Kabwe Warriors v Green Buffaloes prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kabwe WarriorsDrawGreen Buffaloes

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kabwe Warriors 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kabwe Warriors are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kabwe Warriors 49%, draw 32%, Green Buffaloes 20%. Over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Kabwe Warriors v Green BuffaloesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Kabwe Warriors win49%

Draw32%

Green Buffaloes win20%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kabwe Warriors

Green Buffaloes

15Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Green Buffaloes	0	0	0
3	Kabwe Warriors	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kabwe warriors winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 25 Oct 00:27 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Kabwe Warriors a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kabwe Warriors v Green Buffaloes~~1.22 – 0.67

~~Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct~~W1 D1 L0 · W1 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~3 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Kabwe Warriors win

Published at 48%, 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kabwe Warriors win	49%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Green Buffaloes win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	29%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	57%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	12%	–	–
Kabwe Warriors or draw	80%	–	–
Kabwe Warriors clean sheet	52%	–	–
Green Buffaloes clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.7%

0123450 16.1 9.4 3.4 1 17.7 12.8 4.1 2 11.2 7.4 2.5 3 4.6 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kabwe Warriors down, Green Buffaloes across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Super League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kabwe Warriors at home: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Green Buffaloes away: 0.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Kabwe Warriors, 0.67 for Green Buffaloes. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~GRE 0–2 KAB · KAB 1–0 GRE · GRE 1–0 KAB · KAB 1–1 GRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct

KABWE WARRIORS

DW1–1 · 3–2

GREEN BUFFALOES

WDD2–0 · 0–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27 · Premier League · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ZESCO United	0	0	0
2	Green Buffaloes	0	0	0
3	Kabwe Warriors	0	0	0
4	Red Arrows	0	0	0
5	Roan United	0	0	0
6	Green Eagles	0	0	0
7	Nkwazi	0	0	0
8	Mufulira Wanderers	0	0	0
9	Mutondo Stars	0	0	0
10	Chirundu Utd	0	0	0