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Sabah FA v Slavia Praha

Sabah FA

2–0Full time

Slavia Praha

UEFA Champions League · TUE 13 OCT · Baku Olympic Stadium

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 20:20

Sabah FA 2–0 Slavia Praha SLAVIA PRAHA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Slavia Praha win~~56%

~~The market said~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.999

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.855

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 31 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Slavia Praha win at 56%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Slavia Praha 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 21–23–56
1′KICK-OFF Sabah FA v Slavia Praha
15′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Veljko Simić · Sabah FA
18′We said Slavia Praha at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–0 · 47–26–27
18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Sabah FA 1–0 Slavia Praha
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Slavia Praha win: 56% at kick-off, 27% now
18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Sabah FA win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Slavia Praha win 27%)
18′⚽ GOAL · 17' Sabah FA 1–0 Slavia Praha · Kaheem Parris
19′Sabah FA ahead on 17′ through Kaheem Parris. 1–0. 1–0 · 47–26–27
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Slavia Praha win: 56% at kick-off, 52% now
20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Slavia Praha win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Sabah FA win 21%)
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Slavia Praha win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
45′We said Slavia Praha at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 20–36–44 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
45′HALF-TIME Sabah FA 0–0 Slavia Praha
46′SECOND HALF Sabah FA 0–0 Slavia Praha
50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Sabah FA 1–0 Slavia Praha · Kaheem Parris
51′Sabah FA ahead on 49′ through Kaheem Parris. 1–0. 1–0 · 59–27–14
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Slavia Praha win: 56% at kick-off, 14% now
51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Sabah FA win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Slavia Praha win 14%)
52′We said Slavia Praha at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 59–27–14
61′We said Slavia Praha at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 65–26–9
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Slavia Praha · On: Mubarak Suleiman · Off: Tomáš Holeš Corrected
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Slavia Praha · On: Wiktor Nowak · Off: Michal Sadílek Corrected
65′Slavia Praha have had 9.0 attempts to 4.0 and it is still 1–0. 1–0 · 67–25–8
67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Steve Solvet · Sabah FA
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Slavia Praha win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Emmanuel Ayaosi · Slavia Praha
73′We said Slavia Praha at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 75–21–4
73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Sabah FA · On: Rahman Dashdamirov · Off: Steve Solvet Corrected
73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Sabah FA · On: Patrick Orphe Mbina · Off: Kaheem Parris Corrected
73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Sabah FA · On: Christian Nwachukwu · Off: Du Queiroz Corrected
73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Slavia Praha · On: Mojmír Chytil · Off: Tomáš Chorý Corrected
74′14.0 shots for Slavia Praha, 4.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–0 · 76–20–4
74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Slavia Praha · On: Mojmír Chytil · Off: Tomáš Chorý Corrected
75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Akim Zedadka · Sabah FA
76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Slavia Praha · On: Oskar Kubiak · Off: Ange N'Guessan Corrected
78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Oskar Kubiak · Slavia Praha
83′16.0 shots for Slavia Praha, 6.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–0 · 87–12–1
86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Sabah FA · On: Abdulakh khaybulaev · Off: Veljko Simić Corrected
88′Joy Lance Mickels scores for Sabah FA on 88′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Sabah FA 2–0 Slavia Praha · Kaheem Parris
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Sabah FA 2–0 Slavia Praha · Joy Lance Mickels
FTFULL TIME Sabah FA 2–0 Slavia Praha
FTSabah FA 2–0 Slavia Praha · Slavia Praha win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 17:01 · locked at kick-off

Sabah FA win21%

Draw23%

Slavia Praha win56%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 17:45

VenueBaku Olympic Stadium

RefereeSebastian Gishamer

Line-ups

Sabah FA

4-2-3-1

Slavia Praha

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sabah FA

Slavia Praha

33Days since last match33

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sabah FA	9	+5	18
67	Slavia Praha	1	−1	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Sabah FA

4-2-3-1

92 S. Pokatilov

80 A. Zedadka

3 S. Solvet

4 A. McCarthy

27 T. Puchacz

7 U. Rakhmonaliyev

13 I. Lepinjica

11 K. Parris

37 Du Queiroz

21 V. Simic

20 J. Mickels

Coach · Valdas Dambrauskas

Substitutes

94 · R. Mirzammadov

1 · A. Ramazanov

33 · Junior Almeida

17 · T. Mutallimov

5 · R. Dashdamirov

88 · R. Fernandes

16 · R. Rustamli

10 · A. Isayev

6 · A. Khaybulaev

8 · C. Nwachukwu

99 · O. Mbina

34 · X. Severina

Slavia Praha

4-2-3-1

35 J. Markovic

3 T. Holes

4 D. Zima

6 A. N'Guessan

27 T. Vlcek

16 D. Moses

23 M. Sadilek

20 E. Ayaosi

17 L. Provod

10 D. Sturm

25 T. Chory

Coach · Jindrich Trpisovsky

Substitutes

40 · A. Rezek

29 · N. Domchak

14 · S. Isife

8 · O. Kubiak

47 · D. Barcot

30 · W. Nowak

22 · T. Diakite

15 · M. Suleiman

13 · M. Chytil

60 · P. Potmesil

53 · M. Kotrba

Our number · slavia praha winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 17:01 · locked at kick-off

56% The market49%

Us56%

~~Market~~49%

We make Slavia Praha a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · slavia praha win The market, margin stripped

Published at 57%, 56% now. The market has gone from 48% to 49% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sabah FA win	21%	26%	−5
Draw	23%	25%	−2
Slavia Praha win	56%	49%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	57%	60%	−4
Both teams to score	56%	62%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	80%	81%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	34%	39%	−5
Sabah FA or draw	44%	51%	−7
Sabah FA clean sheet	15%	–	–
Slavia Praha clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.6 9.6 9.3 5.9 2.8 1 5.2 10.8 9.9 6.2 2.9 2 3.0 5.6 5.3 3.3 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sabah FA down, Slavia Praha across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every club on one scale from 408,274 league, cup and continental matches in 638 leagues up to 13 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Sabah FA play in the Premyer Liqa, Slavia Praha in the Czech Liga.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Sabah FA are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two in this competition, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

1.06 goals for Sabah FA, 1.89 for Slavia Praha. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in UEFA Champions League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in UEFA Champions League

SABAH FA

WLWLWL2–0 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 0–4

SLAVIA PRAHA

LDLLLL0–3 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 2–4 · 1–4 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sabah FA	9	+5	18
2	Fenerbahçe	7	+5	15
3	Levski Sofia	8	+3	15
4	Hapoel Beer Sheva	6	+4	12
5	Slovan Bratislava	7	0	12
6	Dinamo Zagreb	6	+4	9
7	Ararat-Armenia	6	+1	9
8	Kairat Almaty	6	+1	9
9	Bodo/Glimt	5	0	8
10	Kauno Žalgiris	6	−4	8
11	AEK Athens FC	3	+5	7
12	Universitatea Craiova	4	+3	7
13	Celje	6	+1	7
14	KI Klaksvik	4	+1	7
15	Vikingur Reykjavik	4	0	7
16	FK Crvena Zvezda	4	+6	6
17	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	4	+5	6
18	Sturm Graz	4	+3	6
19	Shamrock Rovers	4	+1	6
20	Aarhus	4	−3	6
21	Larne	4	−7	6
22	FC Iberia 1999	4	−1	5
23	Lincoln Red Imps FC	4	−1	5
24	Lyon	4	+1	4
25	Viking	3	0	4
26	Mjallby AIF	4	0	4
27	Paris Saint Germain	1	+5	3
28	Bayern München	1	+5	3
29	Barcelona	1	+4	3
30	Manchester United	1	+4	3
31	Como	1	+3	3
32	Sporting CP	1	+2	3
33	VfB Stuttgart	1	+2	3
34	Manchester City	1	+2	3
35	Aston Villa	1	+1	3
36	Borussia Dortmund	1	+1	3
37	Lens	1	+1	3
38	Real Betis	1	+1	3
39	Liverpool	1	+1	3
40	Real Madrid	1	+1	3
41	Arsenal	1	+1	3
42	Celtic	2	0	3
43	Lech Poznan	2	0	3
44	Vardar Skopje	2	0	3
45	Omonia Nicosia	2	0	3
46	Lask Linz	3	−1	3
47	Riga	2	−1	3
48	Floriana	2	−2	3
49	Sparta Praha	2	−2	3
50	KuPS	4	−3	3
51	Union St. Gilloise	2	0	2
52	FC Thun	2	0	2
53	Olympiakos Piraeus	2	0	2
54	NEC Nijmegen	4	−5	2
55	AS Roma	1	0	1
56	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1
57	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1
58	Flora Tallinn	2	−1	1
59	Drita	2	−1	1
60	Gyori ETO FC	2	−1	1
61	Gornik Zabrze	2	−1	1
62	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	−2	1
63	Borac Banja Luka	2	−4	1
64	Petrocub	2	−5	1
65	Club Brugge KV	1	−1	0
66	Lille	1	−1	0
67	Slavia Praha	1	−1	0
68	Villarreal	1	−1	0
69	Atletico Madrid	1	−1	0
70	Inter	1	−1	0
71	Napoli	1	−1	0
72	Atert Bissen	2	−2	0
73	Galatasaray	1	−2	0
74	Tre Fiori	2	−2	0
75	FC Porto	1	−2	0
76	RB Leipzig	1	−3	0
77	Sutjeska	2	−3	0
78	The New Saints	2	−3	0
79	Feyenoord	1	−4	0
80	ML Vitebsk	2	−4	0
81	Heart Of Midlothian	2	−6	0