Real Betis v FC Porto

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Porto win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: FC Porto 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 36–27–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Real Betis v FC Porto
4. 23′Real Betis have had 7.0 attempts to 2.0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 33–33–34
5. 28′8.0 shots for Real Betis, 2.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 32–34–33
6. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was FC Porto win 32%)
7. 39′We said FC Porto at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–22–70
8. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Real Betis 0–1 FC Porto
9. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' FC Porto win: 37% at kick-off, 70% now
10. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' FC Porto win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 22%)
11. 40′Martim Fernandes scores for FC Porto on 40′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–22–70
12. 40′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 8–22–70
13. 42′GOAL DISALLOWED · 42' FC Porto
14. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' FC Porto win: 37% at kick-off, 31% now
15. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was FC Porto win 31%)
16. 45′SECOND HALF Real Betis 0–0 FC Porto
17. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Francesco Farioli · FC Porto
18. 46′12.0 shots for Real Betis, 2.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 29–42–29
19. 46′Abde Ezzalzouli scores for Real Betis on 47′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–22–8
20. 46′We said FC Porto at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–0 · 71–22–8
21. 46′GOAL DISALLOWED · 42' Borja Sainz · FC Porto
22. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Real Betis 1–0 FC Porto
23. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' FC Porto win: 37% at kick-off, 8% now
24. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Real Betis win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 22%)
25. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' FC Porto win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
26. 53′54′ and it is 1–1: Gabri Veiga on the scoresheet for FC Porto. 1–1 · 26–46–27
27. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Real Betis 1–1 FC Porto
28. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' FC Porto win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
29. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Real Betis win 26%)
30. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' André Silva · FC Porto
31. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Nelson Deossa · Real Betis
32. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Abde Ezzalzouli · Real Betis
33. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Abde Ezzalzouli · Real Betis
34. 58′We said FC Porto at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–50–25
35. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 59' FC Porto · On: Oskar Pietuszewski · Off: Borja Sainz
36. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 59' FC Porto · On: Samuel Aghehowa · Off: André Silva
37. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 59' FC Porto · On: Alberto Costa · Off: Martim Fernandes
38. 60′We said FC Porto at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–2 · 4–19–76
39. 60′FC Porto ahead on 61′ through Samuel Aghehowa. 1–2. 1–2 · 4–19–76
40. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Real Betis 1–2 FC Porto · Gabri Veiga
41. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' FC Porto win: 37% at kick-off, 76% now
42. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' FC Porto win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
43. 62′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 4–19–77
44. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' FC Porto win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
45. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Real Betis · On: Dani Ceballos · Off: Nelson Deossa
46. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Real Betis · On: Cucho Hernández · Off: Troy Parrott
47. 68′We said FC Porto at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
48. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 71' FC Porto · On: Hwang In-Beom · Off: Gabri Veiga
49. 73′We said FC Porto at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 2–2 · 17–66–17
50. 73′Cucho Hernández scores for Real Betis on 74′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 17–66–17
51. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Real Betis 2–2 FC Porto · Abde Ezzalzouli
52. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' FC Porto win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
53. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 66% (was FC Porto win 17%)
54. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Alan Gonzalo Varela · FC Porto
55. 75′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 15–69–16
56. 76′16.0 shots for Real Betis, 6.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 14–71–15
57. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Dani Ceballos · Real Betis
58. 80′We said FC Porto at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 2–2 · 11–78–11
59. 83′84′ and it is 3–2: Isco on the scoresheet for Real Betis. 3–2 · 92–8–0
60. 83′We said FC Porto at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 0%. 3–2 · 92–8–0
61. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Real Betis 3–2 FC Porto · Cucho Hernández
62. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' FC Porto win: 37% at kick-off, 0% now
63. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Real Betis win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 8%)
64. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FC Porto · On: Santiago Giménez · Off: Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa
65. 86′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 94–6–0
66. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Santiago Giménez · FC Porto
67. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Real Betis · On: Pablo Fornals · Off: Isco Corrected
68. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Real Betis · On: Facundo Bernal · Off: Marc Roca Corrected
69. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Real Betis · On: Rodrigo Riquelme · Off: Antony Matheus dos Santos
70. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 93' Ángel Ortiz · Real Betis
71. FTFULL TIME Real Betis 3–2 FC Porto
72. FTReal Betis 3–2 FC Porto · FC Porto win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.