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Czechia W v Scotland W

Czechia W

0–2Full time

Scotland W

World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · FRI 9 OCT · Stadion Arnosta Kostala

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 20:30

Czechia W 0–2 Scotland W CZECHIA W WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Czechia W win~~44%

~~The market said~~32%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.654

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.533

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Czechia W win at 44%.
29′Much as we predicted: Czechia W was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–34–30
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Czechia W win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Czechia W win 33%)
45′SECOND HALF Czechia W 0–0 Scotland W
46′HALF-TIME Czechia W 0–0 Scotland W
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Czechia W 0–1 Scotland W
56′⚽ GOAL · 57' Czechia W 0–1 Scotland W · Caroline Weir
61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Tereza Krejcirikova · Czechia W
63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Scotland W · On: Erin Cuthbert · Off: Kirsty Maclean Corrected
63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Scotland W · On: Claire Emslie · Off: Kath McGovern Corrected
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Czechia W 0–2 Scotland W · Caroline Weir
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Czechia W 0–2 Scotland W · Claire Emslie
66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Czechia W · On: Kristyna Ruzickova · Off: Denisa Veselá Corrected
66′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Czechia W · On: Franny·Cerna · Off: Aneta Polaskova Corrected
73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Scotland W · On: Martha Thomas · Off: Lauren Davidson Corrected
73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Scotland W · On: Chelsea Cornet · Off: Miri Taylor Corrected
81′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Czechia W · On: Katerina Kotrcova · Off: Klara Cahynova Corrected
81′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Czechia W · On: Jana Zufankova · Off: Andrea Stašková Corrected
84′🟥 RED CARD · 84' Scotland W
84′🟥 RED CARD · 85' Tereza Krejcirikova · Czechia W
87′🟥 RED CARD · 87' Tereza Krejcirikova · Czechia W
87′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Scotland W · On: Sophie Howard · Off: Kirsty Hanson Corrected
90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Barbora Votikova · Czechia W
93′SUBSTITUTION · 93' Czechia W · Eva Bartoňová · Czechia W Corrected
FTFULL TIME Czechia W 0–2 Scotland W
FTCzechia W 0–2 Scotland W · Czechia W win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Czechia W win44%

Draw21%

Scotland W win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:00

Venue · Stadion Arnosta Kostala

Referee · Hristiyana Guteva

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Czechia W

4-3-3

1 B. Votikova

20 D. Vesela

2 L. Bendova

17 B. Polcarova

6 E. Bartonova

11 T. Krejcirikova

12 K. Cahynova

18 K. Dubcova

5 A. Polaskova

9 A. Staskova

14 M. Khyrova

Coach · Jitka Klimková

Substitutes

16 · O. Lukasova

19 · A. Dedinova

15 · K. Kotrcova

8 · A. Pochmanova

3 · D. Safarova

10 · R. Hlouchova

7 · J. Zufankova

22 · F. Cerna

13 · A. Subrtova

21 · K. Ruzickova

4 · K. Vithova

Scotland W

4-3-3

12 Sandy MacIver

4 J. Clark

14 R. McLauchlan

3 A. Muir

2 N. Docherty

15 M. Taylor

6 K. MacLean

10 K. Hanson

9 C. Weir

19 L. Davidson

11 K. McGovern

Coach · M. Andreatta

Substitutes

21 · E. Cumings

1 · L. Gibson

5 · S. Howard

23 · E. Lawton

22 · E. Cuthbert

16 · C. Cornet

8 · S. Kerr

18 · C. Emslie

13 · K. Howat

17 · C. Grimshaw

20 · M. Thomas

7 · F. Gregory

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Czechia W

4-3-3

1 B. Votikova

20 D. Vesela

2 L. Bendova

17 B. Polcarova

6 E. Bartonova

11 T. Krejcirikova

12 K. Cahynova

18 K. Dubcova

5 A. Polaskova

9 A. Staskova

14 M. Khyrova

Coach · Jitka Klimková

Substitutes

16 · O. Lukasova

19 · A. Dedinova

15 · K. Kotrcova

8 · A. Pochmanova

3 · D. Safarova

10 · R. Hlouchova

7 · J. Zufankova

22 · F. Cerna

13 · A. Subrtova

21 · K. Ruzickova

4 · K. Vithova

Scotland W

4-3-3

12 Sandy MacIver

4 J. Clark

14 R. McLauchlan

3 A. Muir

2 N. Docherty

15 M. Taylor

6 K. MacLean

10 K. Hanson

9 C. Weir

19 L. Davidson

11 K. McGovern

Coach · M. Andreatta

Substitutes

21 · E. Cumings

1 · L. Gibson

5 · S. Howard

23 · E. Lawton

22 · E. Cuthbert

16 · C. Cornet

8 · S. Kerr

18 · C. Emslie

13 · K. Howat

17 · C. Grimshaw

20 · M. Thomas

7 · F. Gregory

Our number · czechia w winPublished 9 Oct 18:04

44% The market32%

Us44%

~~Market~~32%

We make Czechia W a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 32%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · czechia w win The market, margin stripped

Published at 45%, 44% now. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Czechia W win	44%	32%	+12
Draw	21%	28%	−7
Scotland W win	35%	40%	−5
Over 2.5 goals	47%	49%	−2
Both teams to score	49%	56%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	70%	72%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	26%	29%	−3
Czechia W or draw	65%	60%	+5
Czechia W clean sheet	30%	–	–
Scotland W clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.5%

0123450 4.8 12.1 5.5 2.2 1 13.5 9.7 7.5 3.0 2 7.3 8.6 5.1 2.0 3 3.3 4.0 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Czechia W down, Scotland W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every women's national side on one scale from 3,330 senior internationals up to 9 Oct 2026 - qualifiers, Nations Leagues, finals and friendlies - weighting recent matches more.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Czechia W are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

1.37 goals for Czechia W, 1.19 for Scotland W. Most likely score 1–0.

Line-ups

Confirmed 9 Oct 17:32. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2011

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

CZECHIA W

DWWWDL2–2 · 5–1 · 5–0 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 1–3

SCOTLAND W

WWDDWW5–0 · 7–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 6–0 · 5–1

The table

2027

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary W	6	+19	16
2	Germany W	6	+17	16
3	Switzerland W	6	+13	16
4	New Zealand W	5	+25	15
5	Spain W	6	+18	15
6	Kosovo W	6	+17	15
7	Croatia W	6	+15	15
8	Portugal W	6	+13	15
9	Finland W	6	+9	15
10	England W	6	+8	15
11	Scotland W	6	+22	14
12	Belgium W	6	+21	14
13	Wales W	6	+12	14
14	Denmark W	6	+7	14
15	France W	6	+6	13
16	Turkey W	6	+6	13
17	Papua New Guinea W	5	+10	12
18	Greece W	4	+7	12
19	Azerbaijan W	6	+6	12
20	American Samoa W	6	+5	12
21	Norway W	6	+2	12
22	Bosnia-Herzegovina W	6	+18	11
23	Czech Republic W	6	+10	11
24	Lithuania W	6	+8	11
25	Estonia W	6	+5	11
26	Netherlands W	6	+3	11
27	Romania W	4	+8	10
28	Belarus W	4	+9	9
29	Italy W	6	+8	9
30	Republic of Ireland W	6	0	9
31	Sweden W	6	0	8
32	Kazakhstan W	4	+3	7
33	Albania W	6	−5	7
34	Northern Ireland W	6	+1	6
35	Fiji W	4	0	6
36	Bulgaria W	6	−1	6
37	Faroe Islands W	4	−1	6
38	Slovakia W	6	−9	6
39	Iceland W	6	−9	6
40	Israel W	6	−10	6
41	North Macedonia W	6	−12	6
42	Moldova W	4	+1	5
43	Austria W	6	−6	4
44	Cook Islands W	2	−3	3
45	New Caledonia W	3	−8	3
46	Samoa W	3	−8	3
47	Slovenia W	6	−13	3
48	Poland W	6	−9	1
49	Cyprus W	4	−9	1
50	Armenia W	4	−12	1
51	Andorra W	6	−13	1
52	Serbia W	6	−15	1
53	Montenegro W	6	−17	1
54	Tahiti W	1	−1	0
55	Tonga W	1	−3	0
56	Georgia W	4	−6	0
57	Vanuatu W	3	−7	0
58	Solomon Islands W	3	−10	0
59	Latvia W	6	−13	0
60	Ukraine W	6	−17	0
61	Malta W	6	−20	0
62	Liechtenstein W	6	−31	0
63	Gibraltar W	6	−31	0
64	Luxembourg W	6	−33	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match updates

Timeline

Pre-match prediction

Match information

The game so far

Match statistics

Players on the pitch

Line-ups

Czechia W

Scotland W

Match statistics

Line-ups

Czechia W

Scotland W

Head to head

Form · last six in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

The table