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Benfica U19 v Pafos U19

Benfica U19

16:00Upcoming

Pafos U19

UEFA Youth League · WED 28 OCT · Caixa Futebol Campus

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Benfica U19DrawPafos U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Benfica U19 82%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Benfica U19 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Benfica U19 82%, draw 10%, Pafos U19 8%. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Benfica U19 v Pafos U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Benfica U19 win82%

Draw10%

Pafos U19 win8%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 16:00

RoundSemi-finals

VenueCaixa Futebol Campus

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Benfica U19

Pafos U19

4Days since last match322

Last match: 24 Oct · Júniores U19

Last match: 10 Dec 2025 · UEFA Youth League

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · benfica u19 winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

82% The market–

Us82%

We make Benfica U19 an 82% chance to win. The model expects 3.7–1.0, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Benfica U19 v Pafos U19~~3.67 – 0.96

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Benfica U19 win	82%	–	–
Draw	10%	–	–
Pafos U19 win	8%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	83%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	66%	–	–
Benfica U19 or draw	92%	–	–
Benfica U19 clean sheet	40%	–	–
Pafos U19 clean sheet	3%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 7.7%

0123450 1 3.9 3.9 2.1 2 6.6 6.2 3.3 3 7.7 6.9 3.5 4 7.0 5.9 2.9 5 5.4 4.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Benfica U19 down, Pafos U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (81.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,014 UEFA Youth League matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: UEFA Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.9% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Benfica U19 at home: 4.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Pafos U19 away: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

3.67 goals for Benfica U19, 0.96 for Pafos U19. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · UEFA Youth League this season

BENFICA U19

No matches in our record yet.

PAFOS U19

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid U19	3	+7	9
2	Slavia Praha U19	3	+6	9
3	Feyenoord U19	3	+5	9
4	PSG U19	3	+7	7
5	Villarreal U19	3	+6	7
6	Atlético Madrid U19	3	+5	7
7	Club Brugge U19	3	+4	7
8	Lille U19	3	+3	7
9	Kairat U19	2	+12	6
10	Akademija Pandev U19	2	+11	6
11	Zrinjski U19	2	+9	6
12	HJK U19	2	+7	6
13	Borussia Dortmund U19	3	+6	6
14	Roma U19	3	+6	6
15	Flora III	2	+6	6
16	Partizani U19	2	+6	6
17	PSV U19	3	+4	6
18	Žalgiris U19	2	+3	6
19	Porto U19	3	−1	6
20	Viking U19	3	−2	6
21	Liverpool U19	3	+2	5
22	AEK Athens U19	3	+1	5
23	Bayern München U19	3	+3	4
24	Real Betis U19	3	+2	4
25	Super Nova U19	2	+1	4
26	Arsenal U19	3	0	4
27	Sporting CP U19	3	0	4
28	Barcelona U19	3	0	4
29	Como U19	3	0	4
30	Internazionale U19	3	−1	4
31	Cardiff Metropolitan U19	2	+3	3
32	Stuttgart U19	3	+2	3
33	Manchester United U19	3	+1	3
34	Dinamo Minsk U19	2	0	3
35	Dinamo Tbilisi U19	2	0	3
36	Lens U19	3	−2	3
37	Aston Villa U19	3	−2	3
38	UNA Strassen U19	2	−3	3
39	Napoli U19	3	−5	3
40	Slovan Bratislava U19	3	−9	3
41	Cliftonville U19	2	−1	1
42	Galatasaray U19	3	−3	1
43	LASK U19	3	−3	1
44	Manchester City U19	3	−4	1
45	RB Leipzig U19	3	−8	1
46	Thor Akureyri U19	2	−3	0
47	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	3	−4	0
48	Fenerbahce U19	3	−5	0
49	HB U19	2	−6	0
50	Valletta U19	2	−6	0
51	FC Ballkani U19	2	−7	0
52	Lincoln Red Imps U19	2	−9	0
53	Sabah U19	3	−10	0
54	Bodø / Glimt U19	3	−11	0
55	FC Santa Coloma U19	2	−11	0
56	Mladost DG U19	2	−12	0