Home › Football › World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe › Hungary W v Netherlands W

Hungary W v Netherlands W

Hungary W

0–8Full time

Netherlands W

World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · FRI 9 OCT · Pancho Arena

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:30

Hungary W 0–8 Netherlands W NETHERLANDS W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Netherlands W win~~69%

~~The market said~~85%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.145

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.037

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 33 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Netherlands W win at 69%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Netherlands W 69% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 16–18–67
2′KICK-OFF Hungary W v Netherlands W
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Hungary W 0–1 Netherlands W
12′12′ and it is 0–1: Lineth Beerensteyn on the scoresheet for Netherlands W. 0–1 · 6–11–84
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Hungary W 0–1 Netherlands W · Lineth Beerensteyn
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Netherlands W win: 69% at kick-off, 84% now
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Hungary W 0–2 Netherlands W · Lineth Beerensteyn
14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Hungary W 0–2 Netherlands W · Lineth Beerensteyn
18′Netherlands W ahead on 14′ through Lineth Beerensteyn. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Netherlands W win: 69% at kick-off, 95% now
22′We said Netherlands W at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Hungary W 0–3 Netherlands W · Lineth Beerensteyn
26′Victoria Pelova scores for Netherlands W on 26′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Hungary W 0–3 Netherlands W · Victoria Pelova
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Netherlands W win: 69% at kick-off, 99% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Hungary W 0–4 Netherlands W · Victoria Pelova
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Hungary W 0–4 Netherlands W · Esmee Brugts
45′SECOND HALF Hungary W 0–4 Netherlands W
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Hungary W · On: Emoke Patricia Papai · Off: V. Nagy Corrected
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Hungary W 0–5 Netherlands W · Esmee Brugts
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Hungary W 0–5 Netherlands W · Damaris Egurrola
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Hungary W 0–6 Netherlands W · Damaris Egurrola
57′⚽ GOAL · 58' Hungary W 0–6 Netherlands W · Victoria Pelova
61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Netherlands W · On: Kerstin·Casparij · Off: Lynn Wilms Corrected
61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Netherlands W · On: Lotte Jasmijn Keukelaar · Off: Danielle van de Donk Corrected
61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Netherlands W · On: Jill Roord · Off: Esmee Brugts Corrected
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Hungary W 0–7 Netherlands W · Victoria Pelova
61′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Netherlands W · On: Ella Peddemors · Off: Wieke Hendrikje Maria Kaptein Corrected
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Hungary W 0–7 Netherlands W · Victoria Pelova
70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Hungary W · On: luca papp · Off: Viktória Nagy Corrected
70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Hungary W · On: Dora Zeller · Off: Z. Kaján Corrected
72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Netherlands W · On: Caitlin Dijkstra · Off: Dominique Janssen Corrected
80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Hungary W 0–8 Netherlands W · Victoria Pelova
80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Hungary W · On: Cecília Mészáros · Off: Zsófia Mayer Corrected
80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Hungary W · On: Evelin Fenyvesi · Off: Sára Pusztai Corrected
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Hungary W 0–8 Netherlands W · Victoria Pelova
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Hungary W 0–8 Netherlands W · Lineth Beerensteyn
FTFULL TIME Hungary W 0–8 Netherlands W
FTHungary W 0–8 Netherlands W · Netherlands W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Hungary W win17%

Draw14%

Netherlands W win69%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 19:00

Venue · Pancho Arena

Referee · Volha Blotskaya

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Hungary W

4-3-3

1 L. Brzykcy

13 V. Nagy

23 Hanna nemeth

3 L. Palakovics

17 B. D. Vincze

21 F. Nagy

7 H. Csiszár

4 S. Pusztai

11 Zsófia Mayer

8 V. Nagy

15 Z. Kaján

Coach · –

Substitutes

18 · Cecília Mészáros

6 · E. Fenyvesi

20 · Lili Nagy

10 · L. Papp

14 · Georgina Pataki

5 · E. Papai

9 · Csilla Savanya

2 · M. Szabó

22 · Anna Terestyényi

12 · N. Williams

19 · D. Zeller

16 · B. Zágonyi

Netherlands W

4-3-3

1 Lize Kop

2 L. Wilms

20 D. Janssen

4 V. Buurman

5 M. Olislagers

8 W. Kaptein

21 D. Egurrola

17 V. Pelova

10 D. van de Donk

7 L. Beerensteyn

11 E. Brugts

Coach · A. Jonker

Substitutes

3 · C. Dijkstra

12 · Chasity Grant

22 · I. Kardinaal

14 · L. Keukelaar

13 · J. Levels

15 · E. Peddemors

19 · S. Proost

9 · L. Rijsbergen

6 · J. Roord

16 · D. de Jong

23 · R. van Eijk

18 · K. Casparij

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Hungary W

4-3-3

1 L. Brzykcy

13 V. Nagy

23 Hanna nemeth

3 L. Palakovics

17 B. D. Vincze

21 F. Nagy

7 H. Csiszár

4 S. Pusztai

11 Zsófia Mayer

8 V. Nagy

15 Z. Kaján

Coach · –

Substitutes

18 · Cecília Mészáros

6 · E. Fenyvesi

20 · Lili Nagy

10 · L. Papp

14 · Georgina Pataki

5 · E. Papai

9 · Csilla Savanya

2 · M. Szabó

22 · Anna Terestyényi

12 · N. Williams

19 · D. Zeller

16 · B. Zágonyi

Netherlands W

4-3-3

1 Lize Kop

2 L. Wilms

20 D. Janssen

4 V. Buurman

5 M. Olislagers

8 W. Kaptein

21 D. Egurrola

17 V. Pelova

10 D. van de Donk

7 L. Beerensteyn

11 E. Brugts

Coach · A. Jonker

Substitutes

3 · C. Dijkstra

12 · Chasity Grant

22 · I. Kardinaal

14 · L. Keukelaar

13 · J. Levels

15 · E. Peddemors

19 · S. Proost

9 · L. Rijsbergen

6 · J. Roord

16 · D. de Jong

23 · R. van Eijk

18 · K. Casparij

Our number · netherlands w winPublished 9 Oct 19:02

69% The market85%

Us69%

~~Market~~85%

We make Netherlands W a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 85%. We are 16 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–2.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · netherlands w win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hungary W win	17%	5%	+13
Draw	14%	11%	+3
Netherlands W win	69%	85%	−16
Over 2.5 goals	72%	70%	+2
Both teams to score	62%	41%	+20
Over 1.5 goals	87%	86%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	51%	50%	+1
Hungary W or draw	31%	15%	+16
Hungary W clean sheet	8%	–	–
Netherlands W clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.2%

0123450 8.0 8.0 6.7 4.3 2.21 4.6 5.6 9.2 7.8 5.0 2.52 4.2 5.4 4.6 2.9 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hungary W down, Netherlands W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every women's national side on one scale from 3,330 senior internationals up to 9 Oct 2026 - qualifiers, Nations Leagues, finals and friendlies - weighting recent matches more.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Hungary W are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

1.16 goals for Hungary W, 2.54 for Netherlands W. Most likely score 1–2.

Line-ups

Confirmed 9 Oct 18:31. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2011

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

HUNGARY W

DWWWWW0–0 · 1–0 · 5–0 · 7–0 · 2–1 · 6–1

NETHERLANDS W

DWWDLW2–2 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 3–1

The table

2027

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary W	6	+19	16
2	Germany W	6	+17	16
3	Switzerland W	6	+13	16
4	New Zealand W	5	+25	15
5	Spain W	6	+18	15
6	Kosovo W	6	+17	15
7	Croatia W	6	+15	15
8	Portugal W	6	+13	15
9	Finland W	6	+9	15
10	England W	6	+8	15
11	Scotland W	6	+22	14
12	Belgium W	6	+21	14
13	Wales W	6	+12	14
14	Denmark W	6	+7	14
15	France W	6	+6	13
16	Turkey W	6	+6	13
17	Papua New Guinea W	5	+10	12
18	Greece W	4	+7	12
19	Azerbaijan W	6	+6	12
20	American Samoa W	6	+5	12
21	Norway W	6	+2	12
22	Bosnia-Herzegovina W	6	+18	11
23	Czech Republic W	6	+10	11
24	Lithuania W	6	+8	11
25	Estonia W	6	+5	11
26	Netherlands W	6	+3	11
27	Romania W	4	+8	10
28	Belarus W	4	+9	9
29	Italy W	6	+8	9
30	Republic of Ireland W	6	0	9
31	Sweden W	6	0	8
32	Kazakhstan W	4	+3	7
33	Albania W	6	−5	7
34	Northern Ireland W	6	+1	6
35	Fiji W	4	0	6
36	Bulgaria W	6	−1	6
37	Faroe Islands W	4	−1	6
38	Slovakia W	6	−9	6
39	Iceland W	6	−9	6
40	Israel W	6	−10	6
41	North Macedonia W	6	−12	6
42	Moldova W	4	+1	5
43	Austria W	6	−6	4
44	Cook Islands W	2	−3	3
45	New Caledonia W	3	−8	3
46	Samoa W	3	−8	3
47	Slovenia W	6	−13	3
48	Poland W	6	−9	1
49	Cyprus W	4	−9	1
50	Armenia W	4	−12	1
51	Andorra W	6	−13	1
52	Serbia W	6	−15	1
53	Montenegro W	6	−17	1
54	Tahiti W	1	−1	0
55	Tonga W	1	−3	0
56	Georgia W	4	−6	0
57	Vanuatu W	3	−7	0
58	Solomon Islands W	3	−10	0
59	Latvia W	6	−13	0
60	Ukraine W	6	−17	0
61	Malta W	6	−20	0
62	Liechtenstein W	6	−31	0
63	Gibraltar W	6	−31	0
64	Luxembourg W	6	−33	0