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Republic of Ireland W v Kazakhstan W

Republic of Ireland W
4–0Full time
Kazakhstan W

World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · TUE 13 OCT · Pairc Ui Chaoimh

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 22:03
Republic of Ireland W 4–0 Kazakhstan W REPUBLIC OF IRELAND W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Republic of Ireland W win77%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.077

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Republic of Ireland W win at 77%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Republic of Ireland W v Kazakhstan W
  3. 3′Little has changed for our model: Republic of Ireland W 77% before kick-off, 76% now. 0–0 · 76–15–9
  4. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Republic of Ireland W win: 77% at kick-off, 66% now
  5. 34′We said Republic of Ireland W at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 65%. 0–0 · 65–24–11
  6. 35′10.0 shots for Republic of Ireland W, 0.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 65–24–11
  7. 37′We said Republic of Ireland W at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–25–11
  8. 41′40′ and it is 0–0: jessica stapleton on the scoresheet for Republic of Ireland W. 0–0 · 62–27–11
  9. 41′⚽ GOAL · 40' Republic of Ireland W 0–0 Kazakhstan W · jessica stapleton
  10. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Republic of Ireland W 1–0 Kazakhstan W · jessica stapleton
  11. 43′We said Republic of Ireland W at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–9–2
  12. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Republic of Ireland W win: 77% at kick-off, 89% now
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Republic of Ireland W 1–0 Kazakhstan W
  14. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kazakhstan W · On: kazyna norbayeva · Off: Karina Zhumabaikyzy Corrected
  15. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Republic of Ireland W · On: Marissa Sheva · Off: S. Hopcroft Corrected
  16. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Republic of Ireland W · On: Tyler Toland · Off: Anna Rose Patten Corrected
  17. 46′SECOND HALF Republic of Ireland W 1–0 Kazakhstan W
  18. 48′Republic of Ireland W ahead on 48′ through Katie McCabe. 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  19. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Republic of Ireland W 2–0 Kazakhstan W · Katie McCabe
  20. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Republic of Ireland W win: 77% at kick-off, 98% now
  21. 50′We said Republic of Ireland W at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  22. 52′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  23. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Republic of Ireland W · On: Amber Barrett · Off: Abbie Larkin Corrected
  24. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Republic of Ireland W · On: Lucy Quinn · Off: A. Mannion Corrected
  25. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Kazakhstan W · On: Leila Sadykova · Off: Anastassiya nizamutdinova Corrected
  26. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Kazakhstan W · On: Valeriya Popova · Off: F. Satygaliyeva Corrected
  27. 70′Lucy Quinn scores for Republic of Ireland W on 70′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  28. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Republic of Ireland W 2–0 Kazakhstan W · Lucy Quinn
  29. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Republic of Ireland W 3–0 Kazakhstan W · Lucy Quinn
  30. 73′We said Republic of Ireland W at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  31. 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Republic of Ireland W 3–0 Kazakhstan W · Denise O'Sullivan
  32. 75′73′ and it is 4–0: Denise O'Sullivan on the scoresheet for Republic of Ireland W. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  33. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Republic of Ireland W 4–0 Kazakhstan W · Denise O'Sullivan
  34. 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  35. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Kazakhstan W · On: K. Shustova · Off: Asselkhan Turlybekova Corrected
  36. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Republic of Ireland W · On: Kyra Carusa · Off: Emily murphy Corrected
  37. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Kazakhstan W · On: Tomiris Rakhatzhan · Off: A. Bibossynova Corrected
  38. FTFULL TIME Republic of Ireland W 4–0 Kazakhstan W
  39. FTRepublic of Ireland W 4–0 Kazakhstan W · Republic of Ireland W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 19:03 · locked at kick-off

Republic of Ireland W win77%
Draw12%
Kazakhstan W win10%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:30

VenuePairc Ui Chaoimh

RefereeMichaela Pachtova

Line-ups

Republic of Ireland W

3-1-4-2

Kazakhstan W

5-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Republic of Ireland W

Kazakhstan W

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2027

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
21Republic of Ireland W7+812
34Kazakhstan W5−57

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Republic of Ireland W

3-1-4-2

1 C. Brosnan

12 A. Patten

13 H. Nolan

2 J. Stapleton

6 M. Connolly

5 A. Mannion

10 D. O'Sullivan

8 S. Hopcroft

11 K. McCabe

19 A. Larkin

21 E. Murphy

Coach · Carla Ward

Substitutes

16 · G. Moloney

23 · S. Whitehouse

4 · C. Hayes

17 · J. Finn

22 · T. Toland

14 · M. Sheva

15 · L. Quinn

3 · A. Clancy

20 · L. Kiernan

9 · A. Barrett

7 · H. Payne

18 · K. Carusa

Kazakhstan W

5-4-1

1 A. Portnova

14 Y. Babshuk

9 B. Nurusheva

23 A. Vlasova

18 A. Burova

8 A. Gaistenova

6 A. Nizamutdinova

21 A. Turlybekova

17 K. Zhumabaikyzy

19 F. Satygalieva

10 A. Bibossynova

Coach · M. Kembilov

Substitutes

12 · N. Ismailova

4 · A. Bekkozhina

2 · K. Shustova

16 · N. Aldanazar

3 · A. Nabokova

15 · A. Sunkarova

5 · T. Rakhatzhan

7 · L. Sadykova

20 · A. Mamyrova

22 · P. Osipova

13 · V. Popova

11 · K. Norbaeva

Our number · republic of ireland w winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 19:03 · locked at kick-off
77% The market–
Us77%

We make Republic of Ireland W a 77% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published
50%60%70%80%90%100% 9 OCT 06:2313 OCT 05:55
Our probability · republic of ireland w win

Published at 61%, 77% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Republic of Ireland W win77%––
Draw12%––
Kazakhstan W win10%––
Over 2.5 goals67%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals84%––
Over 3.5 goals45%––
Republic of Ireland W or draw90%––
Republic of Ireland W clean sheet45%––
Kazakhstan W clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.2%
0123450 2.1 3.8 1 9.7 5.7 2.7 2 11.2 9.0 3.6 3 9.8 7.9 3.2 4 6.4 5.2 2.1 5 3.4 2.7
under 2% 5% 12%+Republic of Ireland W down, Kazakhstan W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting8.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsKAZ 0–8 REP

Form · last six in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

REPUBLIC OF IRELAND W

LWWWLW1–2 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 8–0

KAZAKHSTAN W

LWLWDL0–1 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–8

The table

2027
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Switzerland W7+1719
2Portugal W7+1718
3Finland W7+1118
4England W7+1018
5Scotland W7+2417
6Belgium W7+2217
7Wales W7+1317
8Germany W6+1716
9Hungary W7+1116
10New Zealand W5+2515
11Spain W6+1815
12Kosovo W7+1615
13Croatia W7+1115
14Norway W7+415
15Netherlands W7+1114
16Denmark W6+714
17Turkey W7+614
18France W6+613
19Italy W7+1012
20Papua New Guinea W5+1012
21Republic of Ireland W7+812
22Azerbaijan W6+612
23Greece W5+512
24American Samoa W6+512
25Bosnia-Herzegovina W6+1811
26Czechia W7+811
27Estonia W6+511
28Sweden W7+511
29Lithuania W7+311
30Romania W5+610
31Belarus W5+79
32Iceland W7−59
33Austria W7−57
34Kazakhstan W5−57
35Albania W7−67
36Fiji W406
37Bulgaria W6−16
38Faroe Islands W4−16
39Northern Ireland W7−36
40Slovakia W7−116
41North Macedonia W6−126
42Israel W7−146
43Moldova W4+15
44Slovenia W7−134
45Cook Islands W2−33
46New Caledonia W3−83
47Samoa W3−83
48Ukraine W7−153
49Cyprus W4−91
50Poland W7−101
51Armenia W4−121
52Andorra W6−131
53Montenegro W6−171
54Serbia W7−171
55Tahiti W1−10
56Tonga W1−30
57Georgia W4−60
58Vanuatu W3−70
59Solomon Islands W3−100
60Latvia W6−130
61Malta W6−200
62Liechtenstein W6−310
63Gibraltar W6−310
64Luxembourg W6−330

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.