Kansanshi Dynamos v Konkola Blades prediction · Super League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Kansanshi Dynamos 2–1 Konkola Blades KANSANSHI DYNAMOS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kansanshi Dynamos win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.567

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Kansanshi Dynamos just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Kansanshi Dynamos 39%, draw 35%, Konkola Blades 26%. Over 2.5 goals 25%, both teams to score 34%.

The AI’s read on Kansanshi Dynamos v Konkola BladesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kansanshi Dynamos win39%

Draw35%

Konkola Blades win26%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kansanshi Dynamos

Konkola Blades

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

Last match: 11 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Konkola Blades	0	0	0
8	Kansanshi Dynamos	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kansanshi dynamos winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Kansanshi Dynamos a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kansanshi Dynamos v Konkola Blades~~0.98 – 0.76

~~Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct~~W0 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~8 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Kansanshi Dynamos win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kansanshi Dynamos win	39%	–	–
Draw	35%	–	–
Konkola Blades win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	25%	–	–
Both teams to score	34%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	52%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	10%	–	–
Kansanshi Dynamos or draw	74%	–	–
Kansanshi Dynamos clean sheet	47%	–	–
Konkola Blades clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.6%

0123450 18.6 12.6 5.1 1 16.4 13.6 4.9 2 8.4 6.3 2.4 3 2.8 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kansanshi Dynamos down, Konkola Blades across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,548 Super League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kansanshi Dynamos at home: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Konkola Blades away: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.98 goals for Kansanshi Dynamos, 0.76 for Konkola Blades. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~KON 2–1 KAN · KAN 1–1 KON · KON 1–0 KAN · KAN 0–1 KON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct

KANSANSHI DYNAMOS

DL0–0 · 1–4

KONKOLA BLADES

WW2–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zanaco	0	0	0
2	Nchanga Rangers	0	0	0
3	Nkana	0	0	0
4	Power Dynamos	0	0	0
5	Konkola Blades	0	0	0
6	NAPSA Stars	0	0	0
7	Man Utd Zambia Academy	0	0	0
8	Kansanshi Dynamos	0	0	0
9	Trident	0	0	0
10	Makeni All Stars	0	0	0