Trident v Zanaco prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TridentDrawZanaco

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Trident 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Trident are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Trident 41%, draw 31%, Zanaco 28%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Trident v ZanacoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Trident win41%

Draw31%

Zanaco win28%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Trident

Zanaco

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · trident winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Trident a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Trident v Zanaco~~1.20 – 0.93

~~Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct~~W1 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~9 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Trident win	41%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Zanaco win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Trident or draw	72%	–	–
Trident clean sheet	40%	–	–
Zanaco clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.6%

0123450 13.0 10.3 5.2 1 13.5 13.6 6.0 2 8.6 7.7 3.6 3 3.5 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Trident down, Zanaco across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Super League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Trident at home: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Zanaco away: 0.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for Trident, 0.93 for Zanaco. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ZAN 2–1 TRI · TRI 0–2 ZAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct

TRIDENT

LDLW0–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 6–1

ZANACO

WLDW1–0 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27 · Premier League · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zanaco	0	0	0
2	Nchanga Rangers	0	0	0
3	Nkana	0	0	0
4	Power Dynamos	0	0	0
5	Konkola Blades	0	0	0
6	NAPSA Stars	0	0	0
7	Man Utd Zambia Academy	0	0	0
8	Kansanshi Dynamos	0	0	0
9	Trident	0	0	0
10	Makeni All Stars	0	0	0