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Sabah U19 v Borussia Dortmund U19
Sabah U19
Borussia Dortmund U19UEFA Youth League · TUE 20 OCT · Bank Respublika Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Borussia Dortmund U19 win at 67%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Borussia Dortmund U19 was 67% before kick-off and our model makes it 67% now. 0–0 · 17–16–67
- 1′KICK-OFF Sabah U19 v Borussia Dortmund U19
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Borussia Dortmund U19 win: 67% at kick-off, 57% now
- 44′We said Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 55%. 0–0 · 18–27–55
- 45′HALF-TIME Sabah U19 0–0 Borussia Dortmund U19
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Borussia Dortmund U19 · On: G. Zisopoulos · Off: L. Reggiani
- 46′SECOND HALF Sabah U19 0–0 Borussia Dortmund U19
- 47′We said Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 18–28–54
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Borussia Dortmund U19
- 55′We expected about 4.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 18–27–55
- 56′We said Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 17–34–49
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Borussia Dortmund U19 win: 67% at kick-off, 47% now
- 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Borussia Dortmund U19
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Sabah U19
- 63′We said Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 16–40–44
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Borussia Dortmund U19 · On: T. Burkhardt · Off: T. Faust
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Borussia Dortmund U19 · On: S. Kaymak · Off: M. Adje
- 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Borussia Dortmund U19 win 43%)
- 69′We said Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 15–47–39
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Sabah U19 · On: A. E. Bakare · Off: U. Salimov
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Sabah U19 · On: M. Chodarov · Off: N. Zeynalli
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Borussia Dortmund U19 win: 67% at kick-off, 37% now
- 73′We said Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 13–53–34
- 75′74′: J. Riedl on the scoresheet for Borussia Dortmund U19. 0–0 · 12–56–32
- 75′We published Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67%. Our model now makes it 88%. 0–1 · 1–11–88
- 75′⚽ GOAL · 74' Sabah U19 0–1 Borussia Dortmund U19 · J. Riedl
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Borussia Dortmund U19 win: 67% at kick-off, 88% now
- 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Borussia Dortmund U19 win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 56%)
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Borussia Dortmund U19 · On: A. Najdi · Off: T. Degener
- 79′We published Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Sabah U19 · On: I. Khalilov · Off: N. Karimov
- 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Sabah U19
- 83′PENALTY MISSED · 82' Borussia Dortmund U19
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Sabah U19 · On: M. Madatov · Off: A. Tanryverdiyev
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Sabah U19 · On: E. Mammadov · Off: T. Ahmadov
- 87′We published Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Borussia Dortmund U19 · On: N. Konig · Off: J. Riedl
- 89′A goal for Borussia Dortmund U19 on 88′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Sabah U19 0–2 Borussia Dortmund U19
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Borussia Dortmund U19 win: 67% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 90′We published Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 90′Full time, 0–2. We called Borussia Dortmund U19 at 67% — that one lands. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Sabah U19 0–2 Borussia Dortmund U19
- FTSabah U19 0–2 Borussia Dortmund U19 · Borussia Dortmund U19 win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Borussia Dortmund U19 are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sabah U19 17%, draw 16%, Borussia Dortmund U19 67%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Sabah U19 win17%
Borussia Dortmund U19 win67%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 12:00
RoundLeague phase · matchday 3
VenueBank Respublika Arena
Match timeline
All events
Sabah U19MIN
Borussia Dortmund U19Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sabah U19
Borussia Dortmund U19
Last match: 13 Oct · UEFA Youth League
Last match: 17 Oct · U19 Bundesliga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Borussia Dortmund U19 a 67% chance to win. The market has them at 93%. We are 26 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–2.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 65%, 67% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 93% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah U19 win | 17% | 2% | +15 |
| Draw | 16% | 5% | +11 |
| Borussia Dortmund U19 win | 67% | 93% | −26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 83% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 24% | +39 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 94% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% | 71% | −15 |
| Sabah U19 or draw | 33% | 7% | +26 |
| Sabah U19 clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
| Borussia Dortmund U19 clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2024/25No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · UEFA Youth League this season · since 8 Sept
SABAH U19
BORUSSIA DORTMUND U19
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat U19 | 2 | +12 | 6 |
| 2 | Akademija Pandev U19 | 2 | +11 | 6 |
| 3 | Zrinjski U19 | 2 | +9 | 6 |
| 4 | HJK U19 | 2 | +7 | 6 |
| 5 | PSG U19 | 2 | +7 | 6 |
| 6 | Villarreal U19 | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 7 | Flora III | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 8 | PSV U19 | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 9 | Partizani U19 | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 10 | Slavia Praha U19 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Madrid U19 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 12 | Žalgiris U19 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 | Feyenoord U19 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 | Real Betis U19 | 2 | +5 | 4 |
| 15 | Atlético Madrid U19 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 | Club Brugge U19 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 | Liverpool U19 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 18 | Lille U19 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 | AEK Athens U19 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 20 | Super Nova U19 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 21 | Borussia Dortmund U19 | 2 | +4 | 3 |
| 22 | Stuttgart U19 | 2 | +4 | 3 |
| 23 | Bayern München U19 | 2 | +3 | 3 |
| 24 | Cardiff Metropolitan U19 | 2 | +3 | 3 |
| 25 | Manchester United U19 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 26 | Roma U19 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 27 | Dinamo Minsk U19 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 28 | Dinamo Tbilisi U19 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 29 | Arsenal U19 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 30 | Lens U19 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 31 | Barcelona U19 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 32 | Aston Villa U19 | 2 | −1 | 3 |
| 33 | Porto U19 | 2 | −3 | 3 |
| 34 | Viking U19 | 2 | −3 | 3 |
| 35 | UNA Strassen U19 | 2 | −3 | 3 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava U19 | 2 | −4 | 3 |
| 37 | Sporting CP U19 | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 38 | Galatasaray U19 | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 39 | Como U19 | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 40 | Cliftonville U19 | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 41 | LASK U19 | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 42 | Internazionale U19 | 2 | −3 | 1 |
| 43 | RB Leipzig U19 | 2 | −5 | 1 |
| 44 | Shakhtar Donetsk U19 | 2 | −2 | 0 |
| 45 | Fenerbahce U19 | 2 | −3 | 0 |
| 46 | Thor Akureyri U19 | 2 | −3 | 0 |
| 47 | Manchester City U19 | 2 | −4 | 0 |
| 48 | HB U19 | 2 | −6 | 0 |
| 49 | Napoli U19 | 2 | −6 | 0 |
| 50 | Valletta U19 | 2 | −6 | 0 |
| 51 | FC Ballkani U19 | 2 | −7 | 0 |
| 52 | Sabah U19 | 2 | −8 | 0 |
| 53 | Lincoln Red Imps U19 | 2 | −9 | 0 |
| 54 | Bodø / Glimt U19 | 2 | −10 | 0 |
| 55 | FC Santa Coloma U19 | 2 | −11 | 0 |
| 56 | Mladost DG U19 | 2 | −12 | 0 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Kairat U19
Akademija Pandev U19
Zrinjski U19
HJK U19
PSG U19
Villarreal U19
Flora III
PSV U19
Partizani U19
Slavia Praha U19
Real Madrid U19
Žalgiris U19
Feyenoord U19
Real Betis U19
Atlético Madrid U19
Club Brugge U19
Liverpool U19
Lille U19
AEK Athens U19
Super Nova U19
Stuttgart U19
Bayern München U19
Cardiff Metropolitan U19
Manchester United U19
Roma U19
Dinamo Minsk U19
Dinamo Tbilisi U19
Arsenal U19
Lens U19
Barcelona U19
Aston Villa U19
Porto U19
Viking U19
UNA Strassen U19
Slovan Bratislava U19
Sporting CP U19
Galatasaray U19
Como U19
Cliftonville U19
LASK U19
Internazionale U19
RB Leipzig U19
Shakhtar Donetsk U19
Fenerbahce U19
Thor Akureyri U19
Manchester City U19
HB U19
Napoli U19
Valletta U19
FC Ballkani U19
Lincoln Red Imps U19
Bodø / Glimt U19
FC Santa Coloma U19
Mladost DG U19