Red Arrows v Chirundu Utd prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Red ArrowsDrawChirundu Utd

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Red Arrows 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Red Arrows are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Red Arrows 57%, draw 28%, Chirundu Utd 15%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Red Arrows v Chirundu UtdBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Red Arrows win57%

Draw28%

Chirundu Utd win15%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Red Arrows

Chirundu Utd

8Days since last match13

Last match: 23 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Red Arrows	0	0	0
10	Chirundu Utd	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · red arrows winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Red Arrows a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Red Arrows v Chirundu Utd~~1.44 – 0.60

~~Form · Super League this season · since 4 Oct~~W1 D1 L0 · W1 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~4 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Red Arrows win	57%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Chirundu Utd win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
Red Arrows or draw	85%	–	–
Red Arrows clean sheet	55%	–	–
Chirundu Utd clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.9%

0123450 13.9 7.3 2.4 1 17.9 11.7 3.4 2 13.2 7.8 2.4 3 6.4 3.8 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Red Arrows down, Chirundu Utd across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Super League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Red Arrows at home: 1.33 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Chirundu Utd away: 0.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Red Arrows, 0.60 for Chirundu Utd. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League this season · since 4 Oct

RED ARROWS

WD3–1 · 0–0

CHIRUNDU UTD

LDW0–2 · 0–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27 · Premier League · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ZESCO United	0	0	0
2	Green Buffaloes	0	0	0
3	Kabwe Warriors	0	0	0
4	Red Arrows	0	0	0
5	Roan United	0	0	0
6	Green Eagles	0	0	0
7	Nkwazi	0	0	0
8	Mufulira Wanderers	0	0	0
9	Mutondo Stars	0	0	0
10	Chirundu Utd	0	0	0