Man Utd Zambia Academy v Power Dynamos prediction · Super League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24

Man Utd Zambia Academy 1–0 Power Dynamos POWER DYNAMOS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Power Dynamos win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.757

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Power Dynamos are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Man Utd Zambia Academy 29%, draw 31%, Power Dynamos 40%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Man Utd Zambia Academy v Power DynamosBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Man Utd Zambia Academy win29%

Draw31%

Power Dynamos win40%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Man Utd Zambia Academy

Power Dynamos

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Power Dynamos	0	0	0
7	Man Utd Zambia Academy	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · power dynamos winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Power Dynamos a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Man Utd Zambia Academy v Power Dynamos~~0.95 – 1.17

~~Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct~~W2 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~7 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Man Utd Zambia Academy win	29%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Power Dynamos win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Man Utd Zambia Academy or draw	60%	–	–
Man Utd Zambia Academy clean sheet	32%	–	–
Power Dynamos clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.9%

0123450 13.0 13.2 8.1 3.2 1 10.7 13.9 7.6 3.0 2 5.5 6.3 3.6 3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Man Utd Zambia Academy down, Power Dynamos across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,557 Super League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Man Utd Zambia Academy at home: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Power Dynamos away: 1.33 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for Man Utd Zambia Academy, 1.17 for Power Dynamos. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~POW 4–2 MAN · MAN 0–0 POW · POW 2–0 MAN · MAN 0–1 POW

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct

MAN UTD ZAMBIA ACADEMY

DWW1–1 · 4–1 · 1–0

POWER DYNAMOS

LWW1–2 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27 · Premier League · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zanaco	0	0	0
2	Nchanga Rangers	0	0	0
3	Nkana	0	0	0
4	Power Dynamos	0	0	0
5	Konkola Blades	0	0	0
6	NAPSA Stars	0	0	0
7	Man Utd Zambia Academy	0	0	0
8	Kansanshi Dynamos	0	0	0
9	Trident	0	0	0
10	Makeni All Stars	0	0	0