	27%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	54%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Zanaco or draw	74%	–	–
Zanaco clean sheet	47%	–	–
Konkola Blades clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.5%

0123450 17.5 11.8 4.8 1 16.3 13.6 4.9 2 8.9 6.7 2.6 3 3.1 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zanaco down, Konkola Blades across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,546 Super League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 24.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 1.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zanaco at home: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Konkola Blades away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.04 goals for Zanaco, 0.76 for Konkola Blades. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~ZAN 1–1 KON · KON 0–1 ZAN · KON 0–0 ZAN · ZAN 3–0 KON

Form · last six in Super League

ZANACO

DLWDLW0–0 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–6 · 1–0

KONKOLA BLADES

DLWDWW1–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Green Eagles	2	+4	6
2	Nkana	2	+4	6
3	Man Utd Zambia Academy	2	+3	4
4	Red Arrows	2	+2	4
5	Green Buffaloes	2	+2	4
6	Kabwe Warriors	2	+1	4
7	Roan United	2	+1	4
8	Konkola Blades	1	+1	3
9	Zanaco	1	+1	3
10	NAPSA Stars	2	0	2
11	Nkwazi	2	−1	1
12	ZESCO United	2	−1	1
13	Trident	2	−1	1
14	Chirundu Utd	2	−2	1
15	Kansanshi Dynamos	2	−3	1
16	Makeni All Stars	2	−3	1
17	Mufulira Wanderers	2	−3	1
18	Power Dynamos	1	−1	0
19	Nchanga Rangers	1	−1	0
20	Mutondo Stars	2	−3	0