Green Eagles v Kabwe Warriors prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Green EaglesDrawKabwe Warriors

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Green Eagles 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Green Eagles are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Green Eagles 40%, draw 34%, Kabwe Warriors 26%. Over 2.5 goals 27%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Green Eagles v Kabwe WarriorsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Green Eagles win40%

Draw34%

Kabwe Warriors win26%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Green Eagles

Kabwe Warriors

7Days since last match21

Last match: 24 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

Last match: 10 Oct · Super League (Zambia)

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Kabwe Warriors	0	0	0
6	Green Eagles	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · green eagles winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Green Eagles a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Green Eagles v Kabwe Warriors~~1.03 – 0.77

~~Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct~~W3 D1 L0 · W1 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~6 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Green Eagles win	40%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Kabwe Warriors win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	27%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	54%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Green Eagles or draw	74%	–	–
Green Eagles clean sheet	47%	–	–
Kabwe Warriors clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.6%

0123450 17.6 12.0 4.9 1 16.2 13.6 5.0 2 8.7 6.6 2.5 3 3.0 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Green Eagles down, Kabwe Warriors across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Super League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Green Eagles at home: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Kabwe Warriors away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.03 goals for Green Eagles, 0.77 for Kabwe Warriors. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~GRE 1–1 KAB · KAB 0–0 GRE · KAB 1–2 GRE · GRE 1–1 KAB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League this season · since 3 Oct

GREEN EAGLES

WWWD4–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

KABWE WARRIORS

DW1–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27 · Premier League · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ZESCO United	0	0	0
2	Green Buffaloes	0	0	0
3	Kabwe Warriors	0	0	0
4	Red Arrows	0	0	0
5	Roan United	0	0	0
6	Green Eagles	0	0	0
7	Nkwazi	0	0	0
8	Mufulira Wanderers	0	0	0
9	Mutondo Stars	0	0	0
10	Chirundu Utd	0	0	0