Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes prediction · UEFA Europa Conference League

Full timeGraded 15 Oct 20:30

Mjallby AIF 2–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes MJALLBY AIF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Mjallby AIF win~~71%

~~The market said~~71%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.126

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.126

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Mjallby AIF win at 71%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Mjallby AIF 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–18–11
1′KICK-OFF Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes
19′🟨 YELLOW · 18' J. Torres · Inter Club d'Escaldes
27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' M. Enggaard · Mjallby AIF
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Mjallby AIF win: 71% at kick-off, 61% now
37′We said Mjallby AIF at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–29–12
45′HALF-TIME Mjallby AIF 0–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes
46′SECOND HALF Mjallby AIF 0–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes
47′We said Mjallby AIF at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–34–12
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Mjallby AIF win: 71% at kick-off, 51% now
54′Mjallby AIF ahead on 54′ through J. Bergstrom. 1–0. 1–0 · 88–10–2
54′We said Mjallby AIF at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 1–0 · 88–10–2
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Mjallby AIF 1–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes · J. Bergstrom
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Mjallby AIF win: 71% at kick-off, 88% now
56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' V. Gustafson · Mjallby AIF
59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' V. Granath · Mjallby AIF
62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Inter Club d'Escaldes · On: B. Arellano · Off: Soule
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Mjallby AIF · On: A. Samuelsen · Off: M. Enggaard
65′A goal for Mjallby AIF on 65′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Mjallby AIF 2–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Mjallby AIF win: 71% at kick-off, 99% now
66′We said Mjallby AIF at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
66′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 2–0 · 99–1–0
74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Inter Club d'Escaldes · On: L. Diaby · Off: V. Alonso
74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Inter Club d'Escaldes · On: R. Lafarge · Off: A. Sanchez
77′We said Mjallby AIF at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Mjallby AIF · On: O. Lindberg · Off: V. Gustafson
90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Mjallby AIF · On: T. Pettersson · Off: A. Iqbal
90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Mjallby AIF · On: L. Tidstrand · Off: J. Kjaer
90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Inter Club d'Escaldes · On: Dacu · Off: J. Torres
90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Inter Club d'Escaldes · On: R. Hermann · Off: Modric
FTFULL TIME Mjallby AIF 2–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes
FTMjallby AIF 2–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes · Mjallby AIF win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mjallby AIF are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mjallby AIF 71%, draw 18%, Inter Club d'Escaldes 11%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'EscaldesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off

Mjallby AIF win71%

Draw18%

Inter Club d'Escaldes win11%

Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 17:45

RoundLeague stage · matchday 1

VenueOlympia

RefereeA. Menelaos

Line-ups

Mjallby AIF

3-5-1-1

Inter Club d'Escaldes

4-1-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mjallby AIF

Inter Club d'Escaldes

5Days since last match5

Last match: 10 Oct · Allsvenskan

Last match: 10 Oct · 1a Divisió

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Mjallby AIF

3-5-1-1

35 A. Lundin

33 T. Miettinen

4 A. Noren

5 A. Iqbal

14 V. Granath

10 J. Kjaer

22 J. Gustavsson

6 M. Enggaard

3 M. Agnarsson

7 V. Gustafson

18 J. Bergstrom

Coach · Andreas Brannstrom

Substitutes

13 · R. Wallinder

1 · S. Hansen

24 · T. Pettersson

26 · I. Hoffmann

2 · L. Svanberg

39 · R. Arrhenius

27 · L. Tidstrand

29 · O. Lindberg

23 · A. Samuelsen

Inter Club d'Escaldes

4-1-4-1

13 J. Diaz

24 M. Pochettino

4 A. Sanchez

2 A. H. Hernandez

3 J. Torres

6 V. Alonso

11 D. Berlanga

19 Modric

8 David Lopez

31 Soule

9 F. Chouaib

Coach · Felip Ortiz

Substitutes

1 · P. Freixanet

21 · M. Rodriguez

18 · R. Lafarge

17 · Dacu

7 · J. Camara

23 · L. Diaby

70 · B. Arellano

99 · R. Hermann

44 · A. Prelado

Our number · mjallby aif winFirst published 9 Oct 07:15 · updated 14 Oct 04:56 · locked at kick-off

71% The market71%

Us71%

~~Market~~71%

We make Mjallby AIF a 71% chance to win. The market has them at 71%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.3–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes~~2.26 – 0.75

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~1 v 31

~~The market · Mjallby AIF win~~71% · ours 71%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Mjallby AIF win The market, margin stripped

Published at 72%, 71% now. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mjallby AIF win	71%	71%	0
Draw	18%	18%	0
Inter Club d'Escaldes win	11%	10%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	58%	57%	+1
Both teams to score	48%	47%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	81%	79%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	36%	37%	−1
Mjallby AIF or draw	89%	90%	−1
Mjallby AIF clean sheet	47%	–	–
Inter Club d'Escaldes clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.6%

0123450 5.2 3.4 1 10.8 8.6 3.1 2 12.6 9.4 3.5 3 9.5 7.1 2.7 4 5.4 4.0 5 2.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Mjallby AIF down, Inter Club d'Escaldes across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates the clubs of 638 leagues on one scale, from the 406,727 league, cup and continental matches of the last three years up to 15 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Mjallby AIF play in Allsvenskan, Inter Club d'Escaldes in 1a Divisió.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Mjallby AIF are at home.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

What the model expects

2.26 goals for Mjallby AIF, 0.75 for Inter Club d'Escaldes. Most likely score 2–0.

Line-ups

Confirmed 15 Oct 17:30. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · UEFA Europa Conference League this season · since 6 Aug

MJALLBY AIF

No matches in our record yet.

INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES

WWDD2–0 · 4–0 · 2–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0