Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Paris Saint Germain win at 45%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Paris Saint Germain was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–22–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona
4. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 17' João Cancelo · Barcelona
5. 20′SUBSTITUTION · 20' Paris Saint Germain · On: Ferrán Torres · Off: Ousmane Dembélé
6. 28′SUBSTITUTION · 27' Barcelona · On: Fermín López · Off: Daniel Olmo Carvajal
7. 39′38′: Désiré Doue on the scoresheet for Paris Saint Germain, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–19–11
8. 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Barcelona · Désiré Doue
9. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Paris Saint Germain win: 45% at kick-off, 69% now
10. 40′We published Paris Saint Germain at 45%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–20–11
11. 41′We published Paris Saint Germain at 45%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–11
12. 45′HALF-TIME Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Barcelona
13. 46′SECOND HALF Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Barcelona
14. 56′Paris Saint Germain have had 14 attempts to 8 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 34–38–27
15. 56′Barcelona level it on 55′ through Xavi Espart. 1–1. 1–1 · 34–38–27
16. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Paris Saint Germain 1–1 Barcelona
17. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Paris Saint Germain win: 45% at kick-off, 34% now
18. 57′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 1–1 · 34–39–27
19. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Paris Saint Germain win 72%)
20. 59′We said Paris Saint Germain at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–40–27
21. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Paris Saint Germain · On: Ilya Zabarnyi · Off: Marcos Aoás Corrêa
22. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Paris Saint Germain · On: Maghnes Akliouche · Off: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
23. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Barcelona · On: Karim Adeyemi · Off: Raphael Dias Belloli
24. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Barcelona · On: Pablo Martín Páez Gavira · Off: Pedri
25. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Barcelona · On: Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante · Off: Marc Bernal
26. 66′We said Paris Saint Germain at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–47–24
27. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Paris Saint Germain win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
28. 73′Lucas Hernández scores for Paris Saint Germain on 72′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 80–17–3
29. 73′We published Paris Saint Germain at 45%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
30. 73′⚽ GOAL · 72' Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Barcelona · Lucas Hernández
31. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Paris Saint Germain win: 45% at kick-off, 80% now
32. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Paris Saint Germain win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 54%)
33. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Barcelona · On: Alejandro Balde · Off: Xavi Espart
34. 79′We published Paris Saint Germain at 45%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
35. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Paris Saint Germain win: 45% at kick-off, 85% now
36. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Paris Saint Germain · On: Warren Zaire-Emery · Off: Lucas Hernández
37. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Paris Saint Germain · On: Senny Mayulu · Off: Désiré Doue
38. 80′79′: Lamine Yamal on the scoresheet for Barcelona, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 17–69–14
39. 80′We said Paris Saint Germain at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 2–2 · 17–69–14
40. 80′19 shots for Paris Saint Germain, 13 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 17–69–14
41. 80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Barcelona · Lamine Yamal
42. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Paris Saint Germain win: 45% at kick-off, 17% now
43. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Paris Saint Germain win 85%)
44. 81′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 87–12–1
45. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Paris Saint Germain 3–2 Barcelona
46. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Paris Saint Germain win: 45% at kick-off, 87% now
47. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Paris Saint Germain win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 71%)
48. 82′Paris Saint Germain ahead on 81′ through Vitinha. 3–2. 3–2 · 88–11–1
49. 84′We published Paris Saint Germain at 45%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
50. 87′Fabián Ruiz scores for Paris Saint Germain on 86′ — 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
51. 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Paris Saint Germain 4–2 Barcelona · Fabián Ruiz
52. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Paris Saint Germain win: 45% at kick-off, over 99% now
53. 88′We published Paris Saint Germain at 45%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
54. 89′6 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 100–0–0
55. FTFULL TIME Paris Saint Germain 4–2 Barcelona
56. FTParis Saint Germain 4–2 Barcelona · Paris Saint Germain win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.