Internazionale U19 v Club Brugge U19 prediction · UEFA Youth League

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:00

Internazionale U19 1–1 Club Brugge U19 INTERNAZIONALE U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Internazionale U19 win~~42%

~~The market said~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.889

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.819

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Internazionale U19 win at 42%.
1′Much as we predicted: Internazionale U19 was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–23–35
1′KICK-OFF Internazionale U19 v Club Brugge U19
2′1′ and it is 1–0: C. Carrara on the scoresheet for Internazionale U19. 1–0 · 65–18–17
2′⚽ GOAL · 1' Internazionale U19 1–0 Club Brugge U19 · C. Carrara (assist A. El Mahboubi)
2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Internazionale U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 65% now
3′We published Internazionale U19 at 42%. Our model now makes it 65%. 1–0 · 65–18–17
16′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Club Brugge U19
23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Internazionale U19
31′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–0 · 67–20–13
40′⚽ GOAL · 1' Internazionale U19 1–0 Club Brugge U19 · C. Carrara (assist A. El Mahboubi)
40′🟨 YELLOW · 16' A. Wins · Club Brugge U19
40′🟨 YELLOW · 23' E. Rocca · Internazionale U19
45′HALF-TIME Internazionale U19 1–0 Club Brugge U19
46′SECOND HALF Internazionale U19 1–0 Club Brugge U19
46′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Internazionale U19
50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Internazionale U19
57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Club Brugge U19 · On: M. Soria · Off: K. Angulo
58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Club Brugge U19 · On: M. Soria · Off: K. Angulo
66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Internazionale U19 · On: L. Peletti · Off: E. Rocca
75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Internazionale U19 · On: N. Moranduzzo · Off: G. D'Agostino
77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Internazionale U19 · On: N. Moranduzzo · Off: G. D'Agostino
79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Club Brugge U19 · On: U. Kurtal · Off: A. H. Kamara
79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Club Brugge U19 · On: J. Da Silva · Off: L. Delorge
79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Club Brugge U19
84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Internazionale U19 · On: M. Franchi · Off: A. Vukaj
84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Internazionale U19
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Internazionale U19 1–1 Club Brugge U19
FTFULL TIME Internazionale U19 1–1 Club Brugge U19
FTInternazionale U19 1–1 Club Brugge U19 · Internazionale U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 13:24 · locked at kick-off

Internazionale U19 win42%

Draw23%

Club Brugge U19 win35%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 14:00

VenueStadio Ernesto Breda

Line-ups

Internazionale U19

Club Brugge U19

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Internazionale U19

Club Brugge U19

35Days since last match35

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Club Brugge U19	1	+2	3
48	Internazionale U19	1	−3	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Internazionale U19

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Farronato

2 T. Lissi

4 C. Breda

6 P. Mackiewicz

3 E. Rocca

8 G. D'Agostino

5 P. La Torre

7 D. Putsen

10 A. El Mahboubi

9 C. Carrara

11 A. Vukaj

Coach · Benito Carbone

Substitutes

12 · C. Galliera

13 · L. Peletti

14 · E. Evangelista

15 · N. Moranduzzo

16 · A. Nese

17 · D. Kartelo

18 · M. Maghlout

19 · M. Franchi

20 · T. Matarrese

Club Brugge U19

Formation not confirmed

91 T. Kestemont

93 W. Verlinden

54 S. Coulibaly

98 A. Wins

95 M. Elbay

48 J. Billiet

76 L. Delorge

78 A. H. Kamara

85 T. N. Koren

87 C. Ossohou

99 K. Angulo

Coach · –

Substitutes

49 · M. Knouzi

60 · E. Fejokwu

61 · S. Ostoici

68 · U. Kurtal

72 · J. Da Silva

74 · M. Haesaert

84 · M. Soria

94 · E. Callens

97 · N. Amengai

Our number · internazionale u19 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 13:24 · locked at kick-off

42% The market37%

Us42%

~~Market~~37%

We make Internazionale U19 a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · internazionale u19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Internazionale U19 win	42%	37%	+5
Draw	23%	26%	−3
Club Brugge U19 win	35%	37%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	66%	59%	+7
Both teams to score	67%	63%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	86%	80%	+6
Over 3.5 goals	45%	39%	+6
Internazionale U19 or draw	65%	63%	+2
Internazionale U19 clean sheet	20%	–	–
Club Brugge U19 clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 3.8 5.0 4.4 2.4 1 5.5 9.8 7.6 4.2 2 5.2 8.4 6.8 3.7 3 3.2 5.0 4.1 2.2 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Internazionale U19 down, Club Brugge U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 968 UEFA Youth League matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

UEFA Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Internazionale U19 at home: 3.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Club Brugge U19 away: 2.33 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.80 goals for Internazionale U19, 1.64 for Club Brugge U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in UEFA Youth League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in UEFA Youth League

INTERNAZIONALE U19

LWWWLL1–4 · 5–0 · 3–1 · 5–3 · 2–3 · 0–3

CLUB BRUGGE U19

WWWWDW3–2 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 5–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	HJK U19	1	+6	3
2	Zrinjski U19	1	+6	3
3	Bayern München U19	1	+5	3
4	PSG U19	1	+5	3
5	Kairat U19	1	+5	3
6	Manchester United U19	1	+5	3
7	Stuttgart U19	1	+5	3
8	Cardiff Metropolitan U19	1	+4	3
9	Akademija Pandev U19	1	+3	3
10	Flora III	1	+3	3
11	Real Madrid U19	1	+3	3
12	Club Brugge U19	1	+2	3
13	Roma U19	1	+2	3
14	Porto U19	1	+2	3
15	Partizani U19	1	+2	3
16	Dinamo Minsk U19	1	+1	3
17	Žalgiris U19	1	+1	3
18	Villarreal U19	1	+1	3
19	Arsenal U19	1	+1	3
20	Feyenoord U19	1	+1	3
21	Slavia Praha U19	1	+1	3
22	PSV U19	1	+1	3
23	Atlético Madrid U19	1	0	1
24	Galatasaray U19	1	0	1
25	Liverpool U19	1	0	1
26	Sporting CP U19	1	0	1
27	Como U19	1	0	1
28	RB Leipzig U19	1	0	1
29	AEK Athens U19	1	0	1
30	Cliftonville U19	1	0	1
31	LASK U19	1	0	1
32	Lille U19	1	0	1
33	Real Betis U19	1	0	1
34	Super Nova U19	1	0	1
35	Dinamo Tbilisi U19	1	−1	0
36	Thor Akureyri U19	1	−1	0
37	Borussia Dortmund U19	1	−1	0
38	Barcelona U19	1	−1	0
39	Lens U19	1	−1	0
40	Napoli U19	1	−1	0
41	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	1	−1	0
42	Aston Villa U19	1	−2	0
43	Fenerbahce U19	1	−2	0
44	Manchester City U19	1	−2	0
45	Valletta U19	1	−2	0
46	FC Santa Coloma U19	1	−3	0
47	HB U19	1	−3	0
48	Internazionale U19	1	−3	0
49	UNA Strassen U19	1	−4	0
50	Bodø / Glimt U19	1	−5	0
51	Slovan Bratislava U19	1	−5	0
52	Mladost DG U19	1	−5	0
53	Sabah U19	1	−5	0
54	Viking U19	1	−5	0
55	FC Ballkani U19	1	−6	0
56	Lincoln Red Imps U19	1	−6	0