Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe › Netherlands W v Hungary W

Back

Netherlands W v Hungary W

Netherlands W
3–0Full time
Hungary W

World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · TUE 13 OCT · Koning Willem II Stadion

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 22:30
Netherlands W 3–0 Hungary W NETHERLANDS W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG5–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Netherlands W win95%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.004

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Netherlands W win at 95%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Netherlands W v Hungary W
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Netherlands W 95% before kick-off, 94% now. 0–0 · 94–4–2
  4. 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Netherlands W 0–0 Hungary W · Esmee Brugts
  5. 10′Esmee Brugts scores for Netherlands W on 8′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 98–2–1
  6. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Netherlands W 1–0 Hungary W · Esmee Brugts
  7. 40′39′ and it is 2–0: Lineth Beerensteyn on the scoresheet for Netherlands W. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  8. 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' Netherlands W 1–0 Hungary W · Victoria Pelova
  9. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Netherlands W 2–0 Hungary W · Lineth Beerensteyn
  10. 45′Netherlands W ahead on 45′ through Damaris Egurrola. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  11. 45′The goal count is tracking the 6.0 we expected. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  12. 45′⚽ GOAL · 49' Netherlands W 2–0 Hungary W · Damaris Egurrola
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Netherlands W 3–0 Hungary W
  14. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Netherlands W 3–0 Hungary W · Damaris Egurrola
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Netherlands W 3–0 Hungary W
  16. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Netherlands W · On: Kerstin·Casparij · Off: Lynn Wilms
  17. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Netherlands W · On: Ella Peddemors · Off: Damaris Egurrola
  18. 47′⚽ GOAL · 49' Netherlands W 3–0 Hungary W · Damaris Egurrola (assist Esmee Brugts)
  19. 48′⚽ GOAL · 49' Netherlands W 3–0 Hungary W · Damaris Egurrola (assist Esmee Brugts)
  20. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Georgina Pataki · Hungary W
  21. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Netherlands W · On: Lotte Jasmijn Keukelaar · Off: Danielle van de Donk
  22. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Borbála Dóra Vincze · Hungary W
  23. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Hungary W · On: Dora Zeller · Off: Evelin Fenyvesi
  24. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Hungary W · On: Cecília Mészáros · Off: Sára Pusztai
  25. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Hungary W · On: V. Nagy · Off: Emoke Patricia Papai
  26. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Netherlands W · On: isa kardinaal · Off: veerle buurman
  27. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Hungary W · On: Csilla Savanya · Off: Georgina Pataki
  28. FTFULL TIME Netherlands W 3–0 Hungary W
  29. FTNetherlands W 3–0 Hungary W · Netherlands W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 5–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 19:03 · locked at kick-off

Netherlands W win95%
Draw3%
Hungary W win2%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:45

VenueKoning Willem II Stadion

RefereeFranziska Wildfeuer

Line-ups

Netherlands W

4-3-3

Hungary W

5-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Netherlands W

Hungary W

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2027

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Hungary W7+1116
15Netherlands W7+1114

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Netherlands W

4-3-3

1 L. Kop

2 L. Wilms

20 D. Janssen

4 V. Buurman

13 J. Levels

8 W. Kaptein

21 D. Egurrola

17 V. Pelova

10 D. van de Donk

7 L. Beerensteyn

11 E. Brugts

Coach · Arjan Veurink

Substitutes

3 · C. Dijkstra

5 · M. Olislagers

6 · J. Roord

9 · L. Rijsbergen

12 · C. Grant

14 · L. Keukelaar

15 · E. Peddemors

16 · D. de Jong

18 · K. Casparij

19 · S. Proost

22 · I. Kardinaal

23 · F. Liefting

Hungary W

5-4-1

1 L. Brzykcy

13 V. Nagy

21 F. Nagy

10 L. Papp

3 L. Palakovics

14 G. Pataki

4 S. Pusztai

6 E. Fenyvesi

7 H. Csiszar

17 B. D. Vincze

5 E. Papai

Coach · A. Szarvas

Substitutes

2 · M. Szabo

8 · V. Nagy

9 · C. Savanya

11 · Z. Mayer

12 · N. Williams

15 · Z. Kajan

16 · B. Zagonyi

18 · C. Meszaros

19 · D. Zeller

20 · L. Nagy

22 · A. Terestyenyi

23 · H. Nemeth

Our number · netherlands w winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 19:03 · locked at kick-off
95% The market–
Us95%

We make Netherlands W a 95% chance to win. The model expects 5.0–0.9, and 5–0 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published
80%85%90%95%100% 9 OCT 06:2313 OCT 05:55
Our probability · netherlands w win

Published at 85%, 95% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Netherlands W win95%––
Draw3%––
Hungary W win2%––
Over 2.5 goals94%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals98%––
Over 3.5 goals85%––
Netherlands W or draw98%––
Netherlands W clean sheet40%––
Hungary W clean sheet1%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 5–0 at 7.1%
0123450 1 2 3.1 2.9 3 5.4 4.9 2.3 4 6.9 6.4 2.9 5 7.1 6.5 3.0
under 2% 5% 12%+Netherlands W down, Hungary W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting8.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsHUN 0–8 NET

Form · last six in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

NETHERLANDS W

WWDLWW2–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 3–1 · 8–0

HUNGARY W

WWWWWL1–0 · 5–0 · 7–0 · 2–1 · 6–1 · 0–8

The table

2027
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Switzerland W7+1719
2Portugal W7+1718
3Finland W7+1118
4England W7+1018
5Scotland W7+2417
6Belgium W7+2217
7Wales W7+1317
8Germany W6+1716
9Hungary W7+1116
10New Zealand W5+2515
11Spain W6+1815
12Kosovo W7+1615
13Croatia W7+1115
14Norway W7+415
15Netherlands W7+1114
16Denmark W6+714
17Turkey W7+614
18France W6+613
19Italy W7+1012
20Papua New Guinea W5+1012
21Republic of Ireland W7+812
22Azerbaijan W6+612
23Greece W5+512
24American Samoa W6+512
25Bosnia-Herzegovina W6+1811
26Czechia W7+811
27Estonia W6+511
28Sweden W7+511
29Lithuania W7+311
30Romania W5+610
31Belarus W5+79
32Iceland W7−59
33Austria W7−57
34Kazakhstan W5−57
35Albania W7−67
36Fiji W406
37Bulgaria W6−16
38Faroe Islands W4−16
39Northern Ireland W7−36
40Slovakia W7−116
41North Macedonia W6−126
42Israel W7−146
43Moldova W4+15
44Slovenia W7−134
45Cook Islands W2−33
46New Caledonia W3−83
47Samoa W3−83
48Ukraine W7−153
49Cyprus W4−91
50Poland W7−101
51Armenia W4−121
52Andorra W6−131
53Montenegro W6−171
54Serbia W7−171
55Tahiti W1−10
56Tonga W1−30
57Georgia W4−60
58Vanuatu W3−70
59Solomon Islands W3−100
60Latvia W6−130
61Malta W6−200
62Liechtenstein W6−310
63Gibraltar W6−310
64Luxembourg W6−330

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.