Lech Poznan v Sunderland

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sunderland win at 39%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sunderland was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 33–28–39
3. 1′KICK-OFF Lech Poznan v Sunderland
4. 2′Timur Tutierov scores for Sunderland on 2′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 13–19–67
5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Lech Poznan 0–1 Sunderland · Timur Tutierov
6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Sunderland win: 39% at kick-off, 67% now
7. 3′We published Sunderland at 39%. Our model now makes it 67%. 0–1 · 13–19–67
8. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Sunderland win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
9. 26′We published Sunderland at 39%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 10–20–70
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 9–20–70
11. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Kevin Danso · Sunderland
12. 45′SECOND HALF Lech Poznan 0–1 Sunderland
13. 46′HALF-TIME Lech Poznan 0–1 Sunderland
14. 52′We published Sunderland at 39%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
15. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Lech Poznan · On: Luis Palma · Off: Daniel Håkans
16. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Lech Poznan · On: Leo Bengtsson · Off: Pablo Rodriguez Delgado
17. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Sunderland win: 39% at kick-off, 79% now
18. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sunderland · On: Noah Sadiki · Off: Granit Xhaka
19. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sunderland · On: Enzo Le Fée · Off: Habib Diarra
20. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sunderland · On: Trai Hume · Off: Nordi Mukiele
21. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Sunderland · On: Chris Rigg · Off: Nilson Angulo
22. 65′We published Sunderland at 39%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
23. 69′We said Sunderland at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–1 · 18–61–21
24. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Lech Poznan 1–1 Sunderland
25. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Sunderland win: 39% at kick-off, 21% now
26. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Sunderland win 82%)
27. 70′Sunderland have had 20 attempts to 8 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 18–62–20
28. 71′70′: Leo Bengtsson on the scoresheet for Lech Poznan, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 17–64–19
29. 71′We said Sunderland at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 17–64–19
30. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Sunderland win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
31. 78′We said Sunderland at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 12–74–14
32. 83′We said Sunderland at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–83–9
33. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Lech Poznan · On: Gustav Berggren · Off: Patrick Walemark
34. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Lech Poznan · On: Y. Agnero · Off: Radosław Murawski
35. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Sunderland win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
36. 84′Sunderland have had 24 attempts to 16 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 7–85–8
37. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Sunderland · On: Reinildo Isnard Mandava · Off: Timur Tutierov
38. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Lech Poznan · On: Filip Jagiełło · Off: Mikael Ishak
39. 90′We said Sunderland at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
40. 93′Full time, 1–1. We called Sunderland at 39% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
41. FTFULL TIME Lech Poznan 1–1 Sunderland
42. FTLech Poznan 1–1 Sunderland · Sunderland win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.