Celje v Red Bull Salzburg

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Red Bull Salzburg win at 51%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Red Bull Salzburg 51% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 26–23–50
3. 1′KICK-OFF Celje v Red Bull Salzburg
4. 9′We said Red Bull Salzburg at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 0–1 · 10–16–74
5. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Celje 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg
6. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Red Bull Salzburg win: 51% at kick-off, 74% now
7. 10′Sota Kitano scores for Red Bull Salzburg on 9′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 10–16–74
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 8–17–74
9. 31′We said Red Bull Salzburg at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 8–17–75
10. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Artemijus Tutyskinas · Celje
11. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Damir Redzic · Red Bull Salzburg
12. 44′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Pijus Sirvys · Celje
13. 45′We said Red Bull Salzburg at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 0–2 · 1–5–93
14. 45′SECOND HALF Celje 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg
15. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Red Bull Salzburg · On: Jesper Lindstrom · Off: Yorbe Vertessen
16. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Red Bull Salzburg · On: Bartosz Mazurek · Off: Umut Deger Tohumcu
17. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Celje 0–2 Red Bull Salzburg
18. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Red Bull Salzburg win: 51% at kick-off, 93% now
19. 46′46′: Jesper Lindstrom on the scoresheet for Red Bull Salzburg, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
20. 46′HALF-TIME Celje 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg
21. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Celje 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg
22. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Red Bull Salzburg win: 51% at kick-off, 77% now
23. 52′Celje pull one back on 50′ through Blaž Kramer. 1–2. 1–2 · 5–18–77
24. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Celje · On: Yaya Dukuly · Off: Veton Tusha
25. 63′We said Red Bull Salzburg at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 4–17–80
26. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Red Bull Salzburg win: 51% at kick-off, 81% now
27. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Red Bull Salzburg · On: Gaoussou Diakité · Off: Sota Kitano
28. 74′We said Red Bull Salzburg at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
29. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Red Bull Salzburg win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
30. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Celje · On: A. Kučys · Off: Benjamin Verbič
31. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Celje · On: Žan Žužek · Off: Pijus Sirvys
32. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Red Bull Salzburg · On: Frans Kratzig · Off: Damir Redzic
33. 88′We said Red Bull Salzburg at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
34. 90′We said Red Bull Salzburg at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 2–2 · 4–90–6
35. 90′12 shots for Red Bull Salzburg, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 4–90–6
36. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Celje 2–2 Red Bull Salzburg
37. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Red Bull Salzburg win: 51% at kick-off, 6% now
38. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Red Bull Salzburg win 96%)
39. 91′A. Kučys scores for Celje on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 3–92–5
40. 92′We said Red Bull Salzburg at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 3–93–4
41. 93′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 2–95–3
42. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Bartosz Mazurek · Red Bull Salzburg
43. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Celje · On: Darko Hrka · Off: Mario Kvesić
44. FTFULL TIME Celje 2–2 Red Bull Salzburg
45. FTCelje 2–2 Red Bull Salzburg · Red Bull Salzburg win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.