Lyon v Crystal Palace

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Lyon win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Lyon 39% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–26–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Lyon v Crystal Palace
4. 8′Lyon score on 8′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 67–20–13
5. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Lyon 1–0 Crystal Palace
6. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Lyon win: 39% at kick-off, 67% now
7. 9′We said Lyon at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 1–0 · 67–20–13
8. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Lyon win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 69–21–10
10. 33′We said Lyon at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–10
11. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Ismaila Sarr · Crystal Palace
12. 45′HALF-TIME Lyon 2–0 Crystal Palace
13. 45′SECOND HALF Lyon 2–0 Crystal Palace
14. 46′We said Lyon at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–6–1
15. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Lyon 2–0 Crystal Palace
16. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Lyon win: 39% at kick-off, 93% now
17. 47′Lyon ahead on 45′ through Ernest Nuamah. 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–1
18. 51′Yeremy Pino scores for Crystal Palace on 50′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 73–20–6
19. 51′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 73–20–6
20. 51′⚽ GOAL · 50' Lyon 2–1 Crystal Palace · Yeremy Pino
21. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Lyon win: 39% at kick-off, 73% now
22. 55′We said Lyon at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–5
23. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Yeremy Pino · Crystal Palace
24. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Keito Nakamura · Lyon
25. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Crystal Palace · On: Eddie Nketiah · Off: Jörgen Strand Larsen
26. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Crystal Palace · On: Daichi Kamada · Off: Ismaila Sarr
27. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Lyon win: 39% at kick-off, 79% now
28. 67′We said Lyon at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
29. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Lyon · On: Kail Boudache · Off: Ernest Nuamah
30. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Lyon · On: Pavel Šulc · Off: Khalis Merah
31. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Crystal Palace · On: Dario Osorio · Off: Yeremy Pino
32. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Crystal Palace · On: Anan Khalaili · Off: Oscar Mingueza
33. 76′We said Lyon at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
34. 76′We said Lyon at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
35. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Lyon 3–1 Crystal Palace
36. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Lyon win: 39% at kick-off, 99% now
37. 77′76′: Pavel Šulc on the scoresheet for Lyon, making it 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
38. 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
39. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Lyon · On: Tanner Tessmann · Off: Noah Teye Nartey
40. 82′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 91–9–1
41. 82′Crystal Palace pull one back on 81′ through Daichi Kamada. 3–2. 3–2 · 91–9–1
42. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Lyon 3–2 Crystal Palace
43. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Lyon win: 39% at kick-off, 91% now
44. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Chris Richards · Crystal Palace
45. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Crystal Palace · On: Dwight McNeil · Off: Quinten Timber
46. 90′3–2 at the end. Our 39% on Lyon comes in. 3–2 · 100–0–0
47. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Lyon · On: Mads Bidstrup · Off: Corentin Tolisso
48. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Lyon win: 39% at kick-off, 99% now
49. FTFULL TIME Lyon 3–2 Crystal Palace
50. FTLyon 3–2 Crystal Palace · Lyon win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.