Sparta Praha v Lillestrom

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sparta Praha win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sparta Praha was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–23–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sparta Praha v Lillestrom
4. 19′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Martin Suchomel · Sparta Praha
5. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim · Lillestrom
6. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Ebrima Singhateh · Sparta Praha
7. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Sparta Praha win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
8. 45′HALF-TIME Sparta Praha 0–0 Lillestrom
9. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sparta Praha · On: Josimar Alcocer · Off: Ebrima Singhateh
10. 46′SECOND HALF Sparta Praha 0–0 Lillestrom
11. 48′We said Sparta Praha at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–37–22
12. 50′We said Sparta Praha at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–38–22
13. 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 37–42–21
14. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Sparta Praha win 37%)
15. 56′We published Sparta Praha at 52%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–17–4
16. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Sparta Praha 1–0 Lillestrom
17. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Sparta Praha win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
18. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Sparta Praha win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
19. 57′56′: Josimar Alcocer on the scoresheet for Sparta Praha, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 79–17–4
20. 59′We published Sparta Praha at 52%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
21. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Sparta Praha · On: Roman Macek · Off: Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk
22. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Sparta Praha · On: John Mercado · Off: Matej Jurasek
23. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Sparta Praha · On: Ki-Jana Hoever · Off: Martin Suchomel
24. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Sparta Praha win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
25. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Lillestrom · On: Eric Kitolano · Off: Daniel Bassi
26. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Lillestrom · On: Thomas Lehne Olsen · Off: Fredrik Gulbrandsen
27. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Lillestrom · On: Henrik Molvaer Melland · Off: Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
28. 72′We published Sparta Praha at 52%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
29. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Lillestrom · On: Frederik Elkaer · Off: Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil
30. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Lillestrom · On: Gustav Nordh · Off: Felix Vá
31. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Roman Macek · Sparta Praha
32. 80′We published Sparta Praha at 52%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
33. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Sparta Praha win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
34. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Sparta Praha · On: Santiago Eneme · Off: Andy Irving
35. 87′We published Sparta Praha at 52%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
36. 92′We said Sparta Praha at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–3
37. 92′Lillestrom level it on 90′ through Thomas Lehne Olsen. 1–1. 1–1 · 4–94–3
38. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Sparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrom
39. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Sparta Praha win: 52% at kick-off, 4% now
40. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Sparta Praha win 4%)
41. 93′13 shots for Sparta Praha, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 3–95–2
42. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Sparta Praha win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
43. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Henrik Molvaer Melland · Lillestrom
44. FTFULL TIME Sparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrom
45. FTSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrom · Sparta Praha win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.