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SC Braga v Gent
SC BragaGentUEFA Europa Conference League · THU 22 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said SC Braga win at 54%.
- 1′KICK-OFF SC Braga v Gent
- 2′Much as we predicted: SC Braga was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–25–21
- 3′We published SC Braga at 54%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–14–7
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' SC Braga 1–0 Gent
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' SC Braga win: 54% at kick-off, 79% now
- 4′V. Gomez scores for SC Braga on 3′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 79–14–7
- 28′🟨 YELLOW · 28' A. Barisic · SC Braga
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 79–15–5
- 32′We published SC Braga at 54%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–15–5
- 32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' M. Paskotsi · Gent
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' T. Sa · SC Braga
- 41′SUBSTITUTION · 41' Gent · On: L. Benes · Off: M. Balikwisha
- 45′SECOND HALF SC Braga 1–0 Gent
- 48′HALF-TIME SC Braga 1–0 Gent
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' SC Braga win: 54% at kick-off, 84% now
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' SC Braga · On: M. Dorgeles · Off: J. Milosevic
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Gent · On: E. H. Seck · Off: H. Goore
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Gent · On: L. Lopes · Off: M. Delorge
- 65′We published SC Braga at 54%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' SC Braga · On: G. Martinez · Off: Gabriel Silva
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' SC Braga · On: D. E. Tiknaz · Off: Gorby
- 75′We published SC Braga at 54%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' SC Braga 2–0 Gent
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' SC Braga win: 54% at kick-off, 99% now
- 77′76′: G. Martinez on the scoresheet for SC Braga, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 80′We published SC Braga at 54%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Gent · On: G. De Meyer · Off: M. Sonko
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Gent · On: K. Wilson · Off: M. Paskotsi
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' SC Braga · On: D. Huseinbasic · Off: R. Horta
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' SC Braga · On: Sergio Barcia · Off: A. Barisic
- 93′Full time, 2–0. We called SC Braga at 54% — that one lands. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME SC Braga 2–0 Gent
- FTSC Braga 2–0 Gent · SC Braga win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
SC Braga are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SC Braga 54%, draw 25%, Gent 21%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
SC Braga win54%Gent win21%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 20:00
RoundLeague stage · matchday 2
RefereeA. Treimanis
Match timeline
All events
SC BragaMINGentEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
SC Braga
4-4-2
Gent
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SC Braga
Gent
Last match: 19 Oct · Primeira Liga
Last match: 18 Oct · the Belgian Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Gent | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 35 | SC Braga | 1 | −3 | 0 |
Line-ups
SC Braga
4-4-2
31 Bernardo
2 V. Gomez
14 G. Lagerbielke
37 A. Barisic
26 B. Arrey-Mbi
10 P. Victor
8 J. Moutinho
29 Gorby
11 Gabriel Silva
21 R. Horta
17 J. Milosevic
Coach · Carlos Vicens
Substitutes
12 · T. Sa
44 · A. Bajrami
22 · Sergio Barcia
7 · Travassos
6 · Vitor Carvalho
23 · D. Huseinbasic
50 · D. Rodrigues
20 · M. Dorgeles
77 · G. Martinez
34 · D. E. Tiknaz
16 · T. Marques
9 · F. Navarro
Gent
4-2-3-1
33 D. Roef
3 M. Paskotsi
16 C. Burgess
44 S. Van Der Heyden
20 T. Araujo
17 M. Delorge
27 T. De Vlieger
45 H. Goore
7 M. Balikwisha
11 M. Sonko
75 I. Cisse
Coach · Rik De Mil
Substitutes
30 · K. Peersman
56 · M. Diallo
35 · G. De Meyer
39 · A. Ayinde
57 · M. Volckaert
10 · A. Omgba
8 · L. Benes
22 · L. Lopes
37 · A. Kadri
28 · M. El Adfaoui
14 · K. Wilson
59 · E. H. Seck
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
SC Braga
4-4-2
31 Bernardo
2 V. Gomez
14 G. Lagerbielke
37 A. Barisic
26 B. Arrey-Mbi
10 P. Victor
8 J. Moutinho
29 Gorby
11 Gabriel Silva
21 R. Horta
17 J. Milosevic
Coach · Carlos Vicens
Substitutes
12 · T. Sa
44 · A. Bajrami
22 · Sergio Barcia
7 · Travassos
6 · Vitor Carvalho
23 · D. Huseinbasic
50 · D. Rodrigues
20 · M. Dorgeles
77 · G. Martinez
34 · D. E. Tiknaz
16 · T. Marques
9 · F. Navarro
Gent
4-2-3-1
33 D. Roef
3 M. Paskotsi
16 C. Burgess
44 S. Van Der Heyden
20 T. Araujo
17 M. Delorge
27 T. De Vlieger
45 H. Goore
7 M. Balikwisha
11 M. Sonko
75 I. Cisse
Coach · Rik De Mil
Substitutes
30 · K. Peersman
56 · M. Diallo
35 · G. De Meyer
39 · A. Ayinde
57 · M. Volckaert
10 · A. Omgba
8 · L. Benes
22 · L. Lopes
37 · A. Kadri
28 · M. El Adfaoui
14 · K. Wilson
59 · E. H. Seck
We make SC Braga a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 55%, 54% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga win | 54% | 49% | +5 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| Gent win | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 44% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 48% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 69% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 23% | +4 |
| SC Braga or draw | 79% | 77% | +2 |
| SC Braga clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Gent clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in UEFA Europa Conference League this season · since 30 July
SC BRAGA
GENT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |  FC Copenhagen | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |  Atalanta | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |  Mjallby AIF | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  SC Freiburg | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  FC Lugano | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Monaco | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Brann | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gent | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Twente | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 |  FC Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |  Universitatea Craiova | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Riga | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | −4 | 1 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 24 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Ajax | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 26 |  Borac Banja Luka | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Aarhus | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 30 |  FC Thun | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 31 |  KuPS | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 32 |  Pafos | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 34 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 35 | SC Braga | 1 | −3 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 1 | −4 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.