1899 Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said 1899 Hoffenheim win at 53%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF 1899 Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş
3. 2′Much as we predicted: 1899 Hoffenheim was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–22–25
4. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Fisnik Asllani · 1899 Hoffenheim
5. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' 1899 Hoffenheim win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
6. 45′SECOND HALF 1899 Hoffenheim 0–0 Beşiktaş
7. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Beşiktaş · On: Fabio Miretti · Off: Orkun Kökçü
8. 46′HALF-TIME 1899 Hoffenheim 0–0 Beşiktaş
9. 49′We said 1899 Hoffenheim at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–36–23
10. 53′We said 1899 Hoffenheim at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–39–22
11. 55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 38–40–22
12. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was 1899 Hoffenheim win 37%)
13. 59′We said 1899 Hoffenheim at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 0–1 · 11–26–64
14. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 Beşiktaş
15. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' 1899 Hoffenheim win: 53% at kick-off, 11% now
16. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Beşiktaş win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Draw 26%)
17. 60′Amir Murillo scores for Beşiktaş on 60′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 10–26–64
18. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' 1899 Hoffenheim · On: Tim Lemperle · Off: Adam Hložek
19. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' 1899 Hoffenheim · On: Alexander Prass · Off: Adam Daghim
20. 62′We said 1899 Hoffenheim at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
21. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Ozan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim
22. 68′We said 1899 Hoffenheim at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–52–18
23. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 Beşiktaş
24. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' 1899 Hoffenheim win: 53% at kick-off, 30% now
25. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Beşiktaş win 18%)
26. 69′68′: Fisnik Asllani on the scoresheet for 1899 Hoffenheim, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 29–53–17
27. 70′We said 1899 Hoffenheim at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–55–17
28. 71′13 shots for Beşiktaş, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 28–56–16
29. 72′Goals are coming at about the 3.3 we expected. 1–2 · 5–22–73
30. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 Beşiktaş
31. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' 1899 Hoffenheim win: 53% at kick-off, 5% now
32. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Beşiktaş win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 22%)
33. 73′We said 1899 Hoffenheim at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–74
34. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' 1899 Hoffenheim · On: Nathan De Cat · Off: Wouter Burger
35. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' 1899 Hoffenheim · On: Bambasé Conté · Off: Andrej Kramarić
36. 74′Beşiktaş ahead on 72′ through Oh Hyeon-gyu. 1–2. 1–2 · 4–21–75
37. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' 1899 Hoffenheim win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
38. 78′4 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–2–97
39. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Beşiktaş · On: Salih Özcan · Off: Junior Olaitan
40. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Beşiktaş
41. 80′Oh Hyeon-gyu scores for Beşiktaş on 79′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 0–2–98
42. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Oh Hyeon-gyu · Beşiktaş
43. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Beşiktaş · On: Semih Kılıçsoy · Off: Oh Hyeon-gyu
44. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' 1899 Hoffenheim · On: Robin Hranáč · Off: Ozan Kabak
45. 87′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–8–91
46. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş
47. 89′87′: Koki Machida on the scoresheet for 1899 Hoffenheim, making it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–7–93
48. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Tim Lemperle · 1899 Hoffenheim
49. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Beşiktaş · On: Ridvan Yilmaz · Off: Kassoum Ouattara
50. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Beşiktaş · On: Umit Akdag · Off: Wilfred Ndidi
51. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Koki Machida · 1899 Hoffenheim
52. 94′Full time, 2–3. We called 1899 Hoffenheim at 53% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–3 · 0–0–100
53. FTFULL TIME 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş
54. FT1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş · 1899 Hoffenheim win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.