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Nkwazi v Green Eagles
Nkwazi
Green EaglesSuper League · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 36%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: the draw was 36% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 35–37–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Nkwazi v Green Eagles
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 46% now
- 36′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 48%. 0–0 · 28–48–24
- 40′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 50%. 0–0 · 27–50–23
- 45′HALF-TIME Nkwazi 0–0 Green Eagles
- 46′SECOND HALF Nkwazi 0–0 Green Eagles
- 49′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 55%. 0–0 · 25–55–21
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 56% now
- 57′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 60%. 0–0 · 22–60–18
- 63′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 65%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 66% now
- 68′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–0 · 16–70–14
- 73′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–0 · 13–75–11
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 76% now
- 77′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–0 · 11–80–9
- 81′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–0 · 8–85–7
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 87% now
- 84′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–0 · 5–90–5
- 90′We published the draw at 36%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–0 · 3–95–2
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 96% now
- FTFULL TIME Nkwazi 0–0 Green Eagles
- FTNkwazi 0–0 Green Eagles · Draw: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Under 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
A draw is the likeliest result.
The Pitchside prediction: Nkwazi 35%, draw 36%, Green Eagles 29%. Over 2.5 goals 23%, both teams to score 32%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Nkwazi win35%
Green Eagles win29%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
NkwaziMIN
Green EaglesEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Nkwazi
Green Eagles
Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Zambia)
Last match: 17 Oct · Super League (Zambia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make the draw a 36% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 20%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nkwazi win | 35% | – | – |
| Draw | 36% | – | – |
| Green Eagles win | 29% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 32% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 49% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 9% | – | – |
| Nkwazi or draw | 71% | – | – |
| Nkwazi clean sheet | 47% | – | – |
| Green Eagles clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct
NKWAZI
GREEN EAGLES
The table
2026/27 · Premier League · group 2| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZESCO United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Green Buffaloes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kabwe Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Red Arrows | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Roan United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Green Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nkwazi | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Mufulira Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Mutondo Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chirundu Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
ZESCO United
Green Buffaloes
Kabwe Warriors
Red Arrows
Roan United
Mufulira Wanderers
Mutondo Stars
Chirundu Utd