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Scotland W v Czechia W

Scotland W

3–2Full time

Czechia W

World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · TUE 13 OCT · The SMISA Stadium

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 22:03

Scotland W 3–2 Czechia W SCOTLAND W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Scotland W win~~61%

~~The market said~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.224

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.244

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 40 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Scotland W win at 61%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Scotland W 61% before kick-off, 60% now. 0–0 · 60–21–19
1′KICK-OFF Scotland W v Czechia W
2′We said Scotland W at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–1 · 36–23–41
2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Scotland W 0–1 Czechia W
2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Scotland W win: 61% at kick-off, 36% now
2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Czechia W win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Scotland W win 36%)
3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Scotland W 0–1 Czechia W
4′3′ and it is 1–1: Denisa Veselá on the scoresheet for Czechia W. 1–1 · 59–22–19
4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Scotland W 1–1 Czechia W · Denisa Veselá
4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Scotland W win: 61% at kick-off, 59% now
4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Scotland W win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Czechia W win 19%)
5′Scotland W ahead on 5′ through Lauren Davidson. 1–1. 1–1 · 59–22–20
5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Scotland W 1–1 Czechia W · Lauren Davidson
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Scotland W win: 61% at kick-off, 54% now
32′Klara Cahynova scores for Czechia W on 32′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 52–29–20
32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Scotland W 1–1 Czechia W · Klara Cahynova
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Scotland W win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
39′We said Scotland W at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–31–20
45′We said Scotland W at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–28–53
45′HALF-TIME Scotland W 1–2 Czechia W
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Scotland W 1–2 Czechia W · Klara Cahynova
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Scotland W win: 61% at kick-off, 19% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Czechia W win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Scotland W win 19%)
45′SECOND HALF Scotland W 1–2 Czechia W
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Scotland W · On: Erin Cuthbert · Off: Kirsty Hanson Corrected
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Scotland W · On: Sophie Howard · Off: Claire Emslie Corrected
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Scotland W 2–2 Czechia W · Klara Cahynova
48′⚽ GOAL · 49' Scotland W 2–2 Czechia W · Kath McGovern
53′49′ and it is 2–2: Kath McGovern on the scoresheet for Scotland W. 2–2 · 43–39–18
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Scotland W win: 61% at kick-off, 43% now
54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Franny·Cerna · Czechia W
55′We said Scotland W at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 2–2 · 42–40–18
57′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Czechia W · On: Kristyna Ruzickova · Off: Franny·Cerna Corrected
58′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 40–43–18
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Scotland W win: 61% at kick-off, 40% now
59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Czechia W win 17%)
65′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Scotland W · On: Chelsea Cornet · Off: Miri Taylor Corrected
66′We said Scotland W at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–50–16
66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Scotland W · On: Martha Thomas · Off: Kath McGovern Corrected
69′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Barbora Polcarova · Czechia W
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Scotland W win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Scotland W 3–2 Czechia W · Kath McGovern
73′Scotland W ahead on 72′ through Christy Grimshaw. 3–2. 3–2 · 87–12–1
73′⚽ GOAL · 72' Scotland W 3–2 Czechia W · Christy Grimshaw
73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Czechia W · On: Jana Zufankova · Off: Andrea Stašková Corrected
73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Czechia W · On: Radka Hlouchová · Off: Franny·Cerna Corrected
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Scotland W win: 61% at kick-off, 87% now
74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Scotland W win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
75′We said Scotland W at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 3–2 · 88–11–1
78′We said Scotland W at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–10–1
78′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Czechia W · On: Aneta Pochmanova · Off: Katerina Kotrcova Corrected
80′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 91–9–1
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Scotland W win: 61% at kick-off, 91% now
82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Scotland W · On: Kirsty Maclean · Off: Christy Grimshaw Corrected
88′We said Scotland W at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 3–2 · 96–4–0
FTFULL TIME Scotland W 3–2 Czechia W
FTScotland W 3–2 Czechia W · Scotland W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 18:26 · locked at kick-off

Scotland W win61%

Draw18%

Czechia W win21%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:15

VenueThe SMISA Stadium

RefereeMaria Sole Ferrieri Caputi

Line-ups

Scotland W

3-4-3

Czechia W

4-3-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Scotland W

Czechia W

4Days since last match4

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2027

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Scotland W	7	+24	17
26	Czechia W	7	+8	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Scotland W

3-4-3

12 Sandy MacIver

14 R. McLauchlan

4 J. Clark

2 N. Docherty

3 A. Muir

15 M. Taylor

17 C. Grimshaw

10 K. Hanson

18 C. Emslie

19 L. Davidson

11 K. McGovern

Coach · M. Andreatta

Substitutes

21 · E. Cumings

1 · L. Gibson

5 · S. Howard

23 · E. Lawton

22 · E. Cuthbert

6 · K. MacLean

16 · C. Cornet

8 · S. Kerr

13 · K. Howat

20 · M. Thomas

7 · F. Gregory

Czechia W

4-3-3

1 B. Votikova

20 D. Vesela

2 L. Bendova

17 B. Polcarova

6 E. Bartonova

18 K. Dubcova

12 K. Cahynova

15 K. Kotrcova

22 F. Cerna

9 A. Staskova

14 M. Khyrova

Coach · Jitka Klimková

Substitutes

16 · O. Lukasova

23 · V. Jilkova

19 · A. Dedinova

8 · A. Pochmanova

10 · R. Hlouchova

7 · J. Zufankova

13 · A. Subrtova

21 · K. Ruzickova

5 · A. Polaskova

4 · K. Vithova

Our number · scotland w winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 18:26 · locked at kick-off

61% The market60%

Us61%

~~Market~~60%

We make Scotland W a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · scotland w win The market, margin stripped

Published at 53%, 61% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Scotland W win	61%	60%	+1
Draw	18%	24%	−7
Czechia W win	21%	16%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	61%	46%	+15
Both teams to score	56%	44%	+12
Over 1.5 goals	81%	70%	+11
Over 3.5 goals	39%	26%	+13
Scotland W or draw	79%	84%	−5
Scotland W clean sheet	34%	–	–
Czechia W clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.5%

0123450 2.6 6.3 2.5 1 10.5 8.0 5.2 2 9.1 9.9 5.4 3 6.3 6.8 3.7 4 3.2 3.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Scotland W down, Czechia W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~CZE 0–2 SCO

Form · last six in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

SCOTLAND W

WDDWWW7–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 6–0 · 5–1 · 2–0

CZECHIA W

WWWDLL5–1 · 5–0 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–2

The table

2027

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland W	7	+17	19
2	Portugal W	7	+17	18
3	Finland W	7	+11	18
4	England W	7	+10	18
5	Scotland W	7	+24	17
6	Belgium W	7	+22	17
7	Wales W	7	+13	17
8	Germany W	6	+17	16
9	Hungary W	7	+11	16
10	New Zealand W	5	+25	15
11	Spain W	6	+18	15
12	Kosovo W	7	+16	15
13	Croatia W	7	+11	15
14	Norway W	7	+4	15
15	Netherlands W	7	+11	14
16	Denmark W	6	+7	14
17	Turkey W	7	+6	14
18	France W	6	+6	13
19	Italy W	7	+10	12
20	Papua New Guinea W	5	+10	12
21	Republic of Ireland W	7	+8	12
22	Azerbaijan W	6	+6	12
23	Greece W	5	+5	12
24	American Samoa W	6	+5	12
25	Bosnia-Herzegovina W	6	+18	11
26	Czechia W	7	+8	11
27	Estonia W	6	+5	11
28	Sweden W	7	+5	11
29	Lithuania W	7	+3	11
30	Romania W	5	+6	10
31	Belarus W	5	+7	9
32	Iceland W	7	−5	9
33	Austria W	7	−5	7
34	Kazakhstan W	5	−5	7
35	Albania W	7	−6	7
36	Fiji W	4	0	6
37	Bulgaria W	6	−1	6
38	Faroe Islands W	4	−1	6
39	Northern Ireland W	7	−3	6
40	Slovakia W	7	−11	6
41	North Macedonia W	6	−12	6
42	Israel W	7	−14	6
43	Moldova W	4	+1	5
44	Slovenia W	7	−13	4
45	Cook Islands W	2	−3	3
46	New Caledonia W	3	−8	3
47	Samoa W	3	−8	3
48	Ukraine W	7	−15	3
49	Cyprus W	4	−9	1
50	Poland W	7	−10	1
51	Armenia W	4	−12	1
52	Andorra W	6	−13	1
53	Montenegro W	6	−17	1
54	Serbia W	7	−17	1
55	Tahiti W	1	−1	0
56	Tonga W	1	−3	0
57	Georgia W	4	−6	0
58	Vanuatu W	3	−7	0
59	Solomon Islands W	3	−10	0
60	Latvia W	6	−13	0
61	Malta W	6	−20	0
62	Liechtenstein W	6	−31	0
63	Gibraltar W	6	−31	0
64	Luxembourg W	6	−33	0