Juventus v Rennes

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Juventus win at 58%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Juventus was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–22–20
3. 1′KICK-OFF Juventus v Rennes
4. 5′We published Juventus at 58%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–13–7
5. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Juventus 1–0 Rennes
6. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 80% now
7. 6′Juventus find the net on 5′. 1–0. 1–0 · 80–13–7
8. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Juventus 1–1 Rennes
9. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 55% now
10. 16′Mousa Al-Tamari scores for Rennes on 15′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 55–25–20
11. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Federico Gatti · Juventus
12. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
13. 42′We said Juventus at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–28–53
14. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Juventus 1–2 Rennes
15. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 19% now
16. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Rennes win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Juventus win 47%)
17. 43′43′: Boulaye Dia on the scoresheet for Rennes, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 19–28–54
18. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
19. 45′SECOND HALF Juventus 1–2 Rennes
20. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Juventus · On: Pierre Kalulu · Off: Zeki Çelik
21. 49′HALF-TIME Juventus 1–2 Rennes
22. 53′We said Juventus at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–28–58
23. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Juventus · On: Nicolás Iván Gonzalez · Off: Federico Gatti
24. 63′We said Juventus at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–26–65
25. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
26. 66′We said Juventus at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 33–51–16
27. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Juventus 2–2 Rennes
28. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 33% now
29. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Rennes win 67%)
30. 67′Rennes have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 32–53–15
31. 67′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 32–53–15
32. 68′Juventus level it on 67′ through Nick Woltemade. 2–2. 2–2 · 31–54–15
33. 70′We said Juventus at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–56–14
34. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
35. 75′We said Juventus at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–64–12
36. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
37. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Juventus · On: Jhon Lucumi · Off: Lloyd Kelly
38. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Juventus · On: Jérémie Boga · Off: Randal Kolo Muani
39. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Rennes · On: Issa Soumaré · Off: Boulaye Dia
40. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Rennes · On: Eliezer Mayenda · Off: Mousa Al-Tamari
41. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Rennes · On: Sebastian Szymański · Off: Adrien Thomasson
42. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal · Rennes
43. 88′We published Juventus at 58%. Our model now makes it 96%. 3–2 · 96–4–0
44. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
45. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Juventus 3–2 Rennes
46. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 96% now
47. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Juventus win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 88%)
48. 89′Jhon Lucumi scores for Juventus on 88′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 96–4–0
49. 89′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 96–4–0
50. 91′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+1' Juventus
51. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Juventus win: 58% at kick-off, 5% now
52. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Juventus win 97%)
53. 92′We said Juventus at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
54. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Juventus · On: Kerim Alajbegovic · Off: Andrea Cambiaso
55. 98′Full time, 2–2. We called Juventus at 58% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
56. FTFULL TIME Juventus 2–2 Rennes
57. FTJuventus 2–2 Rennes · Juventus win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.