Norway W v Romania W prediction · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 19:32

Norway W 6–0 Romania W NORWAY W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Norway W win~~80%

~~The market said~~90%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.064

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.017

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Norway W win at 80%.
2′Much as we predicted: Norway W was 80% before kick-off and our model makes it 78% now. 0–0 · 78–15–8
2′KICK-OFF Norway W v Romania W
3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Norway W 1–0 Romania W
9′3′ and it is 2–0: Synne Sofie Jensen on the scoresheet for Norway W. 2–0 · 98–2–0
9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Norway W 2–0 Romania W · Synne Sofie Jensen
9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Norway W win: 80% at kick-off, 98% now
10′⚽ GOAL · 9' Norway W 2–0 Romania W · Elisabeth Terland
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Norway W 3–0 Romania W · Elisabeth Terland
14′Elisabeth Terland scores for Norway W on 12′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Norway W win: 80% at kick-off, 100% now
19′We published Norway W at 80%. Our model now makes it 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
45′HALF-TIME Norway W 3–0 Romania W
46′SECOND HALF Norway W 3–0 Romania W
47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Norway W · On: Guro Bergsvand · Off: Mathilde Harviken Corrected
47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Norway W · On: Selma Panengstuen · Off: Cecilie Fiskerstrand Corrected
55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Norway W 4–0 Romania W · Elisabeth Terland
58′54′ and it is 4–0: Elisabeth Terland on the scoresheet for Norway W. 4–0 · 100–0–0
61′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 4–0 · 100–0–0
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Norway W · On: Vilde Risa · Off: Guro Reiten Corrected
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Norway W · On: cathinka tandberg · Off: Elisabeth Terland Corrected
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Norway W 5–0 Romania W · Elisabeth Terland
66′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Norway W · On: Frida Maanum · Off: Elisabeth Terland Corrected
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Norway W 5–0 Romania W · Ingrid Syrstad Engen
68′Norway W ahead on 66′ through Marthine Ostenstad. 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
71′Julie Blakstad scores for Norway W on 70′ — 6–0. 6–0 · 100–0–0
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Norway W 6–0 Romania W · Marthine Ostenstad
71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Norway W 6–0 Romania W · Julie Blakstad
75′6 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 6–0 · 100–0–0
78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Romania W · On: S. Bumbar · Off: Cristina Daniela Botojel Corrected
79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Romania W · On: Ioana Cezara Stancu · Off: erika gered Corrected
79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Romania W · On: claudia bistrian · Off: Carmen Sorina Marcu Corrected
81′That is 7, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 7–0 · 100–0–0
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Norway W 7–0 Romania W · Julie Blakstad
82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Romania W · On: Bianca Ienovan · Off: Mihaela ciolacu Corrected
83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Romania W · On: Anda Gabriela Jivan · Off: A. Stanciu Corrected
FTFULL TIME Norway W 6–0 Romania W
FTNorway W 6–0 Romania W · Norway W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 16:14 · locked at kick-off

Norway W win80%

Draw12%

Romania W win9%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 17:00

VenueUllevaal Stadion

RefereeOlivia Tschon

Line-ups

Norway W

3-4-2-1

Romania W

5-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Norway W

Romania W

4Days since last match4

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2027

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Norway W	7	+4	15
30	Romania W	5	+6	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Norway W

3-4-2-1

1 C. Fiskerstrand

3 M. Ostenstad

7 I. Engen

16 M. Harviken

13 T. Bjelde

21 L. Naalsund

11 G. Reiten

4 J. Blakstad

20 S. Jensen

22 S. Gaupset

9 E. Terland

Coach · Gemma Grainger

Substitutes

23 · S. Skoglund

12 · S. Panengstuen

6 · E. Woldvik

5 · G. Bergsvand

2 · M. Bratberg

17 · E. Godo

8 · V. Boe Risa

18 · F. Leonhardsen-Maanum

15 · J. Kielland

19 · C. Tandberg

14 · A. Hegerberg

Romania W

5-4-1

1 A. Paraluta

3 M. Nagy

2 A. M. Stanciu

6 M. Ficzay

15 B. Goder

13 E. Gered

5 T. Nicoara

19 O. Iordachiusi

4 C. Botojel

22 C. Marcu

10 M. Ciolacu

Coach · C. Dulca

Substitutes

23 · S. Campean

12 · C. Rosu

16 · I. C. Stancu

14 · A. Herczeg

17 · C. Bistrian

9 · O. Negrea

21 · A. Pinzariu

11 · D. A. Pinzariu

20 · A. Borodi

7 · B. Ienovan

8 · S. Bumbar

18 · A. Jivan

Our number · norway w winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 16:14 · locked at kick-off

80% The market90%

Us80%

~~Market~~90%

We make Norway W a 80% chance to win. The market has them at 90%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.6–0.7.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · norway w win The market, margin stripped

Published at 72%, 80% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 90% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Norway W win	80%	90%	−11
Draw	12%	8%	+4
Romania W win	9%	2%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	62%	79%	−16
Both teams to score	43%	21%	+23
Over 1.5 goals	82%	91%	−9
Over 3.5 goals	40%	60%	−20
Norway W or draw	91%	98%	−7
Norway W clean sheet	52%	–	–
Romania W clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 13.1%

0123450 2.8 3.8 1 11.4 5.6 2.2 2 13.1 8.7 2.9 3 11.2 7.4 2.4 4 7.1 4.7 5 3.6 2.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Norway W down, Romania W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~ROM 0–2 NOR

Form · last six in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

NORWAY W

LWWLWW0–4 · 5–0 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 2–0

ROMANIA W

WWWWDL2–0 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 0–2

The table

2027

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland W	7	+17	19
2	Portugal W	7	+17	18
3	Finland W	7	+11	18
4	England W	7	+10	18
5	Scotland W	7	+24	17
6	Belgium W	7	+22	17
7	Wales W	7	+13	17
8	Germany W	6	+17	16
9	Hungary W	7	+11	16
10	New Zealand W	5	+25	15
11	Spain W	6	+18	15
12	Kosovo W	7	+16	15
13	Croatia W	7	+11	15
14	Norway W	7	+4	15
15	Netherlands W	7	+11	14
16	Denmark W	6	+7	14
17	Turkey W	7	+6	14
18	France W	6	+6	13
19	Italy W	7	+10	12
20	Papua New Guinea W	5	+10	12
21	Republic of Ireland W	7	+8	12
22	Azerbaijan W	6	+6	12
23	Greece W	5	+5	12
24	American Samoa W	6	+5	12
25	Bosnia-Herzegovina W	6	+18	11
26	Czechia W	7	+8	11
27	Estonia W	6	+5	11
28	Sweden W	7	+5	11
29	Lithuania W	7	+3	11
30	Romania W	5	+6	10
31	Belarus W	5	+7	9
32	Iceland W	7	−5	9
33	Austria W	7	−5	7
34	Kazakhstan W	5	−5	7
35	Albania W	7	−6	7
36	Fiji W	4	0	6
37	Bulgaria W	6	−1	6
38	Faroe Islands W	4	−1	6
39	Northern Ireland W	7	−3	6
40	Slovakia W	7	−11	6
41	North Macedonia W	6	−12	6
42	Israel W	7	−14	6
43	Moldova W	4	+1	5
44	Slovenia W	7	−13	4
45	Cook Islands W	2	−3	3
46	New Caledonia W	3	−8	3
47	Samoa W	3	−8	3
48	Ukraine W	7	−15	3
49	Cyprus W	4	−9	1
50	Poland W	7	−10	1
51	Armenia W	4	−12	1
52	Andorra W	6	−13	1
53	Montenegro W	6	−17	1
54	Serbia W	7	−17	1
55	Tahiti W	1	−1	0
56	Tonga W	1	−3	0
57	Georgia W	4	−6	0
58	Vanuatu W	3	−7	0
59	Solomon Islands W	3	−10	0
60	Latvia W	6	−13	0
61	Malta W	6	−20	0
62	Liechtenstein W	6	−31	0
63	Gibraltar W	6	−31	0
64	Luxembourg W	6	−33	0