Konkola Blades v Nkana prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Konkola BladesDrawNkana

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Konkola Blades 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Konkola Blades just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Konkola Blades 37%, draw 34%, Nkana 29%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Konkola Blades v NkanaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Konkola Blades win37%

Draw34%

Nkana win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Konkola Blades

Nkana

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Nkana	0	0	0
5	Konkola Blades	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · konkola blades winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Konkola Blades a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Konkola Blades v Nkana~~1.00 – 0.84

~~Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct~~W2 D0 L1 · W3 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~5 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Konkola Blades win	37%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Nkana win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	28%	–	–
Both teams to score	36%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	55%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	12%	–	–
Konkola Blades or draw	71%	–	–
Konkola Blades clean sheet	43%	–	–
Nkana clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.0%

0123450 17.0 12.7 5.7 1 15.1 13.8 5.5 2 7.9 6.5 2.7 3 2.7 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Konkola Blades down, Nkana across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Super League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.83 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Konkola Blades at home: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Nkana away: 0.67 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.00 goals for Konkola Blades, 0.84 for Nkana. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.83

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~NKA 2–0 KON · KON 0–0 NKA · NKA 2–1 KON · KON 1–2 NKA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct

KONKOLA BLADES

WWL2–1 · 3–2 · 1–2

NKANA

WWW1–0 · 4–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27 · Premier League · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zanaco	0	0	0
2	Nchanga Rangers	0	0	0
3	Nkana	0	0	0
4	Power Dynamos	0	0	0
5	Konkola Blades	0	0	0
6	NAPSA Stars	0	0	0
7	Man Utd Zambia Academy	0	0	0
8	Kansanshi Dynamos	0	0	0
9	Trident	0	0	0
10	Makeni All Stars	0	0	0