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Sweden W v Lithuania W

Sweden W
10–0Full time
Lithuania W

World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · TUE 13 OCT · Strawberry Arena

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 20:46
Sweden W 10–0 Lithuania W SWEDEN W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT4–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sweden W win95%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.005

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 31 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sweden W win at 95%.
  2. 2′KICK-OFF Sweden W v Lithuania W
  3. 3′Much as we predicted: Sweden W was 95% before kick-off and our model makes it 94% now. 0–0 · 94–5–2
  4. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Sweden W 0–0 Lithuania W · Nathalie Bjorn
  5. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Sweden W 1–0 Lithuania W · Nathalie Bjorn
  6. 15′11′ and it is 1–0: Nathalie Bjorn on the scoresheet for Sweden W. 1–0 · 98–2–0
  7. 17′⚽ GOAL · 16' Sweden W 2–0 Lithuania W · Stina Blackstenius
  8. 18′Sweden W ahead on 16′ through Stina Blackstenius. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  9. 26′⚽ GOAL · 25' Sweden W 3–0 Lithuania W · Smilla Holmberg
  10. 27′Smilla Holmberg scores for Sweden W on 25′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  11. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Sweden W 4–0 Lithuania W · Smilla Holmberg
  12. 32′⚽ GOAL · 30' Sweden W 4–0 Lithuania W · Hanna Lundkvist
  13. 34′30′ and it is 4–0: Hanna Lundkvist on the scoresheet for Sweden W. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  14. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Sweden W 5–0 Lithuania W · Hanna Lundkvist
  15. 38′⚽ GOAL · 36' Sweden W 5–0 Lithuania W · Felicia Schröder
  16. 40′Sweden W ahead on 36′ through Felicia Schröder. 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  17. 42′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.5 across ninety minutes. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  18. 45′Felicia Schröder scores for Sweden W on 45′ — 6–0. 6–0 · 100–0–0
  19. 45′6 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 6–0 · 100–0–0
  20. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Sweden W 6–0 Lithuania W · Felicia Schröder
  21. 45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Sweden W 6–0 Lithuania W · Felicia Schröder
  22. 45′HALF-TIME Sweden W 6–0 Lithuania W
  23. 46′SECOND HALF Sweden W 6–0 Lithuania W
  24. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sweden W · On: Amanda Nildén · Off: Aana Sandberg Corrected
  25. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sweden W · On: Filippa Angeldal · Off: Julia Zigiotti Olme Corrected
  26. 47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Sweden W 6–0 Lithuania W · Felicia Schröder (assist Smilla Holmberg)
  27. 54′That is 7, and we only asked for 4.5 across ninety minutes. 7–0 · 100–0–0
  28. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Sweden W 7–0 Lithuania W · Felicia Schröder
  29. 54′⚽ GOAL · 52' Sweden W 7–0 Lithuania W · Stina Blackstenius
  30. 56′52′ and it is 7–0: Stina Blackstenius on the scoresheet for Sweden W. 7–0 · 100–0–0
  31. 62′8 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 8–0 · 100–0–0
  32. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Sweden W 8–0 Lithuania W · Stina Blackstenius
  33. 62′⚽ GOAL · 60' Sweden W 8–0 Lithuania W · Amanda Ilestedt
  34. 64′Sweden W ahead on 60′ through Amanda Ilestedt. 8–0. 8–0 · 100–0–0
  35. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sweden W · On: Evelyn Ijeh · Off: Felicia Schröder Corrected
  36. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sweden W · On: Rusul Rosa Kafaji · Off: Anna·Anvegard Corrected
  37. 66′Much as we predicted: Sweden W was 95% before kick-off and our model makes it 100% now. 8–0 · 100–0–0
  38. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Lithuania W · On: Ugnė Jonelytė · Off: T. Romanovskaja Corrected
  39. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Lithuania W · On: Marija·Galkina · Off: Monika Grikšaitė Corrected
  40. 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Sweden W 9–0 Lithuania W · Stina Blackstenius
  41. 72′Liucija Vaitukaityte scores for Sweden W on 69′ — 9–0. 9–0 · 100–0–0
  42. 74′That is 9, and we only asked for 4.5 across ninety minutes. 9–0 · 100–0–0
  43. 82′81′ and it is 10–0: Amanda Ilestedt on the scoresheet for Sweden W. 10–0 · 100–0–0
  44. 82′⚽ GOAL · 81' Sweden W 9–0 Lithuania W · Amanda Ilestedt
  45. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Sweden W 10–0 Lithuania W · Amanda Ilestedt
  46. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Lithuania W · On: Greta Valikonienė · Off: Algimante Mikutaite Corrected
  47. 85′10 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 10–0 · 100–0–0
  48. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Lithuania W · On: J. Blaževičiūtė · Off: Laura Kubiliūtė Corrected
  49. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Lithuania W · On: M. Proscevičiūtė · Off: Ugnė Lazdauskaitė Corrected
  50. FTFULL TIME Sweden W 10–0 Lithuania W
  51. FTSweden W 10–0 Lithuania W · Sweden W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 4–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off

Sweden W win95%
Draw4%
Lithuania W win2%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 18:00

VenueStrawberry Arena

RefereeVuorio·Lotta

Line-ups

Sweden W

4-4-2

Lithuania W

5-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sweden W

Lithuania W

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2027

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
28Sweden W7+511
29Lithuania W7+311

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Sweden W

4-4-2

1 Z. Musovic

2 S. Holmberg

14 N. Bjorn

18 B. Andersson

5 A. Sandberg

7 M. Vinberg

4 H. Lundkvist

15 J. Zigiotti Olme

19 A. Anvegard

11 S. Blackstenius

17 F. Schroder

Coach · Johanna Almgren

Substitutes

12 · J. Falk

21 · M. Edrud

3 · A. Nilden

13 · A. Ilestedt

23 · A. Bergstrom

22 · S. Reidy

16 · F. Angeldal

20 · H. Bennison

8 · E. Ijeh

10 · R. Kafaji

6 · M. Jusu Bah

9 · B. Olsson

Lithuania W

5-4-1

22 M. Seskute

23 L. Rogaciova

3 L. Kubiliute

14 M. Liuzinaite

17 A. Bernotaite

6 T. Romanovskaja

5 M. Griksaite

4 A. Mikutaite

20 L. Vaitukaityte

7 U. Lazdauskaite

9 R. Jonusaite

Coach · T. Ražanauskas

Substitutes

12 · D. Mikuckyte

1 · A. Bikute

18 · A. Spakovskaja

16 · K. Jasaityte

19 · G. Valikoniene

13 · A. Jokubaityte

15 · J. Blazevicute

11 · M. Galkina

2 · V. Svarcaite

21 · U. Jonelyte

8 · E. Supelyte

10 · M. Prosceviciute

Our number · sweden w winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off
95% The market–
Us95%

We make Sweden W a 95% chance to win. The model expects 4.1–0.5, and 4–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published
85%90%95%100% 9 OCT 06:2313 OCT 05:55
Our probability · sweden w win

Published at 89%, 95% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sweden W win95%––
Draw4%––
Lithuania W win2%––
Over 2.5 goals83%––
Both teams to score37%––
Over 1.5 goals94%––
Over 3.5 goals67%––
Sweden W or draw98%––
Sweden W clean sheet62%––
Lithuania W clean sheet2%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 4–0 at 12.1%
0123450 1 4.6 2 8.7 4.2 3 11.9 5.7 4 12.1 5.8 5 9.9 4.8
under 2% 5% 12%+Sweden W down, Lithuania W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsLIT 0–5 SWE

Form · last six in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

SWEDEN W

DLWLDW0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 5–0

LITHUANIA W

DWLDWL0–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 0–5

The table

2027
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Switzerland W7+1719
2Portugal W7+1718
3Finland W7+1118
4England W7+1018
5Scotland W7+2417
6Belgium W7+2217
7Wales W7+1317
8Germany W6+1716
9Hungary W7+1116
10New Zealand W5+2515
11Spain W6+1815
12Kosovo W7+1615
13Croatia W7+1115
14Norway W7+415
15Netherlands W7+1114
16Denmark W6+714
17Turkey W7+614
18France W6+613
19Italy W7+1012
20Papua New Guinea W5+1012
21Republic of Ireland W7+812
22Azerbaijan W6+612
23Greece W5+512
24American Samoa W6+512
25Bosnia-Herzegovina W6+1811
26Czechia W7+811
27Estonia W6+511
28Sweden W7+511
29Lithuania W7+311
30Romania W5+610
31Belarus W5+79
32Iceland W7−59
33Austria W7−57
34Kazakhstan W5−57
35Albania W7−67
36Fiji W406
37Bulgaria W6−16
38Faroe Islands W4−16
39Northern Ireland W7−36
40Slovakia W7−116
41North Macedonia W6−126
42Israel W7−146
43Moldova W4+15
44Slovenia W7−134
45Cook Islands W2−33
46New Caledonia W3−83
47Samoa W3−83
48Ukraine W7−153
49Cyprus W4−91
50Poland W7−101
51Armenia W4−121
52Andorra W6−131
53Montenegro W6−171
54Serbia W7−171
55Tahiti W1−10
56Tonga W1−30
57Georgia W4−60
58Vanuatu W3−70
59Solomon Islands W3−100
60Latvia W6−130
61Malta W6−200
62Liechtenstein W6−310
63Gibraltar W6−310
64Luxembourg W6−330

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.