NAPSA Stars v Nkana prediction · Super League

AI match analysis

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Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on NAPSA Stars v NkanaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 10:14 · postponed, not graded

NAPSA Stars win34%

Draw37%

Nkana win29%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

NAPSA Stars

Nkana

4Days since last match4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Nkana	0	0	0
6	NAPSA Stars	0	0	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 10:14 · postponed, not graded

37% The market–

Us37%

We make the draw a 37% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 21%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · NAPSA Stars v Nkana~~0.86 – 0.76

~~Last six in Super League~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~6 v 3

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · draw

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
NAPSA Stars win	34%	–	–
Draw	37%	–	–
Nkana win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	22%	–	–
Both teams to score	31%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	49%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	8%	–	–
NAPSA Stars or draw	71%	–	–
NAPSA Stars clean sheet	47%	–	–
Nkana clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 20.8%

0123450 20.8 14.3 5.8 1 16.2 13.5 4.9 2 7.3 5.5 2.1 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+NAPSA Stars down, Nkana across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,548 Super League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 1.38 goals a meeting; 0 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

NAPSA Stars at home: 1.17 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Nkana away: 0.67 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.86 goals for NAPSA Stars, 0.76 for Nkana. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~1.38

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~NAP 1–1 NKA · NKA 1–0 NAP · NKA 0–1 NAP · NAP 0–1 NKA

Form · last six in Super League

NAPSA STARS

LWDWDD0–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–0

NKANA

LWLDWW0–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zanaco	0	0	0
2	Nchanga Rangers	0	0	0
3	Nkana	0	0	0
4	Power Dynamos	0	0	0
5	Konkola Blades	0	0	0
6	NAPSA Stars	0	0	0
7	Man Utd Zambia Academy	0	0	0
8	Kansanshi Dynamos	0	0	0
9	Trident	0	0	0
10	Makeni All Stars	0	0	0