Brann v Lincoln Red Imps FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Brann win at 83%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Brann was 83% before kick-off and our model makes it 83% now. 0–0 · 83–12–5
3. 1′KICK-OFF Brann v Lincoln Red Imps FC
4. 7′🟨 YELLOW · 6' N. Kasanwirjo · Brann
5. 24′A red card for Brann on 24′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 76–18–6
6. 24′🟥 RED CARD · 24' Brann
7. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' N. Kasanwirjo · Brann
8. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Brann win: 83% at kick-off, 73% now
9. 35′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 71%. 0–0 · 71–22–7
10. 39′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 69%. 0–0 · 69–24–7
11. 45′HALF-TIME Brann 0–0 Lincoln Red Imps FC
12. 45′SECOND HALF Brann 0–0 Lincoln Red Imps FC
13. 47′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–28–7
14. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Brann win: 83% at kick-off, 63% now
15. 54′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–33–7
16. 55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 58–34–7
17. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' T. Cardozo · Lincoln Red Imps FC
18. 59′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–33–45
19. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Brann 0–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
20. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Brann win: 83% at kick-off, 22% now
21. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Lincoln Red Imps FC win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Brann win 22%)
22. 60′59′: K. Gomez on the scoresheet for Lincoln Red Imps FC, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 21–33–46
23. 61′🟥 RED CARD · 61' Lincoln Red Imps FC
24. 62′Red cards for both sides: Brann down to ten, Lincoln Red Imps FC to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 19–33–48
25. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' T. Cardozo · Lincoln Red Imps FC
26. 63′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–33–49
27. 64′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 1–1 · 50–43–7
28. 64′Goals are coming at about the 3.3 we expected. 1–1 · 50–43–7
29. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Brann 1–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
30. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Brann win: 83% at kick-off, 50% now
31. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Brann win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Lincoln Red Imps FC win 7%)
32. 65′Brann level it on 64′ through N. Castro. 1–1. 1–1 · 48–45–7
33. 66′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 1–1 · 47–46–7
34. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Brann · On: J. Torsvik · Off: T. Pedersen
35. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Lincoln Red Imps FC · On: Manu · Off: K. Gomez
36. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Lincoln Red Imps FC · On: Y. Flalhi Idrissi · Off: T. Garcia
37. 69′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–50–7
38. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Brann win: 83% at kick-off, 43% now
39. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Brann win 43%)
40. 72′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–55–6
41. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Brann · On: N. Holm · Off: N. Wassberg
42. 74′9 shots for Brann, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 36–58–6
43. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' N. Castro · Brann
44. 75′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–60–6
45. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Brann win: 83% at kick-off, 33% now
46. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Lincoln Red Imps FC · On: F. Alvarez · Off: A. Romero Morillo
47. 78′We said Brann at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–66–5
48. 80′We published Brann at 83%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–1 · 96–4–0
49. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Brann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
50. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Brann win: 83% at kick-off, 96% now
51. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Brann win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
52. 81′A goal for Brann on 81′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 96–4–0
53. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Brann · On: K. Eriksen · Off: N. Castro
54. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Lincoln Red Imps FC · On: N. Pinto · Off: Mandi
55. FTFULL TIME Brann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
56. FTBrann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC · Brann win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.