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Kosovo W v Austria W

Kosovo W

1–2Full time

Austria W

World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · FRI 9 OCT · Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31

Kosovo W 1–2 Austria W KOSOVO W WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kosovo W win~~53%

~~The market said~~5%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.856

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.047

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kosovo W win at 53%.
72′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Austria W · On: Valentina Pötzl · Off: Verena Aschauer Corrected
72′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Austria W · On: Nicole Billa · Off: Eileen campbell Corrected
72′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Austria W · On: Sarah Zadrazil · Off: Marie Therese Hobinger Corrected
72′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Kosovo W · On: Elona Paci · Off: kaltrina biqkaj Corrected
72′SECOND HALF Kosovo W 1–1 Austria W
75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Austria W · On: nicole ojukwu · Off: Barbara Dunst Corrected
84′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Kosovo W · On: Modesta Uka · Off: Albulena fejza Corrected
84′⚽ GOAL · 81' Kosovo W 1–2 Austria W · Nicole Billa
89′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Sarah Zadrazil · Austria W
FTFULL TIME Kosovo W 1–2 Austria W
FTKosovo W 1–2 Austria W · Kosovo W win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Kosovo W win53%

Draw20%

Austria W win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:00

Venue · Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri

Referee · Kristina Georgieva

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Kosovo W

5-4-1

12 F. Kolgeci

20 A. Mulliqi

5 B. Smaili

21 A. Fejza

15 M. Tahiri

3 A. Gashi

8 G. Fetaj

10 D. Halilaj

6 L. Misini

7 E. Memeti

9 K. Biqkaj

Coach · K. Andersén

Substitutes

16 · D. Mehmeti

22 · V. Limani

2 · R. Ramadani

19 · I. Aurela

17 · A. Sinani

11 · E. Paci

4 · S. Bela

23 · M. Uka

14 · V. Metaj

13 · S. Sahiti

Austria W

3-4-3

1 M. El Sherif

3 S. Gutmann

13 V. Kirchberger

22 J. Klein

2 L. Schoffel

16 A. Schasching

10 M. Hobinger

19 V. Hanshaw

7 E. Campbell

17 S. Puntigam

8 B. Dunst

Coach · A. Schriebl

Substitutes

21 · L. Rusek

23 · J. Pal

6 · K. Schiechtl

12 · L. Wienroither

4 · J. Magerl

20 · N. Reissner

9 · S. Zadrazil

5 · V. Potzl

18 · J. Hickelsberger-Fuller

14 · L. Purtscheller

11 · N. Ojukwu

15 · N. Billa

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Kosovo W

5-4-1

12 F. Kolgeci

20 A. Mulliqi

5 B. Smaili

21 A. Fejza

15 M. Tahiri

3 A. Gashi

8 G. Fetaj

10 D. Halilaj

6 L. Misini

7 E. Memeti

9 K. Biqkaj

Coach · K. Andersén

Substitutes

16 · D. Mehmeti

22 · V. Limani

2 · R. Ramadani

19 · I. Aurela

17 · A. Sinani

11 · E. Paci

4 · S. Bela

23 · M. Uka

14 · V. Metaj

13 · S. Sahiti

Austria W

3-4-3

1 M. El Sherif

3 S. Gutmann

13 V. Kirchberger

22 J. Klein

2 L. Schoffel

16 A. Schasching

10 M. Hobinger

19 V. Hanshaw

7 E. Campbell

17 S. Puntigam

8 B. Dunst

Coach · A. Schriebl

Substitutes

21 · L. Rusek

23 · J. Pal

6 · K. Schiechtl

12 · L. Wienroither

4 · J. Magerl

20 · N. Reissner

9 · S. Zadrazil

5 · V. Potzl

18 · J. Hickelsberger-Fuller

14 · L. Purtscheller

11 · N. Ojukwu

15 · N. Billa

Our number · kosovo w winPublished 9 Oct 17:06

53% The market5%

Us53%

~~Market~~5%

We make Kosovo W a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 5%. We are 48 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · kosovo w win The market, margin stripped

Published at 54%, 53% now. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kosovo W win	53%	5%	+48
Draw	20%	12%	+8
Austria W win	27%	83%	−56
Over 2.5 goals	45%	61%	−16
Both teams to score	45%	32%	+13
Over 1.5 goals	68%	80%	−13
Over 3.5 goals	23%	41%	−17
Kosovo W or draw	73%	17%	+56
Kosovo W clean sheet	38%	–	–
Austria W clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.7%

0123450 5.7 11.0 3.9 1 15.7 9.4 5.9 2 9.7 9.2 4.4 3 4.9 4.6 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kosovo W down, Austria W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every women's national side on one scale from 3,330 senior internationals up to 9 Oct 2026 - qualifiers, Nations Leagues, finals and friendlies - weighting recent matches more.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Kosovo W are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Kosovo W, 0.96 for Austria W. Most likely score 1–0.

Line-ups

Confirmed 9 Oct 16:33. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2011

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

KOSOVO W

WWWWLW6–0 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 8–0

AUSTRIA W

LLLDWL0–1 · 0–1 · 1–5 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–2

The table

2027

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary W	6	+19	16
2	Germany W	6	+17	16
3	Switzerland W	6	+13	16
4	New Zealand W	5	+25	15
5	Spain W	6	+18	15
6	Kosovo W	6	+17	15
7	Croatia W	6	+15	15
8	Portugal W	6	+13	15
9	Finland W	6	+9	15
10	England W	6	+8	15
11	Scotland W	6	+22	14
12	Belgium W	6	+21	14
13	Wales W	6	+12	14
14	Denmark W	6	+7	14
15	France W	6	+6	13
16	Turkey W	6	+6	13
17	Papua New Guinea W	5	+10	12
18	Greece W	4	+7	12
19	Azerbaijan W	6	+6	12
20	American Samoa W	6	+5	12
21	Norway W	6	+2	12
22	Bosnia-Herzegovina W	6	+18	11
23	Czech Republic W	6	+10	11
24	Lithuania W	6	+8	11
25	Estonia W	6	+5	11
26	Netherlands W	6	+3	11
27	Romania W	4	+8	10
28	Belarus W	4	+9	9
29	Italy W	6	+8	9
30	Republic of Ireland W	6	0	9
31	Sweden W	6	0	8
32	Kazakhstan W	4	+3	7
33	Albania W	6	−5	7
34	Northern Ireland W	6	+1	6
35	Fiji W	4	0	6
36	Bulgaria W	6	−1	6
37	Faroe Islands W	4	−1	6
38	Slovakia W	6	−9	6
39	Iceland W	6	−9	6
40	Israel W	6	−10	6
41	North Macedonia W	6	−12	6
42	Moldova W	4	+1	5
43	Austria W	6	−6	4
44	Cook Islands W	2	−3	3
45	New Caledonia W	3	−8	3
46	Samoa W	3	−8	3
47	Slovenia W	6	−13	3
48	Poland W	6	−9	1
49	Cyprus W	4	−9	1
50	Armenia W	4	−12	1
51	Andorra W	6	−13	1
52	Serbia W	6	−15	1
53	Montenegro W	6	−17	1
54	Tahiti W	1	−1	0
55	Tonga W	1	−3	0
56	Georgia W	4	−6	0
57	Vanuatu W	3	−7	0
58	Solomon Islands W	3	−10	0
59	Latvia W	6	−13	0
60	Ukraine W	6	−17	0
61	Malta W	6	−20	0
62	Liechtenstein W	6	−31	0
63	Gibraltar W	6	−31	0
64	Luxembourg W	6	−33	0