Mufulira Wanderers v Chirundu Utd prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Mufulira WanderersDrawChirundu Utd

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Mufulira Wanderers 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mufulira Wanderers are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mufulira Wanderers 40%, draw 35%, Chirundu Utd 25%. Over 2.5 goals 24%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Mufulira Wanderers v Chirundu UtdBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Mufulira Wanderers win40%

Draw35%

Chirundu Utd win25%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mufulira Wanderers

Chirundu Utd

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Mufulira Wanderers	0	0	0
10	Chirundu Utd	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mufulira wanderers winFirst published 19 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Mufulira Wanderers a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.7, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Mufulira Wanderers v Chirundu Utd~~0.99 – 0.70

~~Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct~~W0 D2 L1 · W1 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~8 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Mufulira Wanderers win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mufulira Wanderers win	40%	–	–
Draw	35%	–	–
Chirundu Utd win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	24%	–	–
Both teams to score	32%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	51%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	9%	–	–
Mufulira Wanderers or draw	75%	–	–
Mufulira Wanderers clean sheet	50%	–	–
Chirundu Utd clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 19.4%

0123450 19.4 12.2 4.6 1 17.4 13.2 4.4 2 9.0 6.2 2.2 3 3.0 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mufulira Wanderers down, Chirundu Utd across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Super League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Mufulira Wanderers at home: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Chirundu Utd away: 0.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

0.99 goals for Mufulira Wanderers, 0.70 for Chirundu Utd. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct

MUFULIRA WANDERERS

LDD1–4 · 0–0 · 0–0

CHIRUNDU UTD

LDW0–2 · 0–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27 · Premier League · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ZESCO United	0	0	0
2	Green Buffaloes	0	0	0
3	Kabwe Warriors	0	0	0
4	Red Arrows	0	0	0
5	Roan United	0	0	0
6	Green Eagles	0	0	0
7	Nkwazi	0	0	0
8	Mufulira Wanderers	0	0	0
9	Mutondo Stars	0	0	0
10	Chirundu Utd	0	0	0