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Model 1.1

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Green Eagles v Red Arrows

Green Eagles
–Postponed
Red Arrows

Super League · WED 14 OCT

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Green Eagles v Red ArrowsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 13:01 · postponed, not graded

Green Eagles win33%
Draw34%
Red Arrows win33%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Green Eagles

Red Arrows

4Days since last match4
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Red Arrows000
6Green Eagles000

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 13:01 · postponed, not graded
34% The market–
Us34%

We make the draw a 34% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Green Eagles v Red Arrows0.92 – 0.94
Last six in Super LeagueW3 D0 L3 · W3 D3 L0
Table places · points 0 v 06 v 4

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35% 9 OCT 06:2111 OCT 04:07
Our probability · draw

Published at 33%, 34% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Green Eagles win33%––
Draw34%––
Red Arrows win33%––
Over 2.5 goals29%––
Both teams to score37%––
Over 1.5 goals56%––
Over 3.5 goals12%––
Green Eagles or draw67%––
Green Eagles clean sheet40%––
Red Arrows clean sheet40%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.6%
0123450 16.6 13.8 6.8 2.2 1 13.6 14.0 6.2 2 6.7 6.1 2.9 3 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Green Eagles down, Red Arrows across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting1.90
Over 2.53 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsRED 2–1 GRE · GRE 1–0 RED · GRE 1–1 RED · RED 1–1 GRE

Form · last six in Super League

GREEN EAGLES

WLLLWW1–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 4–1 · 1–0

RED ARROWS

DWDWWD0–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27 · group 2
#TEAMPGDPTS
1ZESCO United000
2Green Buffaloes000
3Kabwe Warriors000
4Red Arrows000
5Roan United000
6Green Eagles000
7Nkwazi000
8Mufulira Wanderers000
9Mutondo Stars000
10Chirundu Utd000

The competition's standings.