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Real Betis v Feyenoord
Real Betis
FeyenoordUEFA Champions League · WED 21 OCT · Estadio de la Cartuja
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Real Betis win at 55%.
- 2′KICK-OFF Real Betis v Feyenoord
- 3′Much as we predicted: Real Betis was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–22–24
- 15′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Mika Mármol · Feyenoord
- 33′Real Betis have had 8 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 48–29–24
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Real Betis win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Real Betis 0–0 Feyenoord
- 46′We said Real Betis at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 0–0 · 43–34–23
- 46′HALF-TIME Real Betis 0–0 Feyenoord
- 52′Real Betis have had 12 attempts to 6 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 41–37–22
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Charles Vanhoutte · Feyenoord
- 55′We said Real Betis at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–39–21
- 56′We expected about 3.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 39–40–21
- 59′We published Real Betis at 55%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–16–4
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Real Betis win 39%)
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Real Betis 1–0 Feyenoord
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Real Betis win: 55% at kick-off, 79% now
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Real Betis win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 42%)
- 60′59′: Isco on the scoresheet for Real Betis, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 61′We published Real Betis at 55%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Real Betis · On: Dani Ceballos · Off: Pablo Fornals
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Real Betis · On: Rodrigo Riquelme · Off: Antony Matheus dos Santos
- 74′We published Real Betis at 55%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Real Betis win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Feyenoord · On: Tsuyoshi Watanabe · Off: Jeremiah St. Juste
- 81′We published Real Betis at 55%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Real Betis · On: Giovani Lo Celso · Off: Isco
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Feyenoord · On: Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra · Off: Charles Vanhoutte
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Real Betis · On: Nelson Deossa · Off: Troy Parrott
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Real Betis · On: Ángel Ortiz · Off: Héctor Bellerín
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Feyenoord · On: Sem Steijn · Off: Luciano Valente
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Rodrigo Riquelme · Real Betis
- 88′We published Real Betis at 55%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Real Betis win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Feyenoord · On: Tobias van den Elshout · Off: Oussama Targhalline
- 94′Full time, 1–0. We called Real Betis at 55% — that one lands. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Real Betis 1–0 Feyenoord
- FTReal Betis 1–0 Feyenoord · Real Betis win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Real Betis are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Real Betis 55%, draw 22%, Feyenoord 24%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 64%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Real Betis win55%
Feyenoord win24%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 20:00
RoundLeague stage · matchday 3
VenueEstadio de la Cartuja
RefereeSimone Sozza
Match timeline
All events
Real BetisMIN
FeyenoordEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Real Betis
4-2-3-1
Feyenoord
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Real Betis
Feyenoord
Last match: 17 Oct · La Liga
Last match: 17 Oct · Eredivisie
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Real Betis
4-2-3-1
1 Álvaro Vallés
2 Héctor Bellerín
5 Marc Bartra
4 Natan
11 Fran García
8 Pablo Fornals
21 Marc Roca
7 Antony
22 Isco
10 A. Ezzalzouli
19 T. Parrott
Coach · M. Pellegrini
Substitutes
25 · Dani Ceballos
13 · Diego Conde
18 · N. Deossa
15 · Álvaro Fidalgo
16 · V. Gómez
6 · F. Bernal
3 · Diego Llorente
20 · G. Lo Celso
27 · J. A. Morante
12 · Ángel Ortiz
17 · Rodrigo Riquelme
24 · Aitor Ruibal
Feyenoord
4-3-3
1 T. Ernst
26 G. Read
6 J. St. Juste
35 Mika Màrmol
16 Javi López
8 G. Zechiël
34 C. Vanhoutte
28 O. Targhalline
23 A. Hadj-Moussa
19 Nacho Ferri
10 L. Valente
Coach · G. van Bronckhorst
Substitutes
32 · T. Wessels
4 · T. Watanabe
22 · T. van den Elshout
14 · S. Steijn
57 · J. Schaken
24 · T. Kraaijeveld
33 · F. Kastenmeier
27 · G. Diarra
20 · M. Deijl
39 · L. Bossin
11 · Gonçalo Borges
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Real Betis
4-2-3-1
1 Álvaro Vallés
2 Héctor Bellerín
5 Marc Bartra
4 Natan
11 Fran García
8 Pablo Fornals
21 Marc Roca
7 Antony
22 Isco
10 A. Ezzalzouli
19 T. Parrott
Coach · M. Pellegrini
Substitutes
25 · Dani Ceballos
13 · Diego Conde
18 · N. Deossa
15 · Álvaro Fidalgo
16 · V. Gómez
6 · F. Bernal
3 · Diego Llorente
20 · G. Lo Celso
27 · J. A. Morante
12 · Ángel Ortiz
17 · Rodrigo Riquelme
24 · Aitor Ruibal
Feyenoord
4-3-3
1 T. Ernst
26 G. Read
6 J. St. Juste
35 Mika Màrmol
16 Javi López
8 G. Zechiël
34 C. Vanhoutte
28 O. Targhalline
23 A. Hadj-Moussa
19 Nacho Ferri
10 L. Valente
Coach · G. van Bronckhorst
Substitutes
32 · T. Wessels
4 · T. Watanabe
22 · T. van den Elshout
14 · S. Steijn
57 · J. Schaken
24 · T. Kraaijeveld
33 · F. Kastenmeier
27 · G. Diarra
20 · M. Deijl
39 · L. Bossin
11 · Gonçalo Borges
We make Real Betis a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis win | 55% | 58% | −3 |
| Draw | 22% | 21% | +1 |
| Feyenoord win | 24% | 21% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 70% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 67% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 86% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 50% | −6 |
| Real Betis or draw | 76% | 79% | −3 |
| Real Betis clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Feyenoord clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · UEFA Champions League this season · since 8 Sept
REAL BETIS
FEYENOORD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 2 | +7 | 6 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 3 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 | Manchester City | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 | Arsenal | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Real Betis | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 | Bayern München | 2 | +5 | 4 |
| 13 | AS Roma | 3 | +3 | 4 |
| 14 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 15 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Como | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 | Lens | 2 | −1 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | −2 | 3 |
| 23 | RB Leipzig | 2 | −2 | 3 |
| 24 | Feyenoord | 2 | −3 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | −3 | 3 |
| 26 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | −5 | 3 |
| 27 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | −5 | 3 |
| 28 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | −6 | 2 |
| 29 | Viking | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 30 | Slavia Praha | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 31 | Inter | 2 | −2 | 0 |
| 32 | Lask Linz | 2 | −4 | 0 |
| 33 | FC Porto | 3 | −4 | 0 |
| 34 | Lille | 2 | −4 | 0 |
| 35 | Galatasaray | 2 | −5 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | −12 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
VfB Stuttgart
Aston Villa
Barcelona
Manchester City
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
AS Roma
Shakhtar Donetsk
Atletico Madrid
PSV Eindhoven
Como
Manchester United
Villarreal
Club Brugge KV
Lens
Napoli
RB Leipzig
Sabah FA
Bodo/Glimt
AEK Athens FC
Fenerbahçe
Viking
Slavia Praha
Inter
Lask Linz
FC Porto
Lille
Galatasaray
Slovan Bratislava