Red Arrows v Kabwe Warriors prediction · Super League

AI match analysis

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Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Red Arrows v Kabwe WarriorsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 03:00 · postponed, not graded

Red Arrows win48%

Draw32%

Kabwe Warriors win20%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Red Arrows

Kabwe Warriors

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Kabwe Warriors	0	0	0
4	Red Arrows	0	0	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · red arrows winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 03:00 · postponed, not graded

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Red Arrows a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Red Arrows v Kabwe Warriors~~1.22 – 0.68

~~Last six in Super League~~W3 D3 L0 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~4 v 3

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Red Arrows win	48%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Kabwe Warriors win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	30%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	57%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
Red Arrows or draw	80%	–	–
Red Arrows clean sheet	51%	–	–
Kabwe Warriors clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.5%

0123450 15.9 9.5 3.5 1 17.5 13.0 4.2 2 11.0 7.4 2.5 3 4.5 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Red Arrows down, Kabwe Warriors across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,548 Super League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 1.70 goals a meeting; 1 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Red Arrows at home: 1.33 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Kabwe Warriors away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Red Arrows, 0.68 for Kabwe Warriors. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.70

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~RED 3–1 KAB · KAB 0–1 RED · RED 1–1 KAB · KAB 0–2 RED

Form · last six in Super League

RED ARROWS

DWDWWD0–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 0–0

KABWE WARRIORS

DLDLDW1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ZESCO United	0	0	0
2	Green Buffaloes	0	0	0
3	Kabwe Warriors	0	0	0
4	Red Arrows	0	0	0
5	Roan United	0	0	0
6	Green Eagles	0	0	0
7	Nkwazi	0	0	0
8	Mufulira Wanderers	0	0	0
9	Mutondo Stars	0	0	0
10	Chirundu Utd	0	0	0