Bodø / Glimt U19 v Borussia Dortmund U19 prediction · UEFA Youth League

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 12:31

Bodø / Glimt U19 0–5 Borussia Dortmund U19 BORUSSIA DORTMUND U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Borussia Dortmund U19 win~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.113

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Borussia Dortmund U19 win at 73%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Borussia Dortmund U19 73% before kick-off, 76% now. 0–0 · 11–13–76
1′KICK-OFF Bodø / Glimt U19 v Borussia Dortmund U19
28′28′ and it is 0–1: Borussia Dortmund U19 have scored. 0–1 · 4–9–87
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Bodø / Glimt U19 0–1 Borussia Dortmund U19
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Borussia Dortmund U19 win: 73% at kick-off, 87% now
30′We said Borussia Dortmund U19 at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 0–1 · 4–9–87
36′Borussia Dortmund U19 find the net on 36′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Bodø / Glimt U19 0–2 Borussia Dortmund U19
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Borussia Dortmund U19 win: 73% at kick-off, 96% now
37′Borussia Dortmund U19 ahead on 35′ through J. Hoy. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
38′We said Borussia Dortmund U19 at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 0–2 · 1–3–96
39′The goal count is tracking the 4.7 we expected. 0–2 · 1–3–96
45′HALF-TIME Bodø / Glimt U19 0–2 Borussia Dortmund U19
46′SECOND HALF Bodø / Glimt U19 0–2 Borussia Dortmund U19
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Bodø / Glimt U19 · On: L. Leirvik · Off: M. Kald
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Bodø / Glimt U19 · On: I. Alvsen · Off: S. Kolstad
56′A goal for Borussia Dortmund U19 on 56′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Bodø / Glimt U19 0–3 Borussia Dortmund U19
57′B. Gardarsson scores for Borussia Dortmund U19 on 55′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
58′We said Borussia Dortmund U19 at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Bodø / Glimt U19 · On: M. Setvik · Off: J. Strand
68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Borussia Dortmund U19 · On: T. Burkhardt · Off: M. Adje
68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Borussia Dortmund U19 · On: N. Konig · Off: G. Zisopoulos
68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Borussia Dortmund U19 · On: A. Najdi · Off: B. Gardarsson
74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Borussia Dortmund U19 · On: N. Goldberg · Off: J. Hoy
80′79′ and it is 0–4: T. Degener on the scoresheet for Borussia Dortmund U19. 0–4 · 0–0–100
80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Bodø / Glimt U19 0–4 Borussia Dortmund U19
80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Bodø / Glimt U19 · On: I. B. Gusjas · Off: T. Solbakken
80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Borussia Dortmund U19 · On: K. Hagemann · Off: F. Zarqelain
83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Bodø / Glimt U19 · On: M. Rasen · Off: T. Ingilae
84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Bodø / Glimt U19
85′🟨 YELLOW · 83' T. Faust · Borussia Dortmund U19
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Bodø / Glimt U19 0–5 Borussia Dortmund U19
90′Borussia Dortmund U19 ahead on 88′ through L. Fahrenhorst. 0–5. 0–5 · 0–0–100
90′5 goals already, more than the 4.7 we expected for the whole match. 0–5 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Bodø / Glimt U19 0–5 Borussia Dortmund U19
FTBodø / Glimt U19 0–5 Borussia Dortmund U19 · Borussia Dortmund U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Bodø / Glimt U19 v Borussia Dortmund U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 09:24 · locked at kick-off

Bodø / Glimt U19 win14%

Draw13%

Borussia Dortmund U19 win73%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 10:00

VenueAspmyra Stadion

RefereeO. Reitala

Line-ups

Bodø / Glimt U19

Borussia Dortmund U19

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Bodø / Glimt U19

Borussia Dortmund U19

34Days since last match36

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
41	Borussia Dortmund U19	1	−1	0
50	Bodø / Glimt U19	1	−5	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Bodø / Glimt U19

Formation not confirmed

1 M. L. Andersen

2 S. Kolstad

3 J. Linaker Jenssen

4 M. Jaiteh

5 T. Solbakken

18 E. Eliassen

7 L. M. Yeboah

11 T. Ingilae

10 M. Kald

9 J. Strand

21 H. Chooly

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · P. Griegel

15 · M. B. Olsen

16 · M. Rasen

17 · L. Leirvik

19 · I. Alvsen

20 · M. Setvik

25 · I. B. Gusjas

30 · M. Martins

34 · S. S. Salih

Borussia Dortmund U19

Formation not confirmed

12 A. Held

37 L. Vogt

4 G. Zisopoulos

18 R. Ritter

13 M. Adje

6 L. Fahrenhorst

16 T. Degener

8 T. Faust

7 F. Zarqelain

28 B. Gardarsson

10 J. Hoy

Coach · Felix Hirschnagl

Substitutes

2 · N. Konig

9 · A. Najdi

15 · N. Goldberg

22 · J. Wehrbein

27 · K. Hagemann

30 · L. Kante

40 · T. Burkhardt

Our number · borussia dortmund u19 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 09:24 · locked at kick-off

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Borussia Dortmund U19 a 73% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–3.4, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bodø / Glimt U19 v Borussia Dortmund U19~~1.34 – 3.41

~~Last six in UEFA Youth League~~W0 D0 L6 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~50 v 41

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bodø / Glimt U19 win	14%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
Borussia Dortmund U19 win	73%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	84%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	68%	–	–
Bodø / Glimt U19 or draw	27%	–	–
Bodø / Glimt U19 clean sheet	5%	–	–
Borussia Dortmund U19 clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 6.5%

0123450 3.0 4.9 5.3 4.7 3.51 4.6 6.4 6.5 5.4 3.92 3.2 4.5 4.4 3.4 2.33 2.2 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bodø / Glimt U19 down, Borussia Dortmund U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 978 UEFA Youth League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

UEFA Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.3% of games this season, across 38 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bodø / Glimt U19 at home: 0.67 scored, 6.33 conceded a game (last 3). Borussia Dortmund U19 away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Bodø / Glimt U19, 3.41 for Borussia Dortmund U19. Most likely score 1–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~BOR 4–0 BOD

Form · last six in UEFA Youth League

BODØ / GLIMT U19

LLLLLL0–6 · 2–3 · 0–7 · 2–6 · 0–4 · 1–6

BORUSSIA DORTMUND U19

WWLWLL2–0 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 0–4 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zrinjski U19	2	+9	6
2	Villarreal U19	2	+6	6
3	PSV U19	2	+6	6
4	Slavia Praha U19	2	+4	6
5	Atlético Madrid U19	2	+3	4
6	Club Brugge U19	2	+2	4
7	Lille U19	2	+1	4
8	HJK U19	1	+6	3
9	PSG U19	1	+5	3
10	Kairat U19	1	+5	3
11	Stuttgart U19	1	+5	3
12	Cardiff Metropolitan U19	1	+4	3
13	Bayern München U19	2	+3	3
14	Akademija Pandev U19	1	+3	3
15	Flora III	1	+3	3
16	Real Madrid U19	1	+3	3
17	Manchester United U19	2	+2	3
18	Roma U19	1	+2	3
19	Porto U19	1	+2	3
20	Partizani U19	1	+2	3
21	Dinamo Minsk U19	1	+1	3
22	Žalgiris U19	1	+1	3
23	Feyenoord U19	1	+1	3
24	Arsenal U19	2	0	3
25	Lens U19	2	0	3
26	Barcelona U19	2	0	3
27	Viking U19	2	−3	3
28	Liverpool U19	1	0	1
29	Como U19	1	0	1
30	AEK Athens U19	1	0	1
31	Cliftonville U19	1	0	1
32	LASK U19	1	0	1
33	Real Betis U19	1	0	1
34	Super Nova U19	1	0	1
35	Sporting CP U19	2	−1	1
36	Galatasaray U19	2	−1	1
37	Internazionale U19	2	−3	1
38	RB Leipzig U19	2	−5	1
39	Dinamo Tbilisi U19	1	−1	0
40	Thor Akureyri U19	1	−1	0
41	Borussia Dortmund U19	1	−1	0
42	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	1	−1	0
43	Aston Villa U19	1	−2	0
44	Fenerbahce U19	1	−2	0
45	Manchester City U19	1	−2	0
46	Valletta U19	1	−2	0
47	FC Santa Coloma U19	1	−3	0
48	HB U19	1	−3	0
49	UNA Strassen U19	1	−4	0
50	Bodø / Glimt U19	1	−5	0
51	Slovan Bratislava U19	1	−5	0
52	Mladost DG U19	1	−5	0
53	Napoli U19	2	−6	0
54	FC Ballkani U19	1	−6	0
55	Sabah U19	2	−8	0
56	Lincoln Red Imps U19	2	−9	0