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Napoli U19 v Bodø / Glimt U19

Napoli U19
1–0Full time
Bodø / Glimt U19

UEFA Youth League · TUE 20 OCT · Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 15:30
Napoli U19 1–0 Bodø / Glimt U19 NAPOLI U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Napoli U19 win67%
The market said87%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.166
The market’s Brier score0.027

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 28 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Napoli U19 win at 67%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Napoli U19 was 67% before kick-off and our model makes it 67% now. 0–0 · 67–17–17
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Napoli U19 v Bodø / Glimt U19
  4. 9′🟨 YELLOW · 8' Napoli U19
  5. 19′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Bodø / Glimt U19
  6. 32′A goal for Napoli U19 on 31′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 82–12–6
  7. 32′We published Napoli U19 at 67%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–12–6
  8. 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Napoli U19 1–0 Bodø / Glimt U19
  9. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Napoli U19 win: 67% at kick-off, 82% now
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Napoli U19 1–0 Bodø / Glimt U19
  11. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 8' T. Jacobsen · Bodø / Glimt U19
  12. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Bodø / Glimt U19 · On: H. Chooly · Off: T. Solbakken
  13. 46′SECOND HALF Napoli U19 1–0 Bodø / Glimt U19
  14. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Napoli U19 · On: M. Mane · Off: E. Favicchio
  15. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Napoli U19 · On: C. Liccardo · Off: R. Natale
  16. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Napoli U19 · On: R. Chiaiese · Off: A. Santella
  17. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Napoli U19
  18. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Napoli U19
  19. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Napoli U19
  20. 68′We published Napoli U19 at 67%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  21. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Napoli U19 · On: G. Marotta · Off: A. Branchizio
  22. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Napoli U19 · On: F. Barido · Off: L. Riccio
  23. 72′We published Napoli U19 at 67%. Our model now makes it 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  24. 72′Napoli U19 score on 72′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  25. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Napoli U19 2–0 Bodø / Glimt U19
  26. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Napoli U19 win: 67% at kick-off, 98% now
  27. 73′GOAL DISALLOWED · 73' Napoli U19
  28. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Napoli U19 win: 67% at kick-off, 86% now
  29. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Bodø / Glimt U19 · On: E. Eliassen · Off: I. Alvsen
  30. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Bodø / Glimt U19 · On: J. Strand · Off: M. Setvik
  31. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Bodø / Glimt U19 · On: T. Ingilae · Off: M. Rasen
  32. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Bodø / Glimt U19
  33. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Napoli U19 win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
  34. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Napoli U19
  35. FTFULL TIME Napoli U19 1–0 Bodø / Glimt U19
  36. FTNapoli U19 1–0 Bodø / Glimt U19 · Napoli U19 win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Napoli U19 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Napoli U19 67%, draw 17%, Bodø / Glimt U19 17%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Napoli U19 v Bodø / Glimt U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Napoli U19 win67%
Draw17%
Bodø / Glimt U19 win17%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 13:00

RoundLeague phase · matchday 3

VenueStadio Giuseppe Piccolo

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Napoli U19

Bodø / Glimt U19

3Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Campionato Primavera - 2

Last match: 14 Oct · UEFA Youth League

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
49Napoli U192−60
54Bodø / Glimt U192−100

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · napoli u19 winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · updated 15 Oct 05:03 · locked at kick-off
67% The market87%
Us67%
Market87%

We make Napoli U19 a 67% chance to win. The market has them at 87%. We are 20 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.7–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Napoli U19 v Bodø / Glimt U192.70 – 1.27
Form · UEFA Youth League this season · since 9 SeptW0 D0 L2 · W0 D0 L2
Table places · points 0 v 049 v 54
The market · Napoli U19 win87% · ours 67%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%70%80%90% 14 OCT 04:2820 OCT 12:41
Our probability · Napoli U19 win The market, margin stripped

Published at 63%, 67% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 87% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Napoli U19 win67%87%−20
Draw17%9%+8
Bodø / Glimt U19 win17%4%+13
Over 2.5 goals75%79%−4
Both teams to score66%46%+20
Over 1.5 goals90%90%0
Over 3.5 goals55%64%−9
Napoli U19 or draw83%96%−13
Napoli U19 clean sheet29%––
Bodø / Glimt U19 clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.4%
0123450 2.2 2.5 1 5.3 6.6 4.1 2 6.9 8.4 5.3 2.3 3 6.1 7.4 4.7 2.0 4 4.1 5.0 3.2 5 2.3 2.8
under 2% 5% 12%+Napoli U19 down, Bodø / Glimt U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (93.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · UEFA Youth League this season · since 9 Sept

NAPOLI U19

LL1–2 · 0–5

BODØ / GLIMT U19

LL1–6 · 0–5

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kairat U192+126
2Akademija Pandev U192+116
3Zrinjski U192+96
4HJK U192+76
5PSG U192+76
6Villarreal U192+66
7Flora III2+66
8PSV U192+66
9Partizani U192+66
10Slavia Praha U192+46
11Real Madrid U192+46
12Žalgiris U192+36
13Feyenoord U192+26
14Real Betis U192+54
15Atlético Madrid U192+34
16Club Brugge U192+24
17Liverpool U192+24
18Lille U192+14
19AEK Athens U192+14
20Super Nova U192+14
21Borussia Dortmund U192+43
22Stuttgart U192+43
23Bayern München U192+33
24Cardiff Metropolitan U192+33
25Manchester United U192+23
26Roma U192+13
27Dinamo Minsk U19203
28Dinamo Tbilisi U19203
29Arsenal U19203
30Lens U19203
31Barcelona U19203
32Aston Villa U192−13
33Porto U192−33
34Viking U192−33
35UNA Strassen U192−33
36Slovan Bratislava U192−43
37Sporting CP U192−11
38Galatasaray U192−11
39Como U192−11
40Cliftonville U192−11
41LASK U192−21
42Internazionale U192−31
43RB Leipzig U192−51
44Shakhtar Donetsk U192−20
45Fenerbahce U192−30
46Thor Akureyri U192−30
47Manchester City U192−40
48HB U192−60
49Napoli U192−60
50Valletta U192−60
51FC Ballkani U192−70
52Sabah U192−80
53Lincoln Red Imps U192−90
54Bodø / Glimt U192−100
55FC Santa Coloma U192−110
56Mladost DG U192−120

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.