Sabah U19 v Slavia Praha U19 prediction · UEFA Youth League

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 14:44

Sabah U19 0–3 Slavia Praha U19 SLAVIA PRAHA U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Slavia Praha U19 win~~55%

~~The market said~~87%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.306

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.026

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 30 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Slavia Praha U19 win at 55%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Slavia Praha U19 55% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 25–18–57
1′KICK-OFF Sabah U19 v Slavia Praha U19
4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Sabah U19 0–1 Slavia Praha U19
4′⚽ GOAL · 5' Sabah U19 0–1 Slavia Praha U19
5′5′ and it is 0–1: Slavia Praha U19 have scored. 0–1 · 12–13–75
5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Slavia Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 75% now
7′We said Slavia Praha U19 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 12–13–75
19′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Sabah U19
26′We said Slavia Praha U19 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 0–1 · 11–15–74
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Slavia Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 74% now
29′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Slavia Praha U19
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Slavia Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 75% now
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Sabah U19 0–2 Slavia Praha U19
42′Slavia Praha U19 ahead on 40′ through M. Kotrba. 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Slavia Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 91% now
44′We said Slavia Praha U19 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 0–2 · 2–6–91
45′SECOND HALF Sabah U19 0–2 Slavia Praha U19
46′The goal count is tracking the 4.6 we expected. 0–2 · 2–6–92
48′🟥 RED CARD · 49' Slavia Praha U19
49′🟥 RED CARD · 49' Slavia Praha U19
49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sabah U19 · On: A. E. Bakare · Off: I. Khalilov
50′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Slavia Praha U19
51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Slavia Praha U19
52′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Sabah U19
58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Slavia Praha U19 · On: L. Savovic · Off: J. Palivec
58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Slavia Praha U19 · On: V. Skokan · Off: P. Potmesil
62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Sabah U19 · On: N. Karimov · Off: T. Ahmadov
66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Slavia Praha U19 · On: J. Kunes · Off: B. Szywala
66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Slavia Praha U19 · On: J. Kratochvil · Off: O. Masek
71′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Slavia Praha U19
77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Sabah U19 · On: N. Zeynalli · Off: U. Salimov
77′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Sabah U19
91′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Sabah U19
91′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Slavia Praha U19
92′⚽ GOAL · 94' Sabah U19 0–2 Slavia Praha U19
93′⚽ GOAL · 93' Sabah U19 0–3 Slavia Praha U19 · M. Kotrba
FTFULL TIME Sabah U19 0–3 Slavia Praha U19
FTSabah U19 0–3 Slavia Praha U19 · Slavia Praha U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 11:18 · locked at kick-off

Sabah U19 win27%

Draw18%

Slavia Praha U19 win55%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 12:00

VenueBank Respublika Arena

Line-ups

Sabah U19

Slavia Praha U19

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sabah U19

Slavia Praha U19

33Days since last match33

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
21	Slavia Praha U19	1	+1	3
53	Sabah U19	1	−5	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Sabah U19

Formation not confirmed

12 R. Ayyubov

66 A. Tanryverdiyev

44 T. Ahmadov

81 R. Gulushov

13 A. Mahmudov

45 O. K. Adonteng

85 A. Huseynov

95 S. Ibrahimov

10 I. Khalilov

11 U. Salimov

15 L. Mamulashvili

Coach · A. Mustedanagic

Substitutes

1 · R. Yarahmadov

2 · A. Aliyev

8 · E. Mammadov

9 · N. Karimov

19 · M. Madatov

22 · N. Zeynalli

27 · S. Gaibkhanov

70 · M. Chodarov

77 · A. E. Bakare

Slavia Praha U19

Formation not confirmed

1 O. Suchy

4 D. Barcot

7 F. Kocvara

17 M. Solarte

5 J. Palivec

10 B. Szywala

8 A. Rajnoha

22 M. Palascak

14 M. Kotrba

16 O. Masek

13 P. Potmesil

Coach · Milan Titěra

Substitutes

9 · A. Cedergren

11 · A. Ilincic

12 · J. Kunes

15 · J. Kratochvil

19 · A. Lukac

20 · J. Smiga

21 · V. Skokan

23 · L. Savovic

29 · A. Paar

Our number · slavia praha u19 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 11:18 · locked at kick-off

55% The market87%

Us55%

~~Market~~87%

We make Slavia Praha U19 a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 87%. We are 32 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–2.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · slavia praha u19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 87% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sabah U19 win	27%	4%	+23
Draw	18%	9%	+9
Slavia Praha U19 win	55%	87%	−32
Over 2.5 goals	82%	77%	+4
Both teams to score	76%	41%	+35
Over 1.5 goals	93%	89%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	65%	61%	+4
Sabah U19 or draw	45%	13%	+32
Sabah U19 clean sheet	8%	–	–
Slavia Praha U19 clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 6.6%

0123450 2.8 3.8 3.3 2.4 1 2.1 5.8 6.6 5.6 3.9 2.32 2.2 5.0 6.0 5.0 3.4 2.03 3.1 3.7 3.1 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sabah U19 down, Slavia Praha U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 968 UEFA Youth League matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

UEFA Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Sabah U19 at home: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 2). Slavia Praha U19 away: 1.25 scored, 4.00 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Sabah U19, 2.76 for Slavia Praha U19. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in UEFA Youth League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in UEFA Youth League

SABAH U19

LLLLL0–6 · 1–2 · 0–5 · 1–2 · 0–5

SLAVIA PRAHA U19

LWDLLW0–2 · 5–1 · 3–3 · 1–9 · 2–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	HJK U19	1	+6	3
2	Zrinjski U19	1	+6	3
3	Bayern München U19	1	+5	3
4	PSG U19	1	+5	3
5	Kairat U19	1	+5	3
6	Manchester United U19	1	+5	3
7	Stuttgart U19	1	+5	3
8	Cardiff Metropolitan U19	1	+4	3
9	Akademija Pandev U19	1	+3	3
10	Flora III	1	+3	3
11	Real Madrid U19	1	+3	3
12	Club Brugge U19	1	+2	3
13	Roma U19	1	+2	3
14	Porto U19	1	+2	3
15	Partizani U19	1	+2	3
16	Dinamo Minsk U19	1	+1	3
17	Žalgiris U19	1	+1	3
18	Villarreal U19	1	+1	3
19	Arsenal U19	1	+1	3
20	Feyenoord U19	1	+1	3
21	Slavia Praha U19	1	+1	3
22	PSV U19	1	+1	3
23	Atlético Madrid U19	1	0	1
24	Galatasaray U19	1	0	1
25	Liverpool U19	1	0	1
26	Sporting CP U19	1	0	1
27	Como U19	1	0	1
28	RB Leipzig U19	1	0	1
29	AEK Athens U19	1	0	1
30	Cliftonville U19	1	0	1
31	LASK U19	1	0	1
32	Lille U19	1	0	1
33	Real Betis U19	1	0	1
34	Super Nova U19	1	0	1
35	Dinamo Tbilisi U19	1	−1	0
36	Thor Akureyri U19	1	−1	0
37	Borussia Dortmund U19	1	−1	0
38	Barcelona U19	1	−1	0
39	Lens U19	1	−1	0
40	Napoli U19	1	−1	0
41	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	1	−1	0
42	Aston Villa U19	1	−2	0
43	Fenerbahce U19	1	−2	0
44	Manchester City U19	1	−2	0
45	Valletta U19	1	−2	0
46	FC Santa Coloma U19	1	−3	0
47	HB U19	1	−3	0
48	Internazionale U19	1	−3	0
49	UNA Strassen U19	1	−4	0
50	Bodø / Glimt U19	1	−5	0
51	Slovan Bratislava U19	1	−5	0
52	Mladost DG U19	1	−5	0
53	Sabah U19	1	−5	0
54	Viking U19	1	−5	0
55	FC Ballkani U19	1	−6	0
56	Lincoln Red Imps U19	1	−6	0