Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Aarhus win at 63%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Aarhus was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 63–22–15
4. 5′🟥 RED CARD · 5' E. Kahl · Aarhus
5. 6′A red card for Aarhus on 3′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 62–23–15
6. 12′🟨 YELLOW · 12' A. Yago · Egnatia Rrogozhinë
7. 12′SUBSTITUTION · 12' Aarhus · On: T. Molgaard · Off: C. McCowatt
8. 14′Egnatia Rrogozhinë ahead on 13′ through I. Gruda. 0–1. 0–1 · 33–26–40
9. 14′We said Aarhus at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–1 · 33–26–40
10. 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Aarhus 0–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë · I. Gruda
11. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Aarhus win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
12. 14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Egnatia Rrogozhinë win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Aarhus win 60%)
13. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 16' A. Kryeziu · Egnatia Rrogozhinë
14. 25′We said Aarhus at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–28–43
15. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 27–28–45
16. 35′We said Aarhus at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–29–47
17. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Aarhus win: 63% at kick-off, 23% now
18. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' K. Arnstad · Aarhus
19. 45′We said Aarhus at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–29–51
20. 45′HALF-TIME Aarhus 0–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
21. 46′SECOND HALF Aarhus 0–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
22. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Aarhus · On: J. Bogere · Off: J. Serra
23. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Aarhus · On: D. L. Gretarsson · Off: F. Tingager
24. 50′A goal for Aarhus on 50′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 46–39–15
25. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
26. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Aarhus win: 63% at kick-off, 46% now
27. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Aarhus win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Egnatia Rrogozhinë win 54%)
28. 51′J. Bogere scores for Aarhus on 49′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 45–40–15
29. 51′We said Aarhus at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 45%. 1–1 · 45–40–15
30. 53′We said Aarhus at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–41–15
31. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Egnatia Rrogozhinë · On: E. Ndreca · Off: A. Yago
32. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Egnatia Rrogozhinë · On: Fernando Medeiros · Off: A. Kryeziu
33. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Aarhus win 43%)
34. 60′We said Aarhus at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–47–14
35. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Egnatia Rrogozhinë · On: N. Ajetovikj · Off: A. Albanese
36. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Egnatia Rrogozhinë · On: G. Smajli · Off: G. Jaime
37. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Aarhus win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
38. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Aarhus · On: F. Emmery · Off: J. Andersen
39. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' E. Bitri · Egnatia Rrogozhinë
40. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Aarhus win: 63% at kick-off, 22% now
41. 83′We said Aarhus at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–81–6
42. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Aarhus win: 63% at kick-off, 13% now
43. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Aarhus · On: T. Bech · Off: S. Jorgensen
44. 87′We said Aarhus at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–4
45. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Egnatia Rrogozhinë · On: I. Diabate · Off: K. Loukili
46. 93′We said Aarhus at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–95–1
47. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Aarhus win: 63% at kick-off, 3% now
48. FTFULL TIME Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
49. FTAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë · Aarhus win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.