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Dinamo Tbilisi U19 v Dinamo Minsk U19

Dinamo Tbilisi U19

3–4Full time

Dinamo Minsk U19

UEFA Youth League · SAT 10 OCT · Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32

Dinamo Tbilisi U19 3–4 Dinamo Minsk U19 DINAMO TBILISI U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.797

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 29 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win at 47%.
1′Much as we predicted: Dinamo Tbilisi U19 was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–24–28
22′22′ and it is 0–1: Dinamo Minsk U19 have scored. 0–1 · 21–24–56
43′41′ and it is 2–3: Dinamo Tbilisi U19 have scored. 2–3 · 14–25–61
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win: 47% at kick-off, 14% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win: 47% at kick-off, 21% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win: 47% at kick-off, 14% now
45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Tbilisi U19 2–3 Dinamo Minsk U19
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Dinamo Minsk U19 win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win 14%)
46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Tbilisi U19 2–3 Dinamo Minsk U19
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win: 47% at kick-off, 14% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Dinamo Minsk U19 win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win 14%)
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 · On: L. Sharikadze · Off: L. Tsikolia
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 · On: R. Aleksidze · Off: N. Bendeliani
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win: 47% at kick-off, 14% now
47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Dinamo Minsk U19 win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win 14%)
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win: 47% at kick-off, 14% now
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Dinamo Minsk U19 win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win 14%)
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win: 47% at kick-off, 14% now
49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Dinamo Minsk U19 win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win 14%)
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win: 47% at kick-off, 14% now
50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Dinamo Minsk U19 win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win 14%)
60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Dinamo Minsk U19 · On: T. Gudach · Off: S. Zhivushko
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 · On: G. Gogua · Off: T. Kvaratskhelia
70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 · On: K. Nikoloz · Off: S. Diakonidze
73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Dinamo Minsk U19 · On: A. Yastachkin · Off: A. Lutskovich
77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Dinamo Tbilisi U19
78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 · On: S. Khoperia · Off: S. Mikautadze
79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 2–4 Dinamo Minsk U19
81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Dinamo Minsk U19
85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Dinamo Tbilisi U19
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Dinamo Tbilisi U19 3–4 Dinamo Minsk U19
FTFULL TIME Dinamo Tbilisi U19 3–4 Dinamo Minsk U19
FTDinamo Tbilisi U19 3–4 Dinamo Minsk U19 · Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win47%

Draw24%

Dinamo Minsk U19 win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

Venue · Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Dinamo Tbilisi U19

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Chochoshvili

2 S. Diakonidze

3 A. Nizharadze

4 G. Lomidze

5 N. Bendeliani

8 L. Tsikolia

6 A. Dzneladze

10 N. Aduashvili

7 K. Kakashvili

9 S. Mikautadze

11 T. Kvaratskhelia

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · M. Tchelidze

13 · L. Sharikadze

14 · G. Gogua

15 · A. Giorgadze

16 · K. Nikoloz

17 · S. Khoperia

18 · G. Kurdovanidze

19 · R. Aleksidze

20 · D. Metreveli

Dinamo Minsk U19

Formation not confirmed

12 D. Radkevich

2 A. Penkrat

14 M. Chernyavskiy

4 D. Leontyuk

5 V. Kibak

24 A. Chumak

19 D. Degtyarenko

10 S. Zhivushko

22 M. Kalesnikovich

25 U. Varonin

9 A. Lutskovich

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · A. Aleksandrovich

7 · N. Titov

11 · A. Yastachkin

15 · I. Bachauskas

20 · T. Gudach

21 · S. Zhyhimont

23 · N. Raptunovich

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Dinamo Tbilisi U19

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Chochoshvili

2 S. Diakonidze

3 A. Nizharadze

4 G. Lomidze

5 N. Bendeliani

8 L. Tsikolia

6 A. Dzneladze

10 N. Aduashvili

7 K. Kakashvili

9 S. Mikautadze

11 T. Kvaratskhelia

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · M. Tchelidze

13 · L. Sharikadze

14 · G. Gogua

15 · A. Giorgadze

16 · K. Nikoloz

17 · S. Khoperia

18 · G. Kurdovanidze

19 · R. Aleksidze

20 · D. Metreveli

Dinamo Minsk U19

Formation not confirmed

12 D. Radkevich

2 A. Penkrat

14 M. Chernyavskiy

4 D. Leontyuk

5 V. Kibak

24 A. Chumak

19 D. Degtyarenko

10 S. Zhivushko

22 M. Kalesnikovich

25 U. Varonin

9 A. Lutskovich

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · A. Aleksandrovich

7 · N. Titov

11 · A. Yastachkin

15 · I. Bachauskas

20 · T. Gudach

21 · S. Zhyhimont

23 · N. Raptunovich

Our number · dinamo tbilisi u19 winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Dinamo Tbilisi U19 a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 win	47%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Dinamo Minsk U19 win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 or draw	72%	–	–
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 clean sheet	28%	–	–
Dinamo Minsk U19 clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.7 5.9 4.1 1 8.1 11.0 6.7 3.0 2 7.2 9.0 5.8 2.5 3 4.3 5.3 3.4 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Tbilisi U19 down, Dinamo Minsk U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 967 UEFA Youth League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

UEFA Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dinamo Tbilisi U19 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 4). Dinamo Minsk U19 away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi U19, 1.29 for Dinamo Minsk U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~DIN 0–2 DIN · DIN 0–2 DIN

Form · last six in UEFA Youth League

DINAMO TBILISI U19

DWWWWL1–1 · 3–0 · 4–3 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 0–2

DINAMO MINSK U19

WLWLWL2–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	HJK U19	1	+6	3
2	Zrinjski U19	1	+6	3
3	Bayern München U19	1	+5	3
4	PSG U19	1	+5	3
5	Kairat U19	1	+5	3
6	Manchester United U19	1	+5	3
7	Stuttgart U19	1	+5	3
8	Cardiff Metropolitan U19	1	+4	3
9	Akademija Pandev U19	1	+3	3
10	Flora III	1	+3	3
11	Real Madrid U19	1	+3	3
12	Club Brugge U19	1	+2	3
13	Roma U19	1	+2	3
14	Porto U19	1	+2	3
15	Partizani U19	1	+2	3
16	Žalgiris U19	1	+1	3
17	Villarreal U19	1	+1	3
18	Arsenal U19	1	+1	3
19	Feyenoord U19	1	+1	3
20	Slavia Praha U19	1	+1	3
21	PSV U19	1	+1	3
22	Atlético Madrid U19	1	0	1
23	Galatasaray U19	1	0	1
24	Liverpool U19	1	0	1
25	Sporting CP U19	1	0	1
26	Como U19	1	0	1
27	RB Leipzig U19	1	0	1
28	AEK Athens U19	1	0	1
29	Cliftonville U19	1	0	1
30	LASK U19	1	0	1
31	Lille U19	1	0	1
32	Real Betis U19	1	0	1
33	Super Nova U19	1	0	1
34	Thor Akureyri U19	1	−1	0
35	Borussia Dortmund U19	1	−1	0
36	Barcelona U19	1	−1	0
37	Lens U19	1	−1	0
38	Napoli U19	1	−1	0
39	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	1	−1	0
40	Aston Villa U19	1	−2	0
41	Fenerbahce U19	1	−2	0
42	Manchester City U19	1	−2	0
43	Valletta U19	1	−2	0
44	FC Santa Coloma U19	1	−3	0
45	HB U19	1	−3	0
46	Internazionale U19	1	−3	0
47	UNA Strassen U19	1	−4	0
48	Bodø / Glimt U19	1	−5	0
49	Slovan Bratislava U19	1	−5	0
50	Mladost DG U19	1	−5	0
51	Sabah U19	1	−5	0
52	Viking U19	1	−5	0
53	FC Ballkani U19	1	−6	0
54	Lincoln Red Imps U19	1	−6	0