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Model 1.1

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Austria W v Kosovo W

Austria W
4–0Full time
Kosovo W

World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · TUE 13 OCT · Sportclub-Platz

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 19:32
Austria W 4–0 Kosovo W AUSTRIA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Austria W win50%
The market said86%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.382
The market’s Brier score0.030

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 26 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Austria W win at 50%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Austria W v Kosovo W
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Austria W was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–24–28
  4. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Austria W 1–0 Kosovo W
  5. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Austria W 1–0 Kosovo W
  6. 9′7′ and it is 1–0: Annabel Schasching on the scoresheet for Austria W. 1–0 · 72–17–11
  7. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Austria W win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
  8. 14′We published Austria W at 50%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–17–10
  9. 18′SUBSTITUTION · 17' Austria W · On: Barbara Dunst · Off: Annabel Schasching Corrected
  10. 32′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 74–18–8
  11. 43′We published Austria W at 50%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Austria W 1–0 Kosovo W
  13. 46′SECOND HALF Austria W 1–0 Kosovo W
  14. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kosovo W · On: valentina metaj · Off: Albulena fejza Corrected
  15. 64′We published Austria W at 50%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  16. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Austria W win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
  17. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Austria W 2–0 Kosovo W · Marie Therese Hobinger
  18. 66′Austria W ahead on 65′ through Sarah Puntigam. 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
  19. 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Austria W 2–0 Kosovo W · Sarah Puntigam
  20. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Austria W win: 50% at kick-off, 97% now
  21. 69′We published Austria W at 50%. Our model now makes it 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  22. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Austria W · On: nicole ojukwu · Off: Sarah Zadrazil Corrected
  23. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Austria W · On: Lilli Purtscheller · Off: Marie Therese Hobinger Corrected
  24. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Austria W · On: Lilli Purtscheller · Off: Marie Therese Hobinger Corrected
  25. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' lumbardha misini · Kosovo W
  26. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Austria W · On: Eileen campbell · Off: Nicole Billa Corrected
  27. 82′We published Austria W at 50%. Our model now makes it 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  28. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Austria W · On: Laura·Wienroither · Off: Louise Christine Ingeborg Schöffel Corrected
  29. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Austria W win: 50% at kick-off, 100% now
  30. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Jennifer Klein · Austria W
  31. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Kosovo W · On: Sara Sahiti · Off: Donjeta halilaj Corrected
  32. 87′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  33. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Austria W 3–0 Kosovo W · Sarah Puntigam
  34. 88′⚽ GOAL · 86' Austria W 3–0 Kosovo W · Virginia Kirchberger
  35. 89′Virginia Kirchberger scores for Austria W on 86′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  36. 90′90′ and it is 4–0: Lilli Purtscheller on the scoresheet for Austria W. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  37. 90′89′ and it is 4–0: Eileen campbell on the scoresheet for Austria W. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  38. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Kosovo W · On: rrezona ramadani · Off: agnesa gashi Corrected
  39. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Austria W 4–0 Kosovo W · Lilli Purtscheller
  40. FTFULL TIME Austria W 4–0 Kosovo W
  41. FTAustria W 4–0 Kosovo W · Austria W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 16:14 · locked at kick-off

Austria W win50%
Draw20%
Kosovo W win30%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 17:00

VenueSportclub-Platz

RefereeNanna Lof Andersen

Line-ups

Austria W

3-4-3

Kosovo W

5-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Austria W

Kosovo W

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2027

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Kosovo W7+1615
33Austria W7−57

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Austria W

3-4-3

23 J. Pal

3 S. Gutmann

13 V. Kirchberger

22 J. Klein

2 L. Schoffel

9 S. Zadrazil

17 S. Puntigam

4 V. Potzl

16 A. Schasching

15 N. Billa

10 M. Hobinger

Coach · A. Schriebl

Substitutes

21 · L. Rusek

1 · M. El Sherif

19 · V. Hanshaw

6 · K. Schiechtl

12 · L. Wienroither

20 · N. Reissner

8 · B. Dunst

18 · J. Hickelsberger-Fuller

5 · C. Wenger

14 · L. Purtscheller

11 · N. Ojukwu

7 · E. Campbell

Kosovo W

5-4-1

12 L. Kramoviku

20 A. Mulliqi

21 A. Fejza

5 B. Smaili

15 M. Tahiri

3 A. Gashi

8 G. Fetaj

10 D. Halilaj

6 L. Misini

7 E. Memeti

23 M. Uka

Coach · K. Andersén

Substitutes

16 · D. Mehmeti

1 · A. Demiri

22 · V. Limani

2 · R. Ramadani

19 · I. Aurela

18 · L. Crnaveri

17 · A. Sinani

9 · K. Biqkaj

11 · E. Paci

4 · S. Bela

14 · V. Metaj

13 · S. Sahiti

Our number · austria w winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 16:14 · locked at kick-off
50% The market86%
Us50%
Market86%

We make Austria W a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 86%. We are 36 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
40%50%60%70%80%90%100% 9 OCT 06:2313 OCT 14:34
Our probability · austria w win The market, margin stripped

Published at 43%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 86% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Austria W win50%86%−36
Draw20%10%+10
Kosovo W win30%4%+26
Over 2.5 goals56%68%−12
Both teams to score56%27%+28
Over 1.5 goals77%85%−8
Over 3.5 goals33%47%−14
Austria W or draw70%96%−26
Austria W clean sheet29%––
Kosovo W clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.1%
0123450 3.5 8.6 4.1 1 11.1 9.3 6.9 2.8 2 7.7 9.5 5.8 2.4 3 4.3 5.3 3.3 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Austria W down, Kosovo W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsKOS 1–2 AUS

Form · last six in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

AUSTRIA W

LLDWLW0–1 · 1–5 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–1

KOSOVO W

WWWLWL1–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 8–0 · 1–2

The table

2027
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Switzerland W7+1719
2Portugal W7+1718
3Finland W7+1118
4England W7+1018
5Scotland W7+2417
6Belgium W7+2217
7Wales W7+1317
8Germany W6+1716
9Hungary W7+1116
10New Zealand W5+2515
11Spain W6+1815
12Kosovo W7+1615
13Croatia W7+1115
14Norway W7+415
15Netherlands W7+1114
16Denmark W6+714
17Turkey W7+614
18France W6+613
19Italy W7+1012
20Papua New Guinea W5+1012
21Republic of Ireland W7+812
22Azerbaijan W6+612
23Greece W5+512
24American Samoa W6+512
25Bosnia-Herzegovina W6+1811
26Czechia W7+811
27Estonia W6+511
28Sweden W7+511
29Lithuania W7+311
30Romania W5+610
31Belarus W5+79
32Iceland W7−59
33Austria W7−57
34Kazakhstan W5−57
35Albania W7−67
36Fiji W406
37Bulgaria W6−16
38Faroe Islands W4−16
39Northern Ireland W7−36
40Slovakia W7−116
41North Macedonia W6−126
42Israel W7−146
43Moldova W4+15
44Slovenia W7−134
45Cook Islands W2−33
46New Caledonia W3−83
47Samoa W3−83
48Ukraine W7−153
49Cyprus W4−91
50Poland W7−101
51Armenia W4−121
52Andorra W6−131
53Montenegro W6−171
54Serbia W7−171
55Tahiti W1−10
56Tonga W1−30
57Georgia W4−60
58Vanuatu W3−70
59Solomon Islands W3−100
60Latvia W6−130
61Malta W6−200
62Liechtenstein W6−310
63Gibraltar W6−310
64Luxembourg W6−330

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.