Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart prediction · UEFA Champions League

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 23:00

Slovan Bratislava 0–3 VfB Stuttgart VFB STUTTGART WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said VfB Stuttgart win~~72%

~~The market said~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.116

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.138

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 28 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said VfB Stuttgart win at 72%.
1′KICK-OFF Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart
2′Little has changed for our model: VfB Stuttgart 72% before kick-off, 72% now. 0–0 · 12–16–72
12′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Ramon Hendriks · VfB Stuttgart
26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Bilal El Khannouss · VfB Stuttgart
28′We said VfB Stuttgart at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 0–1 · 4–10–87
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Slovan Bratislava 0–1 VfB Stuttgart
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' VfB Stuttgart win: 72% at kick-off, 87% now
29′VfB Stuttgart ahead on 29′ through Deniz Undav. 0–1. 0–1 · 3–10–87
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.6 we expected. 0–1 · 3–10–87
45′HALF-TIME Slovan Bratislava 0–1 VfB Stuttgart
45′SECOND HALF Slovan Bratislava 0–1 VfB Stuttgart
52′We said VfB Stuttgart at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 53%. 1–1 · 14–33–53
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Slovan Bratislava 1–1 VfB Stuttgart
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' VfB Stuttgart win: 72% at kick-off, 53% now
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' VfB Stuttgart win: 72% at kick-off, 52% now
55′GOAL DISALLOWED · 55' Slovan Bratislava
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' VfB Stuttgart win: 72% at kick-off, 86% now
64′We said VfB Stuttgart at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 0–2 · 0–2–98
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Slovan Bratislava 0–2 VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' VfB Stuttgart win: 72% at kick-off, 98% now
65′Sandro Cruz scores for VfB Stuttgart on 65′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–98
65′Sandro Cruz scores for VfB Stuttgart on 64′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–98
70′SUBSTITUTION · 71' VfB Stuttgart · On: Leo Sauer · Off: Chris Führich
70′SUBSTITUTION · 71' VfB Stuttgart · On: Jamie Leweling · Off: Dženan Pejčinović
75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Slovan Bratislava · On: artur gajdos · Off: Cristian Martínez
75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Slovan Bratislava · On: Kevin Wimmer · Off: Sandro Cruz
77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Josha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart
81′We said VfB Stuttgart at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' VfB Stuttgart · On: Atakan Karazor · Off: Angelo Stiller
81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' VfB Stuttgart · On: Ermedin Demirović · Off: Bilal El Khannouss
81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Slovan Bratislava · On: Roman Cerepkai · Off: Tigran·Barseghyan
81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Slovan Bratislava · On: Alasana Yirajang · Off: Andraž Šporar
81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Slovan Bratislava · On: Nino Marcelli · Off: Suleiman Camara
85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Peter·Pokorny · Slovan Bratislava
86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' VfB Stuttgart · On: Lorenz Assignon · Off: Josha Vagnoman
89′90′ and it is 0–3: Ermedin Demirović on the scoresheet for VfB Stuttgart. 0–3 · 0–0–100
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Slovan Bratislava 0–3 VfB Stuttgart · Sandro Cruz
FTFULL TIME Slovan Bratislava 0–3 VfB Stuttgart
FTSlovan Bratislava 0–3 VfB Stuttgart · VfB Stuttgart win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

VfB Stuttgart are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slovan Bratislava 12%, draw 16%, VfB Stuttgart 72%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Slovan Bratislava v VfB StuttgartBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 19:18 · locked at kick-off

Slovan Bratislava win12%

Draw16%

VfB Stuttgart win72%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 20:00

VenueTehelne Pole Stadion

RefereeIrfan Peljto

Line-ups

Slovan Bratislava

4-2-3-1

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Slovan Bratislava

VfB Stuttgart

35Days since last match35

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	2	3
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	-5	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

In the news

from the pressAll ›

Champions League Preview | Stuttgart eye another win in the UEFA Champions LeagueGet German Football News · 10 hours ago · Slovan Bratislava, Viking

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Slovan Bratislava

4-2-3-1

71 D. Takáč

28 C. Blackman

12 K. Bajrič

15 S. Marković

57 Sandro Cruz

3 P. Pokorný

20 A. Mustafić

11 T. Barseghyan

70 Cristian Jesús Martínez

21 Suleiman Camara

99 A. Šporar

Coach · Yaya Touré

Substitutes

8 · A. Gajdoš

5 · R. Ibrahim

77 · D. Ignatenko

2 · S. Kozlovský

10 · N. Marcelli

29 · A. Maroš

88 · D. Matsuoka

1 · A. Popović

6 · K. Wimmer

14 · A. Yirajang

13 · R. Čerepkai

49 · S. Camara

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1

1 F. Bredlow

4 J. Vagnoman

29 Finn Jeltsch

24 J. Chabot

3 R. Hendriks

21 G. Prömel

6 A. Stiller

11 B. El Khannouss

26 D. Undav

10 C. Führich

17 D. Pejčinović

Coach · S. Hoeneb

Substitutes

47 · Y. Spalt

41 · D. Seimen

44 · L. Sauer

18 · J. Leweling

16 · A. Karazor

14 · L. Jaquez

33 · M. Funk

9 · E. Demirović

22 · L. Assignon

Our number · vfb stuttgart winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 19:18 · locked at kick-off

72% The market70%

Us72%

~~Market~~70%

We make VfB Stuttgart a 72% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–2.6.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart~~0.99 – 2.64

~~Last six in UEFA Champions League~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 0 v 3~~35 v 8

~~The market · VfB Stuttgart win~~70% · ours 72%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · vfb stuttgart win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 72% to 70% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slovan Bratislava win	12%	13%	−2
Draw	16%	17%	−1
VfB Stuttgart win	72%	70%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	70%	71%	−1
Both teams to score	58%	63%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	88%	87%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	49%	52%	−3
Slovan Bratislava or draw	28%	30%	−3
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet	7%	–	–
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 9.3%

0123450 2.9 6.8 9.3 8.2 5.4 2.81 2.4 7.2 9.2 8.0 5.3 2.82 3.4 4.5 4.0 2.6 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slovan Bratislava down, VfB Stuttgart across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every club on one scale from 407,336 league, cup and continental matches in 638 leagues up to 14 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Slovan Bratislava play in the Super Liga, VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Slovan Bratislava are at home.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

What the model expects

0.99 goals for Slovan Bratislava, 2.64 for VfB Stuttgart. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SLO 1–3 VFB

Form · last six in UEFA Champions League

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA

DWWDDL1–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–6

VFB STUTTGART

LLWWLW0–2 · 1–5 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 1–4 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Barcelona	2	7	6
2	Sporting CP	2	4	6
3	Arsenal	2	4	6
4	Bayern München	2	5	4
5	Paris Saint Germain	1	5	3
6	Como	1	3	3
7	Manchester United	2	2	3
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	2	3
9	Manchester City	1	2	3
10	Villarreal	2	1	3
11	Aston Villa	1	1	3
12	Real Betis	1	1	3
13	Atletico Madrid	2	1	3
14	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	3
15	Liverpool	1	1	3
16	Real Madrid	1	1	3
17	AEK Athens FC	1	1	3
18	Club Brugge KV	2	0	3
19	Lens	2	-1	3
20	RB Leipzig	2	-2	3
21	Sabah FA	2	-2	3
22	AS Roma	1	0	1
23	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1
24	Fenerbahçe	1	0	1
25	PSV Eindhoven	2	-1	1
26	Viking	2	-2	1
27	Lask Linz	1	-1	0
28	Inter	2	-2	0
29	FC Porto	1	-2	0
30	Slavia Praha	2	-3	0
31	Napoli	2	-3	0
32	Lille	2	-4	0
33	Feyenoord	1	-4	0
34	Galatasaray	2	-5	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	-5	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	-5	0